C'mon Michigan isn't bad. They are mediocre/above average. Purdue is clearly better, but you are playing on the road in the Big Ten against a team that has toppled Duke, UCLA and Illinois already this year. The announcers were making it seem like yesterday's win clinched Michigan in the NCAA tourney. I am wondering what they are smoking. They are 18-11 (technically 17-11 because one of their wins was against a DII team and the NCAA doesn't consider that), and only 8-8 in the conference. They still have 2 tough road games left (Wisconsin, Minnesota) and the Big Ten tourney. Since we're discussing at-large here, we have to assume Michigan loses in the Big Ten tourney, and for them to even consider a tourney run they have to win one of the last 2. I am wondering if it would help or hurt Michigan more to play on the first day of the tourney. It would help to get a hypothetically easy victory, but it would be against a bad team, hurting the SOS and RPI. I think for Michigan to have a reasonable shot at making it they would have to win one of their last 2 (very preferably Wisconsin) and win 2 Big Ten tourney games, leaving them at (21-13, 9-9) with wins over UCLA, Duke, Illinois, Purdue, @ Wisconsin/Minnesota, and high seeded Big Ten team). Most 21-13 teams have no shot, but with the resume Michigan has built (their only truly horrific loss is to Iowa this year) they would stand a chance. Most years it seems like the talking heads try to find reasons why Michigan shouldn't be in, but now it seems like they are trying to find reasons Michigan should be in.