I don't see why it's that outrageous to pick the Reds to win the Central with all their young talent. Imagine if Cueto pitches all year like he's shown flashes, Volquez is healthy and picks up where he left off in 08, Chapman comes up and pitches well, Jay Bruce plays like a he has in every other level of baseball he's been in, Votto doesn't have any anxiety disorders, Rolen provides solid defense and slightly revitalized hitting. That's a lot of ifs, but I don't think any of those are really outrageous. You also have to accept the premise that people get bored of picking the Cardinals to win and want to go out on a limb for their prediction. I would say that the Reds are just about as likely as the Cubs to win the division IMO.