Man I'm so confused about where Caleb is at as a QB and what he's shown us means so far. This isn't a negative Caleb post, this isn't a positive Caleb post. I've said it repeatedly that I've seen a lot I love, things I just haven't seen from other Bears QBs, amazing performances late in games to put the Bears in a position to win etc. But we also see stuff like today where Caleb did basically nothing until the game was basically over midway through the 3rd quarter. He looked tentative, bailed out of the pocket too soon or hung around in it too long. And then with the Bears down 24-0 midway through the 3rd, he leads the Bears on 2 really nice looking professional looking TD drives with a really nice looking TD throws (especially the first one) to Rome.
Overall I just don't know what we're really seeing. How much of his performances are hindered by a horrific offensive line? How much is hindered by disastrous coaching, especially now that the players got multiple coaches canned midseason? (I mean realistically they got themselves fired but it took player revolts to get the FO to do something about it). Why is he incredibly inconsistent? How much can be attributed to being a rookie? What causes him to get in a groove and completely turn around games that are looking like terrible performances? There's just so much I don't know and with 4 games left I'm not sure we'll find out this year.
The good? Despite inconsistent play and a ton of coaching issues, Caleb is still on pace for ~3600 yards, 21 passing TD, 6 INTs. As mentioned before, when he gets into a groove he looks elite and has come up clutch several times in key moments. He has 5 performances this year that I'd classify as great (Carolina, Jacksonville, Green Bay, Minnesota, Detroit).
The not so good? He's also had several performances that I'd consider poor or worse (Tennessee, Houston, Washington, Arizona, New England). Today I'd consider below average despite somehow having a 116.9 QB rating (His QBR was 32.5 and he had 5.8 YPA). Overall where does he sit amongst qualified QBs in stats?
(there are 38 qualified QBs)
Comp %: 62.6% - 33rd
YPA - 6.3 - 35th
TD - 16 - 13th
Yards - 2,746 - 18th
QBR - 46.3 - 35th (note: this is not updated with today's 32.5 QBR but there's a huge drop off between Caleb's 46.3 and the 36th best QB Minshew at 37.9, so I'm guessing he's still 35th)
QB Rating - 87.8 - 27th
Again, this is not meant to be a negative Caleb post or a positive one. I'm mostly expressing my confusion that I see a QB that for a decent chunk of the time legit looks better than any Bears QB I've seen in my life (I know, not saying much). But there's also a bad side that we've seen, and its getting hard for me to determine how much his environment is hindering him vs. him potentially just needing to improve/not being good enough at this stage of his career.