Maybe, but I think its more likely to get at the very least a useful player with an inexpensive contract and years of control picking at the top of the draft. If you throw all your eggs into the FA basket and you don't have a sexy market or a team that is ready to contend, especially in the wild wild west that is FA with the cap exploding, you are far more likely to be used as leverage similar to what is happening to Dallas today with Whiteside, Conely and someone else whose name is eluding me, than you are to steal a superstar. If you strike out when you throw all your eggs into the FA basket, you are left with overpaying a role player to save face/hit salary floor. Meh. Our 2010 strikeout resulted in the best team we've seen since 1998. If you strike out in the lottery or with our pick, you are left with having a team you can't watch at all for more years than you already weren't. Yes it did because we had the MVP (deserved or not he was an elite superstar) and the role players we signed fit around that MVP. If we strike out in 2017 we have Jimmy Butler and marginal role players. Look at top 4 picks from the last 4 drafts (and yes 4 was mostly arbitrary selection but also because that's the lowest pick you can get with the worst record). Players that at a minimum are young cheap assets that can anchor a trade: Towns, Russell, Okafor, Porzingis, Wiggins, Parker, Oladipo, Anthony Davis Players that are useful players and good but not as strong of assets (pre-extension): Kidd-Gilchrist, Beal, Waiters Belong in an NBA rotation but minimal upside/value: Gordon, Porter, Zeller Giant useless busts: Bennett Unknown: Embiid So you have a pretty good chance of getting someone cheap and useful, and a non-zero chance of acquiring a superstar in the draft vs. a great chance of getting someone useful albeit overpaid and a virtual (imo) zero chance of acquiring a superstar in FA. Also because of the current climate, everyone is going to have money next summer, so the competition for these players is going to be extremely high. Honestly if we were back in the 2010 climate and we had space for 2 max guys I'd be all for it. But having money really doesn't mean much next season.