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JudasIscariotTheBird

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Everything posted by JudasIscariotTheBird

  1. JudasIscariotTheBird
    Yes. That's because they have to blitz a lot because their D line sucks, and because teams pass on them a lot because their pass D sucks. Per pro football ref, they still have them falling outside the top 10 of Blitz rate. Not sure if theyre accurate or not. Good hurry% and decent pressure% too. Maybe pfr has trash stats, but this seems I'll-developed as a theory. Just outside the top 10 in blitz rate (11th) and well below average in QB knockdown % (27th) ...but their pressure rate is way higher than I thought so I guess I'm full of crap. I'll also just add in that the Vike's pace of play (6th) also helps with rate stats like sacks.
  2. JudasIscariotTheBird
    Yeah I know DVOA and I think QBR take score/leverage into account and so they won't be too kind to him tonight. It was also a pretty crummy night with his legs. That said in terms of purely just standing in the pocket and letting it rip probably his best game. . It's nearly automatic that QBs have good stats like this against the Vikes. They have been the worst at defending against WR production in the entire league this year. That largely has to do with a complete lack of pass rush. which was not the case tonight. Take all of that for what you will. Yes. That's because they have to blitz a lot because their D line sucks, and because teams pass on them a lot because their pass D sucks.
  3. JudasIscariotTheBird
    Statistically yes but eye test I think the Steelers game was better as he put up similar stats but on the road and in a high leverage situation. Yeah I know DVOA and I think QBR take score/leverage into account and so they won't be too kind to him tonight. It was also a pretty crummy night with his legs. That said in terms of purely just standing in the pocket and letting it rip probably his best game. . It's nearly automatic that QBs have good stats like this against the Vikes. They have been the worst at defending against WR production in the entire league this year. That largely has to do with a complete lack of pass rush. which was not the case tonight. Take all of that for what you will.
  4. JudasIscariotTheBird
    It was definitely the right decision to go for 2 and as previously mentioned, a horsefeathers play call. On the 1st drive of the game, would you have gone for the TD or kicked the FG? I thought going for the TD was the way to play it. They (rightly) assumed the Packers were going to put up a lot of points, and there are additional reasons that going for it on a TD is better than on an 2 point conversion. There is just the extra point that a TD gets you relative to the 2 point convert/1 extra point decision. There is also the field position portion to consider as well. If you do fail to get the TD, you get an extra 30 yards of field position compared to the alternative. Yes, the attempt was from the 4 yard line or so, but I still think it made sense to go for it. Early in the game, it almost always makes sense to go for it if your (and your oponent's) offense is at all competant, and doubly so if you consider yourself the underdog.
  5. JudasIscariotTheBird
    I know it's not the same as betting on the outcome of a game, but I'm firing up Fields for DFS.
  6. JudasIscariotTheBird
    Warning: the inevitable crypto-blathering comes late in the convo, but otherwise I thought it was a pretty cool talk.
  7. JudasIscariotTheBird
    So, here were all of the actual mistakes and break downs in "go for it" hypotheticals in the Ravens-Packers game. https://www.yahoo.com/sports/ravens-2-point-conversion-analytics-packers-005823164.html
  8. JudasIscariotTheBird
    Whoops
  9. JudasIscariotTheBird
    So, here were all of the actual mistakes and break downs in "go for it" hypotheticals in the Ravens-Packers game. https://www.yahoo.com/sports/ravens-2-point-conversion-analytics-packers-005823164.html
  10. JudasIscariotTheBird
    Why?
  11. JudasIscariotTheBird
    You're being incoherent. *shrug* don't know what you're not following So you are pointing out that scoring points is better than failing to score points? Thanks for the insight.
  12. JudasIscariotTheBird
    You're being incoherent.
  13. JudasIscariotTheBird
    What? The risk of missing the 2 pt conversion (instead of trying their luck in OT) was that by missing it, the Ravens fell to 8-6, which is a tie with the Bengals (who own the tie-breaker). Was going for 2 worth that risk? Are you saying they should not have gone for it because they could have tied?
  14. JudasIscariotTheBird
    Weird call. They just played their way back into a tie for first instead of giving themselves OT to stay a game up What?
  15. JudasIscariotTheBird
  16. JudasIscariotTheBird
  17. JudasIscariotTheBird
    “Where are the Snowdens of yesteryear?”
  18. JudasIscariotTheBird
  19. JudasIscariotTheBird
    Well that's a wrap. Great for fans of decisive chess. Not so great for fans of close matches.
  20. JudasIscariotTheBird
    Wow. That's a bummer. He was really well liked, and had a tough go of it growing up. When he was 11, his house was raided, and his mom and grandma were put in jail on insanely long sentences for distributing crack. He actually got his grandma's sentence communted after he won the Super Bowl. He was found dead in his house, and its being called a "medical issue." No matter the cause, it's pretty sad.
  21. JudasIscariotTheBird
    I thnk a podcast replete with cynical NSBB jokes would be amazing.
  22. JudasIscariotTheBird
  23. JudasIscariotTheBird
  24. JudasIscariotTheBird
    Games like this reenforce how much better GMs are than patzers like me. I can hang with the concepts in most openings and middle games, but the calculation and training needed for endgames like this are gross.
  25. JudasIscariotTheBird
    I think a Magnus win is slightly more likely than not.
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