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Sabermetrician

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Everything posted by Sabermetrician

  1. Sabermetrician
    It's just the value of players, the spectrum goes like this: 1B - LF - RF - 3B - CF - 2B - SS - C Where players on the left are easier to find than players on the right. It's the reason Rafael Furcal is going to get about $9 million a season where Aramis Ramirez got just $1 million more to stay with the Cubs, and that's because quality SS are harder to find than quality 3B. So as far as I'm concerned, I can live with a bit of a dropoff in numbers from Wilkerson in CF (in comparison to Floyd RF), because it'd be easier to find another RF that could hit for around Floyd's numbers than it would to find another CF that could match the production of Wilkerson's.
  2. Sabermetrician
    Wilkerson for what he brings as a CF is better than what Floyd brings as a corner OF. That said, the suggestion was to get them both, not to choose between the two.
  3. Sabermetrician
    We'll just end up with Alex Gonzalez (Marlins) and Jacque Jones for the combined price of Giles, instead.
  4. Sabermetrician
    Why give up prospects when there are fine players avaliable in free agency that won't cost you any players? I think out of all these positions, CF is the only one that doesn't have any players the Cubs would be interested in in free agency. Giles and Furcal should be top starters, there are a handful of innings eaters avaliable and the market is always rich in relievers. The only position I'd be weary of adding in free agency is RP, because they're so inconsistant. For example, two years ago Howry was signed as a minor league free agent, now he's looking for a 3-year deal.
  5. Sabermetrician
    If Monroe is avaliable, would the Cubs be interested? The Tigers and Yankees talked about Monroe, says today's NY Newsday. http://www.newsday.com/sports/printedition/ny-spyanks114507805nov11,0,3479290.story?coll=ny-sports-print My take: Monroe is a good player, but I see him as more of a LF/CF than RF, so I'll probably pass. However, if we can't get any of our other targets, I'd rather have Monroe than someone like Jacque Jones or Juan Encarnacion.
  6. Sabermetrician
    I'm not down on Pierre, I'm down on Pierre at $8 million and the expense of a decent prospect in comparison to Bradley at $4 million and a no-name prospect. There's no doubt about it, Pierre would help us. Post all-star break, he had a .340 OBP, and it's a pretty good accomplishment for his season OBP to be .326 considering the awful May/June he had. Pierre/Furcal would be one of the best 1-2 combinations in the game, and they'd get on in front of Lee/Ramirez, make the pitchers think about them while they're on base which would case the pitchers to make more mistakes. But at $8 million, there are better options out there. Especially since it seems Hendry is so set on Pierre that he'd rather have him than Giles for just a couple million more, or the better player (Bradley) for half of Pierre's price for a lesser prospect. I won't complain if we get Pierre, but I don't think he should be the #1 choice.
  7. Sabermetrician
    Hm.. never really considered Jenkins as a viable option, but now that you mention it, it seems feasible. The one risk with Jenkins is always injuries, but he's stayed healthy the past two seasons. With his contract at: 06:$7.5M 07:$7M 08:$9M club option ($0.5M buyout) It's definitely a move I could see the Cubs making, especially if they decide Giles isn't worth $4 million more than Jenkins (which I think the bidding could get to and even pass that number).
  8. Sabermetrician
    Okay, clarification on the title - not what you want, but what you think. CF Pierre SS Furcal 1B Lee 3B Ramirez RF J. Jones LF Murton C Barrett 2B Cedeno I think that will be our lineup last year, pretty far off from my preferred lineup of Castillo/Bradley/Lee/Ramirez/Giles/Nomar/Murton/Barrett. Pierre and Furcal seem inevitable, and I think the Cubs will make only a slight run at Giles and "settle" (though they won't feel that way) for Jacque Jones. Also, I think Pierre and Furcal will happen pretty quick within each other, and probably pretty soon from now... That's why I would also be disappointed if we don't end up with Giles.
  9. Sabermetrician
    The Cubs will be interested in signing Rafael Furcal for $9 fricken million and refuse to shell out $2 million more to sign Giles. The Cubs sign Rusch for $3 million and Perez for $2.5 million. That's a whole lot of suckage right there. Cubs are [expletive], and their stupid need for a "leadoff hitter" is going to become so redudant when all is said and done this offseason, because right now I'm thinking Furcal, Pierre, Cedeno/Walker will all be in the lineup.
  10. Sabermetrician
    Well I for one hope Jim doesn't move on Furcal. He's another overpaid SS waiting to happen. If Nomar is willing to take another one year incentive laden deal, that's the best option, because a leadoff hitter can be filled through other acquisitions, such as Lofton, Castillo, or even Bradley. I am dreading that the Cubs search for a "leadoff hitter" will become redudant this coming season. If the sign Lofton, Furcal, and keep Walker, then you've got three guys capable of leading off. We can't just concentrate only on "leadoff" hitters and ignore the power all together. And I say this before we're adding a RF, who, unless it's Giles, will likely have not great power himself.
  11. Sabermetrician
    Since the beginning of this offseason my dream lineup has been Castillo, Bradley, Lee, Ramirez, Giles, Garciaparra, Murton, Barrett; I realize that this won't happen, but I'd be pretty happy if we got Bradley!
  12. Sabermetrician
    We could spend just as much money on Giles/Nomar as J.Jones/Furcal and it sounds like the Cubs brass thinks Option 2 is better...
  13. Sabermetrician
    Good and good.
  14. Sabermetrician
    Thanks.
  15. Sabermetrician
    As stupid as this sounds (trust me, I know it does), anyone have any good stuff about a baseball they could share? It's for an English assignment - Choose a common object (baseball for me) and describe it in perfect detail. Try not to give the object away by referring to it or the names of its specific parts. I though I could include somewhere the amount of stitches on a baseball (which I believe is 108), anyone else have some ideas?
  16. Sabermetrician
    Dempster was very good as a reliever two years ago and almost lights out (SV/OPP) last year. Had Dusty not misused him as a starter early on in the season, his numbers would look excellent and I think a lot of other teams would be interested as well. We gave Dempster close to what he would've gotten on the open market, and I have no problem with that.
  17. Sabermetrician
    He never has been on my radar...
  18. Sabermetrician
    I would do 3/36 with a 4th year TO for $14M (4/50) that vests on PA.
  19. Sabermetrician
    Sox win.
  20. Sabermetrician
    What a catch. Houston fans want Bartman.
  21. Sabermetrician
    Man Tim McCarver is awful. Pitchers can't tell runners whether they should slide or not?
  22. Sabermetrician
    My top two targets for CF via trade are Bradley and Michaels, I think Bradley is the better player but if I weighted it based on attitude and character I'd probably prefer Michaels. Either would be a great #2 hitter.
  23. Sabermetrician
    Thanks, added to favorites.
  24. Sabermetrician
    no disrespect but, since when has once been very accurate? Since no one else here has ever done it...ever.
  25. Sabermetrician
    Agreed with Neuby. If we're getting Castillo and Bradley, the top two spots in the batting order are set and I'd rather bring Nomar back. The reward with Nomar in that lineup is higher than it is with Furcal and if Nomar gets injured again, then Cedeno's not a terrible option hitting in the bottom part of that order either.
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