A couple years back, Tim McCarver during some game, is talking about the leadoff walk vs. the leadoff HR. Says he had stats inc. look into it for him as far as what innings score more runs, those with a leadoff walk vs. those with a leadoff HR. He says "and it surprised me, apparently teams score more in innings with leadoff HRs than leadoff walks." It surprised him that 1 run scored, nobody on leads to more runs than 0 runs scored 1 man on 1st.