SouthSideRyan
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Everything posted by SouthSideRyan
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Donaldson to Blue Jays
SouthSideRyan replied to gscool89's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Shouldn't guys with greater range make more throwing errors? -
This is a great point. Ugh. Dave Leito left after an NCAA Tournament and NIT appearance, and that was before the program became the embarassment of high major basketball. What would keep a successful DePaul coach around besides a new arena? A Purnell type could stick around as his retirement job, but a coach would have to be pretty damn good to revitalize DePaul in his 60s.
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Anyone who establishes even a modicum of success at DePaul is going to bail pretty quickly. They need to nail their next 2 hires.
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Purnell has to be gone after this year right?
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I'll go Rutgers @ Clemson (Clemson) Nebraska @ FSU (NU) Pittsburgh @ Indiana (Pitt) Minnesota @ Wake Forrest (Minny) Syracuse @ Michigan (Michigan) Illinois @ Miami (Illinois) NC State @ Purdue (Purdue) Ohio State @ Louisville (Louisville) MSU @ Notre Dame (MSU) Virginia Tech @ Penn St (Penn St) Iowa @ UNC (UNC) Virginia @ Maryland (VA) GTech @ Northwestern (GA Tech) Duke @ Wisconsin (Duke)
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Pomeroy unsurprisingly has it at 7-7, with a slight edge to the ACC. The ACC will once again keep one of their shittiest teams home, as they did last year, and the years when they had a 12-11 team advantage.
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Donaldson to Blue Jays
SouthSideRyan replied to gscool89's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Anyone who has gripes about the Harden trade should be punched in the face. -
No way
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2014-2015 Chicago Bulls Regular Season
SouthSideRyan replied to SpongeWorthy's topic in Other Sports
Don't forget the altitude man, Rose needs his lungs to be okay for the future. Doesn't want to be sore after climbing Mount Doom -
I don't believe anyone would trade something for Mike Olt on purpose.
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It's probably more likely that neither pan out as major league catchers than both.
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Pre-zent Top of my head for Opening Day, which would include the Nights&Weekends package I'd guess ~2,000?
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So Cindy Sandberg is the rooster?
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Isn't 3B open?
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Is that what our payroll would be if all we signed is 1-2 middle tier arms like Masterson and maybe a backup catcher? Right now we can put together a 25 man roster with about 66 million. Make it closer to 60 if you decide to non-tender Wood. So that's your baseline to add any spending to. It doesn't matter what the baseline is.
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Not with the same degree of probability. I'd guess similar though. I dont know the stats but id guess you see more TJS surgeries from the under 30 group as well. There is an abundance of of pitchers blowing up in every age group. http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=1658 I'm not sure an 11 year old study is a great help.
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Do 28 year olds really recover that much better than 31 year olds from TJS? Seems like the outcome is pretty similar either way. Here's a very oversimplified example: 4 win SP under control for 4 years. 28 year old 28: TJS (woulda been 4 WAR) 29: 3 WAR (woulda been 4 WAR without rehab) 30: 4 WAR 31: 3.5 WAR Total: 10.5 WAR for 3 years, 2 years > 3 WAR 31 year old 31: TJS (woulda been 4 WAR) 32 2.5 WAR (woulda been 3.5 WAR without rehab) 33: 3 WAR 34: 2.5 WAR Total: 8 WAR for 3 years, never get > 3 WAR production Injury sucks, Age + Injury is downside that eliminates upside. Isn't projected decline heavily influenced by the possibility of 0 WAR seasons due to arm exploding?
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I've seen a lot of places suggesting Hanley will be playing in LF and Cespedes is the one on the move, not Bogaerts. I'm not sure how much I believe it, but I can't believe a team would sign Hanley to play SS and sign another big money guy to block him from being able to move over to 3B. Everyone seems to be operating under the assumption that Sandoval becomes the new DH down the road, though that may just be idle speculation based on fat guy = can't field.
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Survivor bias. Now go back and look at the list of pitchers that dropped out and simply aren't pitching anymore at that age. '98-Present fWAR leaders through age 30: http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=sta&lg=all&qual=50&type=8&season=2014&month=0&season1=1998&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=17,30&filter=&players=0 Yes, he's been a very good pitcher through age 30. We're attempting to figure out how good he'll be through age 37. --- eta Holy crap, that list makes me think f pitchers over 30 Sabathia - arm dying if not dead Felix - hasn't passed 30 Verlander - arm dying Pedro - arm died @ 34 - 35 Greinke - ok so far, but still young Santana - arm died at 31 Vazquez - arm died at 34 Oswalt - arm died at 34 Halladay - arm died at 34 Buerhle - ok Kershaw - uh, yeah, still only 26! Haren - arm died at 31 Yeah, that list is not a compelling argument to sign Lester. Yeah. I want to not get nothing, but I really wouldn't mind if we just traded for a 28-year-old pitcher instead. The good thing about 28 year old pitchers is their arms never explode. If you're going to spend money on pitching, the injury risk is going to be there. Unless you want to go with the faith in Bosio plan and spend all the money on hitting.
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Because TVM. If you can only trade him as a 10M/Y player, then eat that money on the backend and trade him away.
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Because attrition is really, really, really hard on guys who have thrown enough to accumulate that much value by age 30? As it is on those who haven't.
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If it's simply a pitchers get injured too much, why should the age of the pitcher matter at all?
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Survivor bias. Now go back and look at the list of pitchers that dropped out and simply aren't pitching anymore at that age. '98-Present fWAR leaders through age 30: http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=sta&lg=all&qual=50&type=8&season=2014&month=0&season1=1998&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=17,30&filter=&players=0 Yes, he's been a very good pitcher through age 30. We're attempting to figure out how good he'll be through age 37. And I'm giving you a list of comparables to check out. I'm not going to do everything for you Tim.
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Survivor bias. Now go back and look at the list of pitchers that dropped out and simply aren't pitching anymore at that age. '98-Present fWAR leaders through age 30: http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?pos=all&stats=sta&lg=all&qual=50&type=8&season=2014&month=0&season1=1998&ind=0&team=0&rost=0&age=17,30&filter=&players=0
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Yes, they are - you can get guys like that off the street for cheap. lol ok
