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jumbo

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Everything posted by jumbo

  1. jumbo

    Golf thread

    Since you're getting ready to get out there, I'll share the really cool side effect from my new clubs I got last year. I picked up about a club or club and a half in distance. So instead of a 7, I'm hitting 8 or sometimes 9. I play in a league at a local muni and there are a handful of not quote 350 yard clubs. I rush over after work and there's no range, so I just started hitting 5 iron off the tee. I hit more greens with 5 iron/9 iron than I did with driver and chip from trouble (or touchy 50-60 yard fairway shot. Knowing I had that extra distance let me focus on staying in play off the tee and avoiding penalties. Eventually you have to hit driver, and when it's working its awesome, but it was an AHA moment for me and it really helped my scores. Hope it goes well for you and IMB
  2. jumbo

    Golf thread

    Getting fitted is awesome. I try to convince every golfer I know to do so on a Trackman, even if they're average height (looking at you XZero77) Two reasons: First, you get the best club for you. Choosing the right clubs without being able to see the numbers is too feel based for me. Nothing's better than the fitter saying, this is the one, and knowing he's right. Added benefit here is no buyer's remorse when golf happens. Second, the confidence you get from knowing you've got the right stick in your hand is invaluable. I got fitted last year for the first time since 2015 and it really helped my game
  3. Not sure who posted it, but there was a tweet posted showing the success of #1 picks versus later picks. The nutshell version is that the #1 pick is WAY better in aggregate than lower picks. It was eye opening how dramatically better the #1 pick was. Obviously there's bias in the assessment, but that's the point. It's validating that the CHOICE of pick is the most successful and partly to your point that you only get that choice at #1.
  4. No excuse to not sign Jaylon Johnson now, ha Seriously though, would this affect the number that Johnson asks for? Thinking in % of cap type figures. Or does this affect the franchise tag number? Maybe there's a year lag....
  5. Bill Barnwell wrote an article about Bears trade downs and tweeted a few of the scenarios. His trade from Washington was #2, 40, 163 Definitely not worth it if you think Caleb is appreciably better than Maye/Daniels The rest: Patriots was 3, 34, 2025 1st, 2025 3rd Cardinals 4, 27, 35, 90, 2025 2nd Giants 6, 39, 47, 2025 1st Titans 7, 38, 2025 2nd, Jeffrey Simmons Falcons 8, 43, 2025 1st, 2025 3rd, 2026 1st
  6. Someone tweeted yesterday that he has hired an agent and will be declaring today.
  7. When he can talk about pricinples of the game or strategic concepts he's pretty fun to listen to. He's famous for talking about the origin of the long snapper in a press conference, but if you ask him about why his team screwed up he won't take the bait.
  8. I watched this video and want Williams now. When he does the Maye video I'll probably want him, lol
  9. I'm as happy with the Carolina trade down as anyone. That said: BY 2023__JF 2021__22__23 Passer Rating 73.7__73.2__85.2__86.3 QBR 33.3__26.4__56.3__46.2 I don't understand these stats all that well, but given how universally everyone thinks Bryce sucks, Fields was somehow worse his rookie year.
  10. I read somewhere that Mahomes fed the Chiefs information that another team was going to draft him if he slid to their position. When they heard that they paid the price to move up. Their evaluation of him is a separate matter than the cost to get him, of course.
  11. Ha, yeah, sorry The extremes are bring back everyone or start over. Doing anything in between those two extremes leads to some questions about the QB and the OC. If you keep Fields, do you want him running offense #3 in his 4th year? Do you plan to give him 2 more years to learn offense #3? If you keep Flus and get a new OC, can they run the Shannahan offense? Probably can find someone familiar enough with that scheme to avoid the offense being brand new. But the real impact then is how the playcalling would fit Fields better. This coudl work but it's kind of a needle in a haystack. Any new coach I doubt would not draft a new QB. Wrigley has promoted keeping Fields and drafting someone; that's a possibility here but it's a complication a new coach might not want.
  12. The draft haul is enticing. I’ve been posting about the eagles and keeping two firsts while they waited out the hurts decision. I don’t think poles is going to clean house, and if that doesn’t happen you can run it back knowing you’ve got another chance next year if things don’t improve with all the talent around the qb. If caleb is actually that highly valued you could get the three firsts and three more picks, maybe four firsts. That’s a lot of picks you could bundle to trade up when you’re ready.
  13. An OC with a stud QB is a future head coach, whether they actually made the player better or not More correlation than causation
  14. I don't see how Poles can run it back with Fields. To keep Fields, you almost have to keep Getsy to avoid a third offense in his fourth season. If Poles moves on from Fields, does Getsy stay? I would think he does for two reasons. First, he's the incumbent and hand picked by Flus/Poles. Second, who do you replace him with? A HC candidate that doesn't get a HC job but still leaves his current gig? That's a whole different group of candidates (Eric Bienemy for example) than the OC looking to be a head coach (Ben Johnson, Bobby Slowik). And this candidate has to be desperate enough to work for Flus, who has a 8-23 record going into his third year, after which he'd be a lame duck coach. If Poles moves on from Fields and Getsy is out at that point just lose everyone and start over with an OC hire to be HC.
  15. You used 1.1 instead of 10A? This is proof of something, but I'm not sure what...
  16. 49ers & Dolphins for me right now!
  17. The logic here is try for two on the first touchdown, if you get it you win with an XP on the second TD. If you don't you convert, you retain the ability to go for two on the second to tie. Going for 2 down 10 makes no sense to me, unless you saw the Houston game where their kicker got hurt and was it a RB or S kicking for them?
  18. Always that bad. I saw enough funny clips that I tried to watch it once. Not a fan. I just wait for them to be trending on Twitter and save myself time
  19. I think there are two clear paths here: First path is draft Williams or Maye and trade Fields away for whatever you can get. You still have another high pick you can use to draft a stud or trade back to get more picks. Second path is to roll with Fields. In this situation you have to trade out of #1 to get future first round picks. No less than one, even if that's NE trading up one spot. This follows the Eagles model where Howie kept ammunition to trade up in case they wanted to move on from Hurts. Retaining this flexibility is the most important thing if you keep Fields. A third path could be to keep Fields and use all the picks, but I don't like that option. This season, no matter what happens these last four games, has not been the slam dunk of "is he the guy" that this season was all about back in the summer. We still don't know and I don't think we will based on the last four games. I'm replying to this comment because this is the one way having more assets helps you in this decision. It essentially puts it off a year to give Fields another run at showing what he is. Not sure which of these is right, but I think I like the second path the best right now.
  20. jumbo

    NFL Week 13

    Bears Trade 2024 First (1) Carolina Trades 2024 Second (33) 2025 First 2026 First 2027 First
  21. I think he's skipping the bowl on even considering the draft. If the way it shakes out leads him to think he wants to go back to school rather than play for Belichick or the Bears he could still make that decision later. The other thing with WIlliams is he can just say, "I don't want to play for ____" or "I want to play for ____". Elway did it, Eli did it. NFL teams and players may not love that, but he can certainly do it and sit out if he wants. He got $4M or something to go to USC (not sure where i heard this or may be the wrong player) so he's not destitute and can hold out for a year if it's that big of a deal to him. My main point is I wouldn't read this as an indicator that he would not go back to school. (I think he'll enter the draft BTW)
  22. Interesting Does this say something about other QBs on the roster? Or their coach? There was chatter of Day to aTm but I assumed that was just internet BS speculation.
  23. I remember a Mahomes interview talking about the Bears telling him that if he was there when they picked he was their guy. Maybe it was a Pat Sr interview....
  24. He just did another Podcast visit with Hoge and Jahns. They talk about keeping Fields or taking QB #1. Lucas says he would take a new QB. It is fun to hear him talk about past drafts and behind the curtain type stuff
  25. For me it's like a dream where you're giving a speech naked. I hate when the entire country sees our team playing like dog horsefeathers.
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