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Ryne Ween

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Everything posted by Ryne Ween

  1. Todd Hollandsworth is lookin more professional. Looks like he went from inside sales to outside sales hey go get 'em JH.
  2. Im watching the end of sports talk live. First time ive ever seen this and first time ive seen Kaplan in probably 3-4 years. He pretty much looks the same except does he not have eyebrows? Does he do that on purpose?
  3. No need to argue the merits of the bond deal for john q taxpayer. The point is that the cubs always were gonna raise an additional $300mln from the family or other investors and pay down the bond financed portion. Whether or not the financing is procured in their best case scenario or not, im sure they modeled for other scenarios. So if they raise bank debt or finance in some other way its really not a huge difference to their cash flow. Thus, i dont consider the "start from scratch" excuse to be at all credible.
  4. The bond deal they proposed, from memory, was that the STATE not the city would raise $300mln through Illinois Sports Facilities bonds and RICKETTS would match with another $300mln. The TEAM asked that the CITY would cap amusement tax reciepts at the level they were at prior and the incremental taxes owed over the prior level would pay down the bonds. It was never that any government was just gonna give them money for stuff.
  5. Yea. Please stop talking about trading Vitters like its gonna improve our MLB team. ETA: The guy may have meant tade vitters for a short-term bad salary, and then yea absolutely do that.
  6. If we are ~.500 or slightly better and within a few games of the division or wild card around July 1 (to the point where even a casual fan has an eye on what the rest of the division is doing) the team at the very least has to stand pat. In that scenario attendance is good and there will be a buzz around the team. Even if they know the team is unsustainably winning more than they should be, they know they have burned almost all the political capital they had as fresh faces. Im looking for a silver lining here and since its easier to fake it for 3 month than 6, I think there is a reasonable chance that the Cubs would take on contracts or trade for a difference maker with a .500 club at July 1. So at this point im taking a 1-0 start and a commanding starting performance from JS as a silver development. Give me a .500 team at July 1 and force their hands into fielding a legitamate baseball team in 2013.
  7. we know this team blows on paper and we also know that a team that should suck sometimes wont for an extended period of time. We are also in a division that will likely not produce a wire-wire, runaway winner. Since we have a few solid prospects and the ability to take on contracts, where do we think we need to be in June and July for the front office to make a go of it this year?
  8. Way rather trade Baez.
  9. i split with my dad who splits with another guy whose probably had the tickets for 40 years. So only getting ten games its still really annoying and I cant imagine what a full blown season ticket holder thinks about these last few years.
  10. This is the thing that bothers me. I want at least 150 meaningful games per season. Playoffs are a bonus for me and playoff success would be a huge bonus. My expectation is to not have to light my June - September tickets on fire and to have something to watch on TV on weekday nights. When you take that from me for 5 years I dont feel like a WS reverses it. The timing of this is terrible for me. So they are gonna suck from my age 23-28 when I am living within a couple miles of the park. They are wasting my prime enjoyment years.
  11. So since the new owners its been win totals of 75, 71, and 61. And then lets say we hit the vegas line of 72 wins in 2013 and then turn the corner go .500 in 2014. 5 years win totals 75, 71, 61, 72, 81. Assuming that scenario, what does the team need to do for the folowing five years for Ricketts and Theo to have been a success? Personally, a team tanking with a sizable resource advantage for a number of seasons is inexcusable. Personally, if they suck for two more years and then win a world series in 2017 I dont think Id call them a success.
  12. From August 22 2009 to yesterday, the S&P (assuming dividend reinvest) returned 15.5% annualized or 67.6%. Basically over the life of ricketts ownership of the cubs almost any domestic investment (with the possible exception of buying a home in bucktown) would look like a good one.
  13. Just win more than 72.5 games please. And I got the division at 20:1 so according to BP I got some good value.
  14. How much can a jumbotron bring in for the team? It cant be that much, right? I dont understand the appeal of a jumbotron from the fan's perspective.
  15. capex has something to do with OI. The impact is just spread across multiple years. Ok but you would likely see a combination of incremental revenue, cost saving and tax shield from the improvement that is close to, equal two or greater than what would be expensed in a year. The point is whatever conclusions you draw from the Forbes numbers (and who knows the accuracy there) shouldnt be impacted by costs of improving the stadium. And the main point that is missed in the other thread about moving to rosemont is that ricketts bought three seperate assets. Zell talked about finding seperate buyers for wrigley and the team. He ultimately didnt because the value of the two assets together is more valuable than seperated.
  16. Does this include the 25% of CSN Chicago? That is pouring into the bottom line for Ricketts. They got a lot more there than I bet they expected. Also, "stadium improvements" is capex and has nothing to do with operating income. Its not a P&L item.
  17. There are a whole bunch of stereotypes and not many facts being thrown around in this conversation. Thanks for using some facts. Except this information doesnt mean anything. So Sara Lee is in Downers and Kraft is in Northbrook so we should put a stadium in the suburbs? Obviously you guys know there are more people living/working in Chicago than any cluster of suburbs agglomerated onto chicago. The "suburbs" isnt a single place its hundreds of miles of sprawl.
  18. Professional service firms are gonna have huge central business district presences in cities. These are popular jobs for young people, city dwellers and usually result in a higher level of disposable income than your typical suburbanite who has a family and works in Algonquin. I think those people generally have a longer lead time on game-attending plans and are more likely to make a day out of going wrigley.
  19. Obviously the condition of the park was taken into account in sale to ricketts. If you think that land converted to another use is worth more than its use as a stadium than you are wrong.
  20. The fact is that this city has horrible traffic and Cubs games will be a bitch to get to for a majority of people wherever they put it. Since wrigley's history and neighborhood setting is material to the popularity of the team only a jackass would move the team elsewhere. Considering its valuation as part of the sale, Ricketts would be selling the land/stadium at an amazing loss while turning off a significant portion of the fanbase. Basically, it makes no sense to move the team and so it will not happen. If the city, the team and basically everybody could come together on providing one or two west-east connecting CTA trains it would make getting around the north neighborhoods much easier and would be quite condusive to commerce.
  21. what if he finds out the classes he was taking was actually a dude.
  22. The renovations and computer systems are capital investments and shouldnt affect the team’s payroll.
  23. There arent many examples of players with the entire offseason to rehab an injury miss the entire next season. If he isnt strong enough to return in the next two months than why are they letting him impress Rip with Dunks shortly after returning to full contact practice? I expect him to play in both the regular season and playoffs this year. If something is wrong, and they are going to hold him out, than why the misinformation campaign since his surgery last year? Until Rose says "maybe next year" (which could have been very flip in context because he says "maybe tomorrow" right after) every comment the team has made has been very positive. Why set him up to not reach expectations if he isnt progressing along with the original 8-10 month timeline.
  24. JL3 - Nate + Barg - Booz + 0.75(taj) < Nate + Booz + .5(taj)
  25. Lets give credit to Coach O on southern cal continuing to throw up on themselves all year but still haul 5 stars. Hes the father of modern recruiting. And with all the hype around freeze im pretty sure he pulled top 10 classes at Ole Miss in the mid 00s.
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