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Deeg

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Everything posted by Deeg

  1. Deeg
    I still would have liked to have seen the better receiver in Baker behind the plate for Wada's first game. And for Hendricks, for that matter.
  2. Deeg
    Tee hee.
  3. Deeg
    Ricky didn't do Wada any favors putting Lake in CF.
  4. Deeg
    The Schwarbler is now 4-6 throwing out base stealers.
  5. Deeg
    MLB.com had Wada up to 91 in that inning.
  6. Deeg
    Any non-snark observations on Wada's stuff for those of us unable to watch?
  7. Deeg
    Like the Starbucks baristas - that's all Jed.
  8. Deeg
    One of the LHRP is pretty certain to move, and I think Ruggiano will go too - he has some value to a contender, and Theo is likely feeling burned for failing to move Schierholz when he had the chance. Valbuena is the wild card here. There's no urgency to move him given his salary and team control, but he'd be a classic case of sell high. He is, as Callis said, "playing over his head" - indeed, his BABIP is unsustainable and gravity is beginning to assert itself. His versatility makes him quite desirable for a contender, especially one that isn't a mega-payroll team - I could easily see the Cubs moving him.
  9. Deeg
    I've seen Maeda enough to form a strong opinion that he's more than a back-end starter in the majors. But as with any Japanese import, you won't know how they'll take to the game in the US until they do it. There's always an element of risk, even with super-elites like Tanaka (Darvish may be the one pitcher that was so filthy that the only risk was injury).
  10. Deeg
    Only about 5 more years for Otani and Fujinami. wasn't otani the guy who almost figured out a way to go to mlb straight out of hs instead of npb? There's no "figuring out" - anybody can do it, it's just a matter of choice. Once you go into the NPB system you're locked into their posting rules but before that, it's your call. It's just that high-schoolers who have the confidence to even consider jumping straight to American pro ball - and leaving home at 18 - are very rare in Japan.
  11. Deeg
    Arrietta isn't much of a comp for Straily, considering that he throws about 7 MPH harder.
  12. Deeg
    Nor would I. CarGo is question mark. Can he sustain performance away from Coors? Can he stay on the field? I really wouldn't give up much for him. The three parks CarGo has played in most often apart from Coors (about a third as many games, collectively) are Oakland, Petco and A T & T. Those are awful places to hit. He's a lefty bat with a decent glove, runs the bases well and isn't overpriced contractually. Obviously it depends on the cost in talent - and just as obviously it would be way less than Stanton - but I think you're selling him short. If he shows he's healthy by the end of the year, I'd very seriously kick the tires.
  13. Deeg
    CarGo might be a good offseason target. His home/away splits aren't great but considering how many games he plays in LA, SF and SD - three graveyards for hitters - they're not terrible. Got some injury issues and isn't having his best season, but maybe that would depress his value a little. He'd certainly be much cheaper than Stanton, but I can't see the Rockies being that keen to take Castro as part of the deal.
  14. Deeg
    Problem is the FA list for outfielders is pretty fugly this winter, and it would be nice to have that bat in-place when the prospects start to arrive in 2015 (though I think you'll see Alcantara this season).
  15. Deeg
    Well for one thing, having a gaudy list of hitting prospects is great, but not all of them are going to turn into good major league players. And among the ones that do, most aren't going to be real plus players for at least a year or two, maybe more. I don't think it's a good idea to pin all your hopes on these guys panning out, not to mention giving them no veteran protection. Stockpiling is smart - it gives you options when the can't-miss prospects miss. But some of them will miss. Then there's the fact that 30+ FA pitchers are the worst value in the sport, and if ownership is going to spend like a small-market team you can't indiscriminately throw $23 million a year at guys who'll likely be albatrosses by the end of the contract. If you're the Yankees or the Dodgers, those contracts are just the toll that has to be paid. If you're a team that's going to try and win like the A's, you have to try and address pitching in other ways.
  16. Deeg
    Possibly right at the tail-end, depending on how highly you value the arms. I'd say somewhere between 9-12.
  17. Deeg
    It's a pipe dream to think you're going to get Scherzer for $23 million a year. That's likely to be around Lester's number, but do you really think the Cubs would pay it? And should they? I guess especially after this trade it would be a minority view, but I think it's more important than ever now that the Cubs get an impact OF bat to give the kids some protection for the next couple of seasons. That may be overpaying on a FA, but you would also have the option of packaging one of their three young SS along with other prospects. Castro has rehabilitated his trade value, especially if he manages to avoid cratering in the second half - he alone could net you a pretty decent bat in return. Add Almora or Soler and you're talking about a legit impact player - and if the Cubs really wanted to shoot for the moon and try for Stanton, they could put together a package that would certainly catch Florida's attention. Rather than trade elite prospects for pitchers or overpaying for Masterson, I'd make a strong run at Maeda, try and re-sign Hammel - or the next Hammel - and put Neil Ramirez back in the rotation.
  18. Deeg
    TIL he is a legit good defensive SS. for some reason I thought his profile was similar to Baez. Baez is a legit good defensive SS.
  19. Deeg
    Just in theory, because I don't buy this, what would the return have to be for Shark, Hammel and Alcantara to be involved? Russell - good as he is - would be barely the appetizer.
  20. Deeg
    Sanchez is hardly as broken as Arrietta seemed to be, and much younger with even nastier stuff. He's been a consensus Top 20-40 prospect for a reason. If 21 year-old TORP prospects didn't come with risks, they'd never get traded.
  21. Deeg
    They've only been shuttling Gausman because they can do so with no downside - he's a part of their short-term plans. If folks think Sanchez, Norris and Pompey is short, it really does seem as if expectations are unrealistic because of the Garza overpay. Sanchez has warts, but his stuff is truly elite - and you're getting another TORP prospect and a multi-tool switch-hitting CF who draws walks. That's a good deal. Would I rather have Bundy, Harvey and extras? Yeah - but I very much doubt that happens.
  22. Deeg
    That return is probably right about the median we should expect. It's not what Cubs fans unrealistically hope for, but it's certainly above what we got for Garza.
  23. Deeg
    I would certainly say go all-out to sign Tomas, because he fills an area of need, has the tool this F.O. values above all else (power), the FA crop for OF sucks and our payroll commitments are ridiculously low. But saying that, I think Tomas is definitely a couple of steps below Puig, Cespedes and Abreu as a prospect. He's no sure thing, not likely to be a star and could bust altogether. It's just that the rewards far outweigh the risks for a team in the Cubs' position.
  24. Deeg
    Did he jack it?
  25. Deeg
    Outside of Kyle Crick, who do you find interesting? I think Susac can be a decent major league catcher, but after that Escobar and Mejia are really struggling. Even Crick's walk rate is way up. Blackburn is currently on the DL. Who do you like? It would certainly have to start with Susac and Crick. I think Susac has a chance to be better than decent, and I'm not down on Crick because he's had some control issues - he's a legit Top-30-40 guy with TORP stuff that's not far from the majors. After that buy low on someone like Mac Williamson (I'll take my chances on a TJS outfielder, and he's a legit big-time bat) and one more pitching prospect (they have a lot of guys who aren't necessarily high-ceiling, but have a good chance to be productive). Yeah, I'd rather have Gausman/Bundy and Harvey - but I'm not counting on that level of return. The Garza trade has overinflated expectations IMHO.
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