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Cubswin11

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Everything posted by Cubswin11

  1. Cubswin11
    At 23, Bryant was putting up 6+ WAR on his way to ROY after winning MiL PoY after winning the Golden Spikes. I could not possibly care less about some 2 WAR player's pedigree for Kris Bryant, even with a non-elite pitching prospect who may have been hurt last year and another guy included They're all fantasty land nonsense, Bryant for that package is just another terrible fantasy this offseason's brought. To even consider Kris Bryant to the Dodgers for Alex Verdugo, Jeter Downs, and Caleb Ferguson in the realm of realistic is just...it's not happening Okay? What does that have to do with anything? He’s now 28, with only 2 years of control left and while still cheaper than his real value is starting to cost meaningful money. He’s also just a year removed from a 2 win year himself. Verdugo also has more than 2 win pedigree. I think this trade is pretty close to the value KB brings back. Maybe not these exact names but what they roughly represent is it. 2 MLB ready guys that are young and controlled with having some success already and pedigree, a top 100 prospect and another prospect or two.
  2. Cubswin11
    Trade ideas/speculations don't automatically become realistic just because the price is super low for the buyer. The Cubs don't have to take scraps because it's determined using smoke and mirrors to be realistic A MLB ready 23 year old position player off a 2 win year with pedigree, a MLB ready SP, a top 100 prospect and another prospect I think is damn close to a package that KB returns. Certainly much more realistic than your fantasy land Lux, May + all that. That’s pretty close value wise, in a different way, to the Braves rumors we’ve heard of Riley, Pache or Waters, and two of their pitchers.
  3. Cubswin11
    They could include Lux and May with those other three and it would start to seem like they want to have a serious conversation about acquiring Bryant Well that’s just ridiculous and unrealistic. No problem saying you wouldn’t do that rumored Mookie trade for KB, but think it’s pretty close to what a realistic trade would look like in the event he’s moved.
  4. Cubswin11
    Nope I wouldn’t do it but I think that’s a rough package for KB dealing with them. We aren’t getting Lux or May.
  5. Cubswin11
    That's a pretty strong package. I wonder if that's straight up for Mookie or with an additional contract heading to LAD. Yeah it is. That’s probably a package that gets KB +/- if we dealt with them.
  6. Cubswin11
    I hate the swoosh placement on the jerseys. I get why they did it but it’s so distracting. I’m sure I’ll get use to it but I hate it. I hate it enough that if I get a New Jersey any time soon I’ll probably look for an older Majestic version that doesn’t have a swoosh.
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  10. Cubswin11
    I’m fine passing on him at that deal, since there’s legit velo, health and performance concerns. Plus we just do the Jeffress deal for less money and he’s the vet off a bad/injured year.
  11. Cubswin11
    Gomez is wrong all the time, so hopefully that’s the case here.
  12. Cubswin11
    With rough arb numbers, I have the team about $10M below the tax next year if they pick up Lester's option, $25M if they don't. Knock both of those down ~$5M going from KB's fourth year of arb to Arenado. I think there's enough upper level pitching in the farm that you can reasonably count on it to fill one of the empty rotation spots. But then yeah you probably deal Contreras to fill one of the others. That in turn opens up another 7-8 mil, so you've got at least $10M to fill out the margins of the roster regardless of the Lester decision. If PTR is fine resetting the penalties next year (which honestly I doubt) next offseason is a much cleaner one for getting under. I wouldn't bet my life on it, but I don't think they have any CBT responsibility for Lester if they don't exercise the option. That 10 million has been part of the 155 million guaranteed, and why his CBT number this year(and the 5 years prior) is 25.8 million and not less than that. So the LT hit is either $25.whatever next year if they exercise the option or $0 if they decline the option and pay him the $10 buyout, is what you’re saying? That logic seems to track.
  13. Cubswin11
    Yeah that's a fun follow up poll Yeah, I’d expect Arenado to be the safer bet for 4.5-5.5 WAR the next two years and do it more consistently over the life of his deal/KBs next deal. But I think I’d lean KB to have the highest year and more likely to have a 6-7+ WAR season.
  14. Cubswin11
    Arenado. Mostly because of the defense. I could see over the life of Arenado’s deal KB having the highest single WAR year though between the two in the next 5-7 years. I like KB’s offensive profile a little more and all it takes is a positive outlier year on defense for him.
  15. Cubswin11
    Yeah I don’t buy the ill will stuff, especially considering the source and others saying differently. They were pretty open about this from the start that it wasn’t really personal or anything. It was mostly Boras taking the highest profile guy to bring the issue to the surface for the next CBA and KB wanting to affect change for the good for players.
  16. Cubswin11
    He does, but he’ll be almost 32 and would still be owed 5/160 or so if he doesn’t opt out. Don’t know if he’d really got a ton more than that. The articles on his trade rumors have also indicated that the acquiring team may require him to waive his opt out rights as a condition of a trade, the acquiring team could add 1-2 years too. He also has a full NTC, but if Passan is to be believed that doesn’t seem like an issue for us.
  17. Cubswin11
    I wonder if they did this, the goal would be to get under the tax next year and not this year. Maybe this would be viewed as an exception to add a long-term star. We also could maybe get them to take Chatwood for the year in a deal and throw in some prospects with it to help the LT burden this year.
  18. Cubswin11
    Hmmm, yes if only there was something they could do about it
  19. Cubswin11
    I also learned today Sonny Gray had an elbow surgery in September. Maybe put the World Series parade on hold.
  20. Cubswin11
    The 40-man is at 39. They snuck Pelham through waivers the other day. I think Underwood doesn’t make it through spring and would guess one of the horsefeathers against the wall guys takes his spot. I also think Ryan is a likely lock to make the pen. Ah, I meant to have Ryan in there as a lock with Wick (you can tell from how awkwardly worded that sentence is 8-[ ). But yeah like Brian said it's 39 before Souza and Jeffress, so someone has to go. I'd guess Underwood as the worst combination of expendable and lacking minor league options, but it could be someone else. I also wonder if we're about to see a Q trade, and that the team is finally spending money because they finally know exactly how much they have available. Norwood or Underwood I think would be the two pitchers most likely cut to make room. If it’s a position player I’d guess Robel. But yeah always possible a trade is coming.
  21. Cubswin11
  22. Cubswin11
    Sucks we’re poor and can’t be in on this
  23. Cubswin11
    The 40-man is at 39. They snuck Pelham through waivers the other day. I think Underwood doesn’t make it through spring and would guess one of the horsefeathers against the wall guys takes his spot. I also think Ryan is a likely lock to make the pen.
  24. Cubswin11
    4/64 is fine but with opt-outs that makes it so, so bad. Right, which with the opt outs he should’ve cost less. Either hits the horsefeathers out of the ball one of the next two years and leaves or reverts back to his 1.5-2 win self or worse and stays and is “overpaid.”
  25. Cubswin11
    The Cubs know Strop better than anyone and he wanted to come back. That the Cubs didn’t sign him but did sign Jeffers probably says more about what they think about his arm than anything. I’m not giving the medical staff the benefit of doubt that they made the right decision here based on health. Jeffress had shoulder and hip injuries last year.
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