Gambling on a ~Nelson type talent - healthy with a good arm, high pedigree, some ML success and/or experience, and lots of minor league success - is how they found their current ace. I think it's a route they will have to go down, and are capable of going down eventually, to avoid consistently paying the super high prices for established guys via trade or FAs. That said, I would like them to get a more established guy on their next trade too, nothing wrong about targeting the obvious once in a while when it is out there. The offense and defense being so good will allow them to take gambles, be a little more eclectic, about SPs they target in the long run. Yes, but we got that without giving up real assets and the argument here has been needing or wanting to trade real prospect assets for such pitchers. We can trade all the Vogelbach's, Zagunis's etc. of the systems you want for those types of pitchers but not the real prospects that have real value.