He's also been as good as Meche has ever been. And he's much less expensive. Risk is more than the player's ability, but his cost. Ryan Dempster is Meche in 2 years. Live arm, has shown glimpses, but never put it together. The biggest difference is that Dempster put together 3 straight years of 200+ innings, while Meche never did, and Ryan is far less expensive. When was the last time Dempster was as good as Meche has ever been? 2001? 2000? He last pitched 200 innings in 2002, and he was bad. I understand the spirit of what you are saying, but saying Ryan is no bigger a gamble in the rotation than Meche is a real stretch. I'd wager that someone from the group of Dempster, Cotts, Marshall or Guzman could match Meche's numbers next year. I'm not confident of that. Not remotely. meche's era+ the last three years have been 86, 85 and 97. marshall's was 83 last year. you could say that meche is/will be better, but he's not $9.7 mil better. if meche is $9.7 mil better than marshall, zambrano is going to get a $600 mil contract.