when Lee's average drops to the .290 range, his slugging percentage will be around .510 based on his career IsoP. he's obviously not hitting for power like he did earlier in his career, so i would expect his slugging percentage to drop to the .470 range, making Lee a .290/.360/.470 player. I doubt Lee falls that far. He's a much better pure hitter than he ever has been before, and one of the better ones in the league. I would guess he'd be somewhere between .310 and .320 on the season. He will have to up the HR totals if he wants to maintain that average. I don't see why-several hitters hit .310 or better in the major leagues last year and had less than 20 home runs. Joe Mauer, Freddy Sanchez, Derek Jeter, Robinson Cano, Ichiro Suzuki, Carlos Guillen, Reed Johnson, Paul Lo Duca, Victor Martinez, Michael Young, Gary Matthews Jr. Even if Lee didn't up his HR totals, what keeps him from joining that group? He's patient and he hits the ball to all fields. He strikes out a lot, but not much more than Jeter or Michael Young (or Miguel Cabrera-who didn't make this list, but only hit 26 home runs last year, struck out 108 times, and still batted .339 in 576 at-bats). Lee doesn't have the ability to sustain a .350 average without the home runs, but I don't see a reason why he couldn't sustain a .310 average.