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Mephistopheles

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Everything posted by Mephistopheles

  1. Mephistopheles
    Lou on the OF we like Murton a lot. soriano protecting zambrano hitting leadoff. Jacque Jones and Felix Pie and the WC: Theriot in CF.
  2. Mephistopheles
    well hes 22 and doesnt have much time. of course his athleticism ought to help him out. and wilken had him #1 in the nation. period.
  3. Mephistopheles
    Tim Wilken had Samardzija ahead of Andrew Miller. JH: Wood in the bullpen (duh). Lou and Larry will get him ready for Opening Day in ST. Been throwing bullpens for a couple weeks. Needs to learn to pitch out of the pen. JH: Mark Priors been on the mound for the last week. Going well. Theyre optimistic hes going to come to camp healthy.
  4. Mephistopheles
    The most important thing is we got winners. DeRosa (From Atlanta) Soriano (From New York) Lilly (From New York) Marquis (From Atlanta and St. Louis) ----------------------------- Dunno who siad it.
  5. Mephistopheles
    Eyre (I think it was) said he started workouts early this year in December.
  6. Mephistopheles
    And they're not done releasing the list, but I would assume that no more Cubs will be found. http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2007/baseball/mlb/01/19/prospects.partiii/1.html http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2007/baseball/mlb/01/18/prospects.partii/1.html
  7. Mephistopheles
    Agreed, new rule.
  8. Mephistopheles
    Given the lack of results and mixing reports on how dominant his fastball has been, I still think you have to put him behind the likes of Sean Gallagher and Mark Pawelek. He's close to Chris Huseby in my opinion, whose projection is just as much and has shown much better secondary stuff. Next year will say a lot.
  9. Mephistopheles
    And while we're at it, PECOTA likes Pie and Patterson more than Zambrano in the short/mid run.
  10. Mephistopheles
    They don't have him quite hitting his walk rate for next season though so they might be taking that into account a little bit. last year his average was .277 and OBP .351, and they have his average at .287 and OBP at .349. While not a significant difference, that drop in BB's is almost a third of the way from the increase last year back to his career numbers. They have him with a walk every 14 or so PAs and last year he walked every 13th or so PA. Granted a couple of the BB's in PECOTA are probably IBBs but they dont differentiate between the two.
  11. Mephistopheles
    I'm going to go against PECOTA on Soriano. There are a couple things that PECOTA does not take in account of. The first is being teammates around the batter. While it's true that "protection" leading to "good pitches to hit" is probably a myth, it's certainly true that having bad hitters behind you leads to intentional walks. I believe PECOTA differentiates UBB's from IBB's but takes IBB as a general skill if you can hit. For most of the season Soriano had Jose Vidro, Felipe Lopez and Royce Clayton hitting behind him - none of whom slugged .400 and had a combined slugging percentage of like .370. There was an extreme incentive for opposing teams to intentionally walk him. He had 16 of them last season after getting just 15 in the first five years of his career. He's certainly not going to going to get that kind of respect with better overall hitters like Derrek Lee and Aramis Ramirez lurking and possibly a great contact hitter to hit and run with in second, Murton. Teams are also going to want to put his footspeed on base with these hitters coming up. Taking away the IBBs and he still had a significant increase in his walk rate last season, but PECOTA is expecting him to hit that notch again, I don't see how this is justified.
  12. Mephistopheles
  13. Mephistopheles
    umm, why? No one else is going to read.
  14. Mephistopheles
    And Sosa, Ramirez, Borowski and Grudz. Didn't Walker also miss some time? 2004 was a disaster. As far as how the Cubs did, they scored enough runs and stopped enough runs to have a pythagorean w-l as 94-68
  15. Mephistopheles
    Well Prior hasn't caught the eastern equine encephalomyelitis virus (yet), so it's progress.
  16. Mephistopheles
    Cole Hamels does too if I am not mistaken. Injuries! But then again so did Barry Zito who hasn't missed a start since he was like sixteen.
  17. Mephistopheles
    Breaking his nonthrowing arm wouldn't make a difference in baseball. It would heal by mid April or so. And it's likely he would lean more to baseball because of the physical wreck football can cause.
  18. Mephistopheles
    what a letdown. 1-1) Albert Pujols 1-2) 1-3) 1-4) 1-5) 1-6) 1-7) 1-8) 1-9) 1-10) 1-11) 1-12)
  19. Mephistopheles
    just for safety reasons im a bad person and hope he breaks his arm (clean break) in the senior bowl (non throwing, of course)
  20. Mephistopheles
    That 2004 team was special, a 100-105 win team if Prior and Wood were healthy.
  21. Mephistopheles
    I think another thing that's important to mention is how Jacque Jones was once a highly thought of prospect in his own right. Granted he hasnt had a great career but solid nonetheless. Colvin and Pie are certainly no gimmies to outproduce him ever. If things break right they might, but then again if things broke right on Jones he'd be better too. This is the scouting report on him from BA's 1999 Top 10 Twins Prospects: http://www.baseballamerica.com/online/leagues/mlb/twins/99top10.html Yeah it's subscriber content but I really don't think anyone cares. It's like eight years old now.
  22. Mephistopheles
    Watch what you say RichHillBeast, Juan Pierre was in the 77th percentile as far as H/PA and was in the 89th percentile as far as H/G among players with five hundred PA's. And to be technically correct he was fifth in the majors in hits, led national league.
  23. Mephistopheles
    Do people forget the contract that A.J. Burnett got from Toronto after the 2005 season? Sure, he was coming off a season in which he threw over 200 innings, but he has as much of an injury history as prior, if not moreso. And if I'm not mistaken, Burnett's injuries weren't the fluke "collided with a baserunner" or "got hit by a line drive off the pitching elbow" type of injuries. If Prior was a free agent, I don't doubt that he would have been offered a nice multi-year deal, contingent on passing a physical. If he doesn't pass, they withdraw the offer. But his injury history isn't going to limit the initial offers to one-year deals. That's simply not true: http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/players/profile?statsId=6393
  24. Mephistopheles
    Someone decided not to rank Rice number 1! http://www.pgcrosschecker.com/collegebaseball/2007/preseason_top_100_teams.aspx !! Lot's of information there. They have a top 100 teams and a team preview for each of them. All for free. http://www.baseballamerica.com/images/nfuller07428309rg.jpg http://www.baseballamerica.com/online/college/features/263142.html http://www.baseballamerica.com/online/college/features/263143.html Top fifty freshman and top twnety five transfers
  25. Mephistopheles
    http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=2734082 No need for a new thread, it appears to be done
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