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Mephistopheles

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Everything posted by Mephistopheles

  1. Mephistopheles
    not really. if either one goes 1 loss up to the SEC-C and wins the championship, theyre in so long as there arent two undefeated teams, which is unlikely. If both go 12-0 and 11-1 to the SEC-C, the winner of the SEC-C is going to the NC regardless of how many undefeated teams there are so long as the games are close.
  2. Mephistopheles
    Eric Patterson will most certainly be top 100 on BA. Don't be surprised if hes down around 50
  3. Mephistopheles
    Question. What's the difference between adjusted EqA for the season and adjusted EqA for all time? Because for all-time shows Tejada at .294, while the season shows .278. What makes choosing 1 better than the other? in the NL, adjusted EqA =~ all-time EqA. in the AL, adjusted EqA < all time EqA. When you do that calculations for the league average raw eqa you use the league average totals overall. Pitchers bring down the NL totals. Using EqA1 to compare players between the NL and AL is stupid
  4. Mephistopheles
    pretty much. i think we can all agree that the game of the season is that LSU/UF match up followed closely by USC-Cal although that one always lets us down. Id argue that the winner of the LSU UF game doesn't matter. If the other team wins out theyre in the BCS championship.
  5. Mephistopheles
    Colvin will most certainly be in BAs top 100. I wouldn't be shocked if hes top 75 or even higher.
  6. Mephistopheles
    The original BCS formula for one...the one that included margin of victory. Assume this. Penn State goes undefeated their best win is against Wisconsin or Ohio State, two teams that will probably have 2 or 3 losses. They really don't play one of the elite three {USC, UF, LSU}. If UF/LSU play two close games decided by less than a touchdown each and both win one, who's to say they both aren't better than PSU? Both teams losses are because of SOS. Since both games are close, there's considerable evidence to argue that they are both better than PSU despite PSU going undefeated. And notice how I didn't include OU in the elite. I think theyre a tad overrated right now.
  7. Mephistopheles
    Some people just don't get it. I'll use the baseball analogy again, if a team wins the game it doesnt mean theyre better. If a team in baseball goes 20-15 out of the gate it doesnt mean they are a better team than the one who went 18-17. Jesus christ this world is built upon falsehoods.
  8. Mephistopheles
    Does it matter? Theriot can't play SS. when comparing options, it clearly does matter. does the 30 runs you are throwing out there count defense? no because theriot is an inferior defensive player and i wanted to give you guys a chance in the argument.
  9. Mephistopheles
    not really. i understand the system would select an undefeated psu team. does that mean that psu should be there? absolutely not
  10. Mephistopheles
    at 72.2% of the market price too.
  11. Mephistopheles
    this is a better metaphor you can say "Jenny, you're idea that I'm too independent is stupid." or "Jenny, you're stupid because you think I'm too independent."
  12. Mephistopheles
    The 30 run upgrade is immaterial. You should've just said, "I have my doubts that the Cubs can spend 13 million dollars this off season," and left it at that. Therefore if a 30 run upgrade is out there to be had, then they're going to have to get creative freeing up several existing commitments first. This leads directly into the discussion of which guys we could foist off on Baltimore in the deal -- you know, the one you said "isnt all that important." that statement did not mean anything about the cubs having or not having 13m to spend. i meant the cubs cant spend 13 mil elsewhere and get 30 runs with it. i didnt say we couldnt move salary, i just said that the 13 million contract shouldnt deter us if we can get him. that said i dont think we could get the os to take on anyone. they dont really have to if they want to move tejada. there will be takers who give up just prospects.
  13. Mephistopheles
    Why? Is this an ownership saga thing? I'm not really up to date on that, but they certainly have the cashflow. That's not an unreasonable buy, acquiring a less volatile commodity to boot, when they'll probably be right back in the playoff sweet spot next year. youre misinterpreting the quote. maybe i didnt word it as well as i should have. i meant that i dont think that the cubs could spend 13 million dollars elsewhere and get 30 runs with it.
  14. Mephistopheles
    heres also what i said I have my doubts that the Cubs can spend 13 million dollars this off season on a 30 run upgrade. bingo
  15. Mephistopheles
    It is. Just because Jim Hendry's too stupid to find it isn't my fault. He pays 21 million for it. Theyre out there if you care to look. Crap we have one better already on payroll closing for our team. Demp > RP level. So there. Not too hard. Since my definition of RP level and RP level availability is questioned, then fine. Dempster + Tejada > Hill + 13M. And Dempsters spot in the bullpen isnt really an issue. We can replace that with lots of things.
  16. Mephistopheles
    Let's see. YOU DID NOT LISTEN TO ME AND YOU DID NOT READ MY KENT DANG POST! IT IRRITATES ME SO KENT DANG MUCH WHEN PEOPLE DONT READ MY POSTS AND IVE ALREADY ADDRESSED THEIR ARGUMENT. JESUS CHRIST. READ! You know considering this is a message board I would expect you to actually read things! I know that sounds outlandish but it helps. I already said that Tejada > Hill + 13 million to spend. READ MY POSTS IN THEIR ENTIRETY. IT HELPS!
  17. Mephistopheles
    Are you kidding me? ARE YOU KIDDING ME!? My lord. Quote of the Year. What other possibilities are there? I'd like to see what kind of Ryan Theriot you'd come up with.
  18. Mephistopheles
    not really.
  19. Mephistopheles
    and re pence and braun. Did you see how long the Brewers sucked to get their prospects? Did you ever think that there are teams who have to use their farm as players and not bargaining chips.....and these teams have been doing it for a decade and haven't produced much? Tampa, Baltimore, Colorado, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, and so on. You see I have this thing, called a level head. I know the limitations of Pie. I know his value. His value is not that high. His perceived value is higher than his actual value, so we'd be foolhardy not to trade him if we had a chance. You dont want to be gunshy with your big prospects. That's what gets you in trouble.
  20. Mephistopheles
    Davearm is an example, an example of people not getting it. If you can spend the money you make the trade. Did you close your eyes and not read the rest of my posts? I have my doubts that the Cubs can spend 13 million dollars this off season on a 30 run upgrade. Like I said if we cant spend 13 million on him, then the discussion is pointless. Hill + 13 million to spend < Tejada. That's been my point the entire time. Jesus christ. Read. My. Entire. Posts! JESUS
  21. Mephistopheles
    zambrano easy
  22. Mephistopheles
    Does it matter? Theriot can't play SS.
  23. Mephistopheles
    Im going to rate them on a 0-100 scale. 100 being awesome, an elite prospect. A 90 being a top 100 guys. A 80 being a top 200 guy and so on. Donaldson is growing on me. Hes about the only thing that went right in June, although I didnt like it at the time. If he would be a MLB C he'd be a 90+ right now. 96 Eric Patterson 94 Geovany Soto 93 Donald Veal 92 Sean Gallagher 90 Josh Vitters 88 Tyler Colvin 88 Chris Huseby 87 Josh Donaldson 80 Brian Dopirak 78 Jeff Golden Boy 78 Kyler Burke 77 Mitch Atkins 76 Ryan Harvey 75 Tony Thomas 75 Robert Hernandez 75 Alex Maestri 75 Jose Ceda 75 Larry Suarez 75 Cedric Redmond 75 Jake Renshaw I dont know much about Carlos Perez, but he looks fairly promising. Take these as a starting point, not absolute. I did them from memory without thinking. Is there someone I forgot? Rocquet doesn't count. As you can tell 75 became a catch all rating for guys who have decent potential and the low minors.
  24. Mephistopheles
    No, but the unquantifiable represents such a small portion of the game it's irrelevant.
  25. Mephistopheles
    Would he? With Boston picking up a third iirc of the 9 (?) mil next year and the Braves dreaming of contending why would they trade him unless they absolutely had to? They may (hello Marcus Giles) If they had to, small market teams would be interested because of the 6 million cost and most of them could and would offer packages that would trump us, although Pie would interest the Braves. Marshall might. Marshall, Pie + for Renteria? I'd be down with that. I don't think people here would considering they wouldn't be down with Pie for Tejada. One thing to consider is that a trade for Renteria involving Hill may not actually help the team, although it would "transfer" our baseball "assets" from pitchers to hitters -- which is good or bad depending on how you look at it. Pitchers usually command higher value when traded but pitchers also tend to get hurt and this leads to actually a lower expected performance. Renterias having a great season this year, but he's EqA'd under .280 three of the last four seasons. Tejada hasn't since 2001. If I could trade Hill for Tejada I would. If I could trade Pie and Marshall for Renteria I would.
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