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Jon

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Everything posted by Jon

  1. Jon
    Well, they would have been going off of someone else's scouting report. Hopefully CubsFX.com will do the same breakdown that they did with CC a couple of days ago.
  2. Jon
    I may be wrong on this, so correct me if i'm wrong, but Len and Bob made it seem like Harden's changeup was an important pitch for him and that it was used quite often. If that's true, i'm highly doubting he only threw 1 in his last start. 7/1 Sliders - 26 Changeup - 1 6/26 Sliders - 26 Changeup - 3 Perhaps he gets a lot of break on his changeup. I don't know. If he does, it may not be as good as his normal "slider," but it appears to be an effective breaking pitch.
  3. Jon
    Interesting theory. It's worth noting that Oakland is virtually even with Wrigley this season in HR Park Factor (1.096 to 1.101). It's actually one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in the league despite the HRs, though. Doubles and triples are hard to come by.
  4. Jon
    http://chicagosports.chicagotribune.com/sports/baseball/cubs/cs-080708-rich-harden-chicago-cubs-trade,1,3779313.story Honesly, you'd think it's bad news to find out he's only throwing 2 pitches, but outside of his last 2 starts (which weren't terrible), he's still been unhittable, so if it let's him pitch more innings i'm fine. I'm assuming they are talking about since his last trip to the DL right? Or are they just talking about since the recent dead arm start? Last time out: Fastballs - 46 Sliders - 35 Splitter - 1 Changeup - 1 I doubt his changeup breaks enough to be mistaken by PitchFX as a slider.
  5. Jon
    I can't say I've seen a Princess Bride-themed baseball article before, but here it is: http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/life-is-pain-and-anyone-who-says-differently-is-selling-something/ It has to be tough being a Blue Jays fan recently.
  6. Jon
    It's a little known fact that the will he/won't he tension surrounding the McGriff trade was the primary inspiration for the main plot line of the BBC version of The Office.
  7. Jon
    It's not injury related, but does someone want to try to explain this? http://www.fangraphs.com/graphs/1772_P_season_full_9_20080708.png http://www.fangraphs.com/graphs/1772_P_daily_full_9_20080708.png http://www.fangraphs.com/graphs/1772_P_season_full_4_20080708.png He is giving up a lot of flies, although it appears that the rates are just starting to head in the right direction.
  8. Jon
    Way too many band nerds on this board. I have highlights of both the 49ers and Browns games at home. Since they were removed from YouTube a while ago, I should put them up somewhere else.
  9. Jon
    Yeah. But combine that with a vague quote or two and you've got a lot of people talking about a significant drop in velocity. Of course, I have a feeling nobody actually looked at his readings. When commentators and columnists mention velocity, it's based off a couple of readings on TV or with the stadium gun. It certainly isn't comprehensive.
  10. Jon
    It's also just one start and he seemed to bounce back from it just fine in terms of velocity. It's something worth keeping an eye on, though everything with Harden's health is worth keeping an eye on. To be honest, in an ideal situation, I might have preferred that this trade happen a couple of weeks later just to see how his next couple of starts go. I can't complain that it happened when it did, though.
  11. Jon
    Drop it, everyone. I'd rather talk about the Cubs on the Cubs forum.
  12. Jon
    That's quite possible. On that 7/1 start, his splitter had an average velocity of 85.79 mph. He threw it 8 times. The data only had him throwing it once last time out, though. FS is the splitter, correct?
  13. Jon
    Here's the list for his starts following his first start back from the DL: 7/6 - 92.79 MPH average fastball 7/1 - 90.57 MPH average fastball 6/26 - 92.14 MPH average fastball 6/20 - 92.01 MPH average fastball 6/14 - 92.04 MPH average fastball 6/8 - 92.74 MPH average fastball 6/2 - 92.75 MPH average fastball 5/28 - 92.16 MPH average fastball 5/23 - 92.30 MPH average fastball 5/17 - 93.25 MPH average fastball
  14. Jon
    Not to get too granular about this (and not to be a pain in the arse), but wont the avg velocity be heavily impacted by pitch mix? Has that been pretty constant? No, it's only looking at fastballs. I'm sure there's a better way, but I did a quick SUMIF divided by COUNTIF based on whether it was a fastball: 7/6 - 92.79 MPH average fastball 7/1 - 90.57 MPH average fastball - There's your point for concern 6/26 - 92.14 MPH average fastball 5/28 - 92.16 MPH average fastball His chart from the 7/1 game: http://brooksbaseball.net/pfx/speed.php?xml=http://gd2.mlb.com/components/game/mlb/year_2008/month_07/day_01/gid_2008_07_01_oakmlb_anamlb_1//pbp/pitchers/425848.xml&innings=yyyyyyyyy&sp_type=1&s_type=1
  15. Jon
    I just ran the data from his last outing in Excel and came up with an average fastball velocity of 92.79 MPH. Time to go do those other games.
  16. Jon
    I didn't even notice that. I suppose that makes it a little harder to compare at first glance. If anything, Harden had slightly less on his fastball during the end of his best outing. Of course, he didn't throw as many last time out, but he was still sitting primarily 92-94 in his last few innings.
  17. Jon
    Harden's last start on 7/6: http://brooksbaseball.net/pfx/speed.php?xml=http://gd2.mlb.com/components/game/mlb/year_2008/month_07/day_06/gid_2008_07_06_oakmlb_chamlb_1//pbp/pitchers/425848.xml&innings=yyyyyyyyy&s_type=1&sp_type=1&h_size=700&v_size=500 Compare that with his best start, which came on 6/26: http://brooksbaseball.net/pfx/speed.php?xml=http://gd2.mlb.com/components/game/mlb/year_2008/month_06/day_26/gid_2008_06_26_phimlb_oakmlb_1//pbp/pitchers/425848.xml&innings=yyyyyyyyy&sp_type=1&s_type=1 and 5/28: http://brooksbaseball.net/pfx/speed.php?xml=http://gd2.mlb.com/components/game/mlb/year_2008/month_05/day_28/gid_2008_05_28_tormlb_oakmlb_1//pbp/pitchers/425848.xml&innings=yyyyyyyyy&sp_type=1&s_type=1
  18. Jon
    Here's some new info according to Chicago SportsNet Chicago: -Initial bids are due by July 18 -4 or 5 bidders will "advance" to the next stage -A new owner is expected to be selected near the end of the season Not a whole lot, but it seems to be moving forward.
  19. Jon
    He threw 95 pitches each of the last two times out. I'm guessing he might be on a leash of around 100, especially in July. It's interesting how Oakland handled him. Harden threw 90 pitches in his first start back, followed by 102, 105, 100, and 115. Since then, he has averaged 95 pitches with no appearances fewer than 91 pitches and none more than 99. 100 may be an arbitrary mark, but we'll see if that continues with the Cubs. 115 seems unnecessary.
  20. Jon
    The policy on personal attacks hasn't changed. As bad as the board has been lately, I would hope that tonight would at least be a break from that following the trade. If it hasn't been dropped yet, please forget about it and enjoy the rest of the game.
  21. Jon
    Hopefully it will give Luis Bautista a chance to show what he can do. Does anyone else think that Donaldson was included in the deal based on how Wellington Castillo has progressed recently? Or is it just me? Its not like Donaldson was putting up good numbers at all anyways, but still......... My first thought when I heard that Donaldson was included in the trade is that Hendry was selling low, but based on the rest of the package, I don't think that was the case. I'm not sure Castillo played much of a role in Jim's thinking, though. With Soto, he's probably not thinking about a future starting catcher. Hendry probably saw a chance to trade a struggling young prospect to a guy who didn't undervalue him and jumped on it, especially when it allowed him to keep more valuable trade chips.
  22. Jon
    That's really caused by a single start. In his first game back from injury, he gave up 5 earned over 3.2 IP at Texas. He's been quite good since then: 10 starts, 62.1 IP, 42 H, 20 BB, 72 K, 4 HR, 2.02 ERA, .190/.258/.272 against
  23. Jon
    It's gotta be the socks, folks. It's gotta be the socks.
  24. Jon
    Hopefully it will give Luis Bautista a chance to show what he can do.
  25. Jon
    I read it pretty infrequently, but I do know that Voros McCracken is a big soccer fan who has done a lot of work with stats in soccer. I can't say if it's actually him, though.
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