Hendricks v. Scherzer also gave a slight edge to the Nats I'm actually kinda shocked Hammel's peripherals are so "bad" (a 3.70 ERA isn't all that awful at the end of the day). I remember him actually pitching very very well for the first starts of the year and only has he seemed completely off course around that leg injury. He's walking an extra batter per 9 from last season, and his strike out rate is slightly lower, so yeah. Get better Jason. I think a big reason is that Hammel is a fly ball pitcher that typically has a FB/HR rate around 12-12.5%, and this year its at 8.7% which would be among the best 10 or so pitchers in the NL (i think). He has allowed only 15% of his runners to score when usually it is about 22-28%. Also his BABIP against is at .251 this year after being around .280ish the last few years. His peripherals suggest he is getting unsustainably lucky. These are bad scary things because I already bang my head against the wall during his starts