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imb

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Everything posted by imb

  1. The Cubs are on pace to get as much value from Bryant, Rizzo, and Darvish combined as Bryant provided, and they have the best record in the national league. right, no one is saying the cubs are actually bad or that the brewers are as good as the cubs are now because they traded for jonathan schoop, it's just that the reaction to the brewers moves now is bordering on parody.
  2. We should trade them kintzler I, too, am looking forward to your Front Page article complaining about our 6th best reliever. Sorry this was a joke about kintzler’s sexy soft contact rate.
  3. Villar: .304 wOBA this year, .313 career Schoop: .306 wOBA this year, .320 career Trading for Villar for Schoop and moving him to SS is an objective downgrade, not just inefficient. Moustakas can hit better than the Brewers 2B, but Shaw is also high risk for being worse than expected at 2B, they gave up a nontrivial trade asset to make that happen, and there's also not a huge difference in Moustakas's bat and what you'd expect from an amalgamation of existing 2B options(never mind other trade targets). This isn't reflexive hating of a rival here, I'm the guy who was high on the Gerrit Cole deal, for example. That also illustrates that I might be very wrong, it's happened many times. But to me, trading for not good players so you can make your team's one elite strength actively worse is just dumb. And, IF defense downgrades aren't insignificant for a team like Milwaukee. Their starters are in the bottom half of MLB in K% and they have the 8th worse hard contact rate. They need to convert balls in play into outs to keep this up. We should trade them kintzler
  4. hell yeah the kind of in-depth horsefeathers i like I already gave the in-depth of why it's bad. They went from the 2015 Royals to the 2017 Cardinals. this is so bleacher nationy that im surprised that goober hasn't posted it as a headline yet
  5. as much as i'd like for brewers players to start dying in car crashes it just hasn't happened yet.
  6. this type of analysis is sooooooo bad. Whether or not they got Machado has 0 bearing on whether they improved or not, and people keep shifting back and forth between "actually it's bad because their defense got worse actually it's bad because it wasn't the most efficient use of their resources actually it's bad because ummmmmmmmm." It's bad because it's bad. hell yeah the kind of in-depth horsefeathers i like
  7. Or maybe, and I recognize this is hard to understand when you're still basking in that new middle-reliever glow, but maybe they just wanted to improve their team and it doesn't actually matter how efficiently they did it. I think I've made this clear, I really don't think they made their team any better unfortunately you are wrong, but like i said luckily we have a 100 million or so head start on them so it's probably fine
  8. this type of analysis is sooooooo bad. Whether or not they got Machado has 0 bearing on whether they improved or not, and people keep shifting back and forth between "actually it's bad because their defense got worse actually it's bad because it wasn't the most efficient use of their resources actually it's bad because ummmmmmmmm." It's almost like it's bad for a lot of reasons Or maybe, and I recognize this is hard to understand when you're still basking in that new middle-reliever glow, but maybe they just wanted to improve their team and it doesn't actually matter how efficiently they did it.
  9. which IF do you prefer? Shaw/Arcia/VillarPerez or Moustakas/SchoopArcia/Shaw? Now put yourself in the mindset of a GM who knows the first one isn't good enough to win the division. The one with Manny Machado in it. this type of analysis is sooooooo bad. Whether or not they got Machado has 0 bearing on whether they improved or not, and people keep shifting back and forth between "actually it's bad because their defense got worse actually it's bad because it wasn't the most efficient use of their resources actually it's bad because ummmmmmmmm."
  10. You think Villar is a better player than Schoop? I think they are similar, they get their value differently but are close. Especially if the comp is going to be Villar the 2B vs Schoop the SS. which IF do you prefer? Shaw/Arcia/VillarPerez or Moustakas/SchoopArcia/Shaw? Now put yourself in the mindset of a GM who knows the first one isn't good enough to win the division.
  11. horsefeathers now they're going to lose the efficiency olympics too?
  12. They went from Shaw/Arcia/VillarPerez to Moustakas/Schoop/Shaw. That's an upgrade no matter how much Shaw weighs. Put Shaw in the OF and Schoop at 2B when you have a GB pitcher on the mound if you're that worried about defense. Villar had a batter bWAR and same fWAR as Schoop this year You think Villar is a better player than Schoop?
  13. The Brewer rotation is Jhoulys Chacin, Junior Guerra, Chase Anderson, Freddy Peralta, and Zach Davies. Those 5 have beat their FIP by .45, .70, 1.31, -.18, and .07 respectively. The Brewer infield UZR this year: 1B: 2.1 - no deadline change 2B: -0.9 - going from Sogard/Villar/Perez to Shaw SS: 3.6 - going from Villar/Saladino to Schoop(a career -1 UZR 2B) 3B: 5.0 - going from Shaw to Moustakas They're making themselves actively worse defensively in the middle infield to get Schoop(.306 wOBA, .320 career) and Moustakas(.325 woBA, .316 career) into the lineup. If you want to call it wish-casting to be baffled that they're doing this when their rotation offers only hope for regression instead of improvement even before the defensive changes, that's okay. These are just objectively baffling moves though. Stearns has made some real bright moves, and his aggressiveness has helped stave off the regression that was coming from Santana, Thames, and Braun, but just like you literally said Theo has had a bad year of making moves and still probably think he's pretty good, Stearns squandered this trade deadline. "They potentially got worse defensively at 2 IF spots" does not equal "they got worse as a team." Luckily for us, our head start on our roster+ our market size means that their moves are likely not enough. But a lot of the "oh hoh hoh it's cute how the brewers are trying" stuff is falling real flat as it appears that they actually have a good team and a good GM.
  14. which moves made by the brewers do you disagree with and why? They basically did nothing at the deadline last year except Swarzak (I think), if they added Q or another SP or another bat they could've held us off or made the WC. They went in to the year planning on guys like Sogard, Arcia, Villar, their catchers, Santana and a whole rotation that had questions all over them and all those bats died (luckily Aguilar hit like Trout in the first half to make up for it) and the defense helps shield horsefeathers starting pitching and now they are doing something likely hurt why the SP was doing good enough while also barely improving on offense. I don't think I need to point out why this doesn't count as analysis as much as its just handwaving away the possibility that the brewers are good and have done well since last offseason.
  15. I haven't really done that. I'm sure I made fun of them for not doing anything of substance at the deadline last year -- which might have been smart since they finished one game out of the Wild Card. But I thought the Yelich move was a great move. I praised them for it. I thought the Cain move was odd, since I thought they should have focused more on pitching. That move is working great for them now. But it remains to be seen how it will look long-term. Mainly I've been critical of him taking half measures. The galaxy brain stuff is normally reserved for their fans. But he's went full brewerfan.net poster this deadline. They went from Shaw/Arcia/VillarPerez to Moustakas/Schoop/Shaw. That's an upgrade no matter how much Shaw weighs. Put Shaw in the OF and Schoop at 2B when you have a GB pitcher on the mound if you're that worried about defense.
  16. Well it didn't work last deadline when they missed the playoffs. A lot of the things they have done with the information we have are at best odd moves and at worst really dumb moves. you mean blowing like a 7 game lead and missing the playoffs wasn't their goal last year? which moves made by the brewers do you disagree with and why?
  17. it gets the same "ahahah wow galaxy brain" jokes that all their other moves do, but nothing substantive. Everything the brewers have done since what, last trade deadline, get a bunch of "this won't work" jokes that everyone pretends counts as analysis. "Travis Shaw can't play second base he's 240 pounds! Wow Moustakas at third? Guess their pitching won't be good anymore." That's not analysis, it's wish-casting. are you just mad that they're the ones making fun of stuff without posting anything of substance and not you this time?
  18. You and Duke are hilarious. Shaw is plus at 3B, obv too soon to tell at 2B but the Brewers value defense and appear to not be a dumb FO so there's at least some faith he can pass there. Moustakas has been a plus 3B this year and every year except last. Schoop is going to be not good at SS but the bat is heating up and if the point is to improve as a whole, the Brewers did that. Hopefully as a small market team they pull a Pirates and they have a brief window that snaps shut very suddenly, but the nonstop jokes at their expense is hilariously transparent from both of you. No these moves are pretty dumb it gets the same "ahahah wow galaxy brain" jokes that all their other moves do, but nothing substantive. Everything the brewers have done since what, last trade deadline, get a bunch of "this won't work" jokes that everyone pretends counts as analysis. "Travis Shaw can't play second base he's 240 pounds! Wow Moustakas at third? Guess their pitching won't be good anymore." That's not analysis, it's wish-casting.
  19. I'll take that bet that Smyly is even remotely passable in his first couple months back from TJ. Reminder: he hasn't pitched in 1 2/3 seasons. Is there even any real indication he's going to throw an inning for us this year? Pretty sure he's going on a rehab assignment soon. He's done 1, if not 2, sim games in the last weekish. Again, he hasn't pitched since 2016. Even if he goes on the rehab assignment in a week, you don't miss almost two full seasons, go throw 20 innings in A ball and then come up in a pennant race and help/make a playoff roster. The smyly signing was good, but for reasons beyond 2018.
  20. I'm okay with we did, would've been nice to do more but think we made some solid moves. Smyly could be back soon too and always was kinda like a deadline addition we bought in the winter. I'll take that bet that Smyly is even remotely passable in his first couple months back from TJ. Reminder: he hasn't pitched in 1 2/3 seasons. Is there even any real indication he's going to throw an inning for us this year?
  21. You and Duke are hilarious. Shaw is plus at 3B, obv too soon to tell at 2B but the Brewers value defense and appear to not be a dumb FO so there's at least some faith he can pass there. Moustakas has been a plus 3B this year and every year except last. Schoop is going to be not good at SS but the bat is heating up and if the point is to improve as a whole, the Brewers did that. Hopefully as a small market team they pull a Pirates and they have a brief window that snaps shut very suddenly, but the nonstop jokes at their expense is hilariously transparent from both of you.
  22. I know we're kinda locked in to the roster we have but yeeeeeeesh, it has not been a good year of transactions for Theo and Co.
  23. "Doolittle" is Theo's take on the trade deadline ok folks that's my good tweet for the day see you at 3 pm
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