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imb

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Everything posted by imb

  1. imb
    He needed to take advantage of this opportunity to remind us that he is a community college pitcher, ok. Give the guy a break. (I would have put it in transactions)
  2. imb
    I came prepared for a sentence on mechanics. I was not disappointed. (Well, I was, but that's a different story.)
  3. imb
    He may have made arangements anyway. Just because Sullivan or whomever hasn't explicitly said so yet doesn't mean that Ramirez is skirting his repsonsibilities. I know we're all dying to talk some baseball, but jesus christ. Either way I don't really care. As long as he hits and is healthy. People ragging on the guy because he's not early to camp is just silly. Oh, I agree. I wasn't directing that at you, I was just piggybacking your post. I know, sorry if it seemed like I was getting defensive with you. Haha, I didnt want you to think I was getting defensive with you. Most worthless tangent ever?
  4. imb
    How many more rounds are we doing? When Craig Monroe and Luis Castillo go back to back, its time to move on.
  5. imb
    He may have made arangements anyway. Just because Sullivan or whomever hasn't explicitly said so yet doesn't mean that Ramirez is skirting his repsonsibilities. I know we're all dying to talk some baseball, but jesus christ. Either way I don't really care. As long as he hits and is healthy. People ragging on the guy because he's not early to camp is just silly. Oh, I agree. I wasn't directing that at you, I was just piggybacking your post.
  6. imb
    Actually, they're similar but it's probably more acceptable to compare Daniel Cabrera to Carlos Zambrano. Both guys have good K rates, poor walk rates and are traditionally groundball pitchers. However Zambrano doesn't walk as many and gets more grounders, so while their skill sets are similar their production from the skills are dissimilar. I meant it more from the "they're the same age, but Carlos has 5 years of major league success to draw from, while Cabrera has never had any" angle. So it would be terrible to compare Rich Hill to Barry Zito last July? I am sure you and I both made those remarks. Rich Hill was having Zito-esque success though, I haven't gone through the game logs, but I doubt Cabrera had a 12 game stretch of Zambrano-like dominence. This is sort of a tangent anyway, the writer wasn't using Daniel Cabrera as an example of what might happen to Carlos Zambrano, he was just pointing out just how bad Zambrano's K-rate was. (I think we both agree on Big Z's red flags)
  7. imb
    He may have made arangements anyway. Just because Sullivan or whomever hasn't explicitly said so yet doesn't mean that Ramirez is skirting his repsonsibilities. I know we're all dying to talk some baseball, but jesus christ.
  8. imb
    Actually, they're similar but it's probably more acceptable to compare Daniel Cabrera to Carlos Zambrano. Both guys have good K rates, poor walk rates and are traditionally groundball pitchers. However Zambrano doesn't walk as many and gets more grounders, so while their skill sets are similar their production from the skills are dissimilar. I meant it more from the "they're the same age, but Carlos has 5 years of major league success to draw from, while Cabrera has never had any" angle.
  9. imb
    Why do you equate not trying to steal third with having a manager who sits around and does nothing? You coach, you know that there is more to game decisions than just "should I steal or not". I want a coach to worry about lefty/right match ups, defensive positioning, pinch hitting, etc...not to attempt a steal when it's likely harmful.
  10. imb
    Turning against him? Who's doing that? He hasn't shown up early to spring training, and it immediately turns into "well he looked out of shape to me" and "he's not early? that's not impressing anyone". It's useless garbage and it hasn't even been a week yet.
  11. imb
    You know how badly I wanted to say that if we signed Finley, Dusty would play him? I won't believe he's not managing until I see Lou on TV with my own eyes.
  12. imb
    Link zambrano's only signing because jim lied to him about what happens if he doesnt accept the offer Hahahahaha, awesome.
  13. imb
    Aramis leaves money on the table to stay with us and fans are turning against him less than a week into spring training?
  14. imb
    Again though those are flat line stats...DeRosa at 35%. What if it's a pitcher he is 22% successful against along with the next hitter? I think if I can get Soriano over to third on a steal and DeRosa can battle and get a ground ball or flyball I get a run instead of 2 ground outs in a row and nothing. I understand that you're playing the percentages but sometimes as a coach or manager you see something and you take advantage of that...IMO the good ones do. I'm not talking a gut feeling but to notice a pattern or weakness and take advantage of it. I don't care if DeRosa is 22% successful against the pitcher or 12% successful or 7% successful because for one thing, that number is likey based on a handful of at-bats where the 35% number (which is likely best case, mind you) is based on a far larger sample. Let's say that he is 22% rather than 35% for the sake of argument. You're willing to risk a losing a runner in scoring position based on a few at-bats that show the hitter at the plate is 13% worse than normal against the present pitcher?
  15. imb
    Even so, if Soriano gets thrown out at third, it's a bad thing. Regardless of whether DeRosa hits a 550 foot homerun or weakly grounds out to the pitcher. In your scenario, DeRosa reaches base safely, something he will do, best case scenario 35% of the time, and it was a net failure because we lost a man in scoring position during his at-bat. Had Soriano stayed at second, and DeRosa struck out, we're still in better shape, runner on 2nd and 2 outs as opposed to a runner on first and two outs.
  16. imb
    It was obvious that by 99% I was just saying "vast majority" and not referencing some advanced statistical study on base stealing. That didn't really need any explaining. Are you implying that this is an actual opinion that you hold? I'm confused. Anyway, this is a stupid offshoot of the actual argument, so unless you have anything else to add, I think we can both agree that this is going nowhere. My point is that if something has a low percentage of working why keep doing it? I think we agree then? Attempting to steal third has a very low rate of success/usefulness, and should only be tried during extreme circumstances. I don't know what point you're bringing up with the 9% homerun thing, though. I don't think the percentage of batters that go to the plate trying to hit a homerun every at bat is very high, but the amount of runners attempting to steal third when they attempt to steal third is probably 100%.
  17. imb
    It was obvious that by 99% I was just saying "vast majority" and not referencing some advanced statistical study on base stealing. That didn't really need any explaining. Are you implying that this is an actual opinion that you hold? I'm confused. Anyway, this is a stupid offshoot of the actual argument, so unless you have anything else to add, I think we can both agree that this is going nowhere.
  18. imb
    You know, there is a difference between an actual study done with real numbers, and then something like this, that you just got flustered and made up. Like the .01 percent? No, that is how often I would actually like Soriano to attempt a steal of third base with Lee, Ramirez, Barrett and Jones coming up behind him. Someone on second is already in scoring position, why risk the out just to get him more in scoring position? It's not worth it 99% of the time. How about that one? Do I really need to preface posts like that with a "just my opinion"? 99%, 92%, whatever.
  19. imb
    You know, there is a difference between an actual study done with real numbers, and then something like this, that you just got flustered and made up. Like the .01 percent? No, that is how often I would actually like Soriano to attempt a steal of third base with Lee, Ramirez, Barrett and Jones coming up behind him.
  20. imb
    You know, there is a difference between an actual study done with real numbers, and then something like this, that you just got flustered and made up.
  21. imb
    I think he was just joking with you. Everyone here needs to chill a little bit, damn. It's not like I'm furious about it. It was just a stupid thing to even bother bringing up.
  22. imb
    Who cares about next season. If he can steal his and the Cubs way to the World Series this year. Am I missing something here? Next=This Huh? Wood has a contract for this season but not for next season. Did you really think i was talking about 2008?
  23. imb
    Who cares about next season. If he can steal his and the Cubs way to the World Series this year. Am I missing something here? Next=This
  24. imb
    How many times next season is a game going to come down to it being the ninth inning of a one run game with soriano on second and one out? He's the only person that should be trying to steal third and that is just about the only situation that he should be trying it, and that situation is going to happen like 2 or 3 times during the course of the entire season.
  25. imb
    You should only steal 3rd if you're very sure you can make it-stealing 3rd is all about getting to score on an out, not a better chance of scoring on a hit. I t shouldn't be a routine thing, but if a good basestealer gets a good jump, it can be valuable as long as their success rate stealing 3rd is very high. Use Lou's quote for instance. He's talking about Soriano stealing third. He's the best basestealer on the team, but 99.99% of the time, I dont want him even thinking about stealing third with Lee, Ramirez and Jones coming up behind him. Sure, a guy on third will score on a passed ball/wild pitch, whereas a guy on second won't, but how many times in a season does that happen to a team? Five? Ten? How many times will it happen when Soriano has stolen third? At best one or two? It's not worth it. There will be times when you need to play for the one run, and then i would be ok with it, and that is the 0.01% of the time.
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