Just like he isn't hitting 410 this year, he isn't going to hit HRs at his current pace. What proves this? I mean, we know he won't hit .400 because his babip is unsustainable, but what is there that says that his power will come around? Is there a precedent for a guy suddenly losing his power completely? I understand he had the wrist injury, but even with coming back early last year, playing a little hurt and his first ABs back from the injury he still hit at 25+ HR pace. The doubles are showing the power is still there. I don't know about precedent, but think about this. Did anyone really expect more than 35 home runs for Lee this season? Let's say that Lee (116 at-bats) gets 500 more. In order to reach 35, he has to hit 33 more, or one every 15 at-bats, something he's done only once ever, in his out-of-this-world 2005 (once every 12.9 at-bats). If he's going to hit 25, something I think we would all consider quite a disappointment, he has to hit one every 21.7 at-bats, a number that doesn't seem too unlikely right now. I would say, best case scenario is 30 home runs. But if he goes another 10 games without hitting one out of the park, that expected number is probably closer to 25. I think he needs to turn the power on soon.