This is what I would have believed last year. But I thought I finally grasped that it's all a crapshoot and it doesn't matter who you add. Like people here have said you could add Chapman, Miller and Jose Fernandez and still have an 80 percent chance of losing. Oh well. I'll admit I'm an idiot. I'll be happy landing Chapman and not worry about it. As someone else said, it might only move the needle by 2%. But the front office may feel that the future value Torres is worth less than that 2% for a variety of reasons. Or that, considering our relative strengths (eveything except RP) and weaknesses (our RP) securing the back end of games is worth more than 2%. Part of the reason the playoffs are a crapshoot is because one game can wildly swing an entire series, going from bad to great in the bullpen is worth a light hitting blocked teenager.