I'm not so sure that Pythag % is relevant here. The reason for this is that nearly every time we're in a tight game, bad managerial decisions cause our club to perform below its actual level. Whether its letting Floyd and Jones bat against a lefty, wasting Ward or Murton off the bench in earlier non-scoring chances, leaving us with Cedeno or Izturis to deal with, or putting Eyre or Ohman in for any reason, Lou hurts the team with his strategy, or lack thereof at the end of each game. This also doesn't take into account that our offense is only great when Lou isn't screwing around with stealing, bunts, and hit and run plays for no reason. Unless we get up big or down big early in the game, Lou wastes outs consistently, especially at the bottom of the lineup, where he insisted on playing complete offensive scrubs until recently. I've no problem with a pitcher bunting (except Z and Marquis), but this other stuff is crap. For Christ's sake stop trying to steal third (that goes for everyone)! Many predictive measures are based on a team's projected performance. I would argue that our blowout wins drive an underrated Phythag % that is dragged back down by poor management in games that Lou keeps close simply by wasting outs consistently. In other words, this team should win a bunch of games given a 162 game season via run production, but Lou will cost us many of those big innings by foolishly bunting a man over or running us into a DP via a hit and run.