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goonys evil twin

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Everything posted by goonys evil twin

  1. Am I missing something from that video? How exactly does Soriano look like crap?
  2. I'm pretty sure that's from an SI article about the new age shortstop. I definitely remember AGonz being put in the group with ARod and Jeter. Maybe from the late 90's. http://i.cnn.net/si/si_online/covers/images/1997/0224_large.jpg
  3. they are all dressed differently suggesting its the photoshopping of Cubs unis onto their old pictures.
  4. I agree. He's had a nice 3-year run, and a very good age 27 (peak) season. But he doesn't hold up in comparison with the elite SS, and is going to be coming off lower highs than others, in his 30's. Maybe he and GM Jr went to the same drug store. I wouldn't quite put him in that category. He peaked when you'd expect a player to peak. And his numbers have been more or less in-line with his minor league numbers.
  5. Yes, they show you who has the best chance, but not who will win. Ok...now is it always right? No. It gives you the best chance and that's it. Now, for what we were talking about earlier the variables that happen during a game that are not measured by numbers. A pitcher that is a starter his whole career and struggles late and is an alcoholic. He stops drinking gets traded and is one of the greatest closers of all time. What stat told me this was going to happen? What are you talking about? That's not a variable that happens during a game.
  6. Yes, they show you who has the best chance, but not who will win.
  7. I'm not really counting on Jones or Soriano learning enough to actually improve. But the big difference is those are actually decent ballplayers. Novoa is just another hard throwing wild man. I don't see how Lou's presence could possibly change that. Maybe not Lou but somebody over the off season. Didn't he pitch over the winter? I just believe to not always have preconcieved ideas on how good a player is either. Personally, I've been burned by that and I've learned not to do it. Hard throwing wildman...I can just picture what that type of player would look like! I think you're more likely to get burned thinking a bad pitcher will suddenly improve, than assuming he has not.
  8. no, because none of those 162 games are playoff games. But aren't the percentages for the team with the best record say they should win? What? The percentages say which team has the best chance to win, not who "should".
  9. You aren't differentiating between the Tribune potentially selling itelf, and individuals possibly purchasing the Cubs from the Tribune. It's a seperate issue. That's not true. Within their proposal was a plan that included WGN and the Cubs. Obvious the proposal would include what they want to do with WGN and the Cubs. But the proposal that was rejected was a proposal for the entire company, a $7B corporation, of which the Cubs only account for ~ $500m. They didn't reject the Cubs proposal. They rejected the whole thing. There is an enormous difference.
  10. The key is explaining. Throw up top ten lists and compare the players. There's plenty of time to show graphics that would help people understand previously unheard of stats. A QB rating means nothing unless you see them repeatedly and realize what the better QBs would have. Likewise, if you never heard of OBP you might think a .315 OBP is good, because you think a .315 AVG is good. The first time you see an OPS, you have no idea whether 750 is good or bad. But if people keep showing it, and giving examples of good, bad or average, others will learn. What's not helpful is whiny coots telling people there's no place in baseball for these stats.
  11. I'm not really counting on Jones or Soriano learning enough to actually improve. But the big difference is those are actually decent ballplayers. Novoa is just another hard throwing wild man. I don't see how Lou's presence could possibly change that.
  12. I agree. He's had a nice 3-year run, and a very good age 27 (peak) season. But he doesn't hold up in comparison with the elite SS, and is going to be coming off lower highs than others, in his 30's.
  13. You aren't differentiating between the Tribune potentially selling itelf, and individuals possibly purchasing the Cubs from the Tribune. It's a seperate issue.
  14. I'm still getting used to midday updates from Bruce and the DH. Nice to see.
  15. If he's as dumb as Baker, he'll ignore past results and rely on his spring training results. I always hated Baker's "He has a clean slate with me" mentality when it came to players' abilities. Players have track records and those track records are the most important thing when it comes to evaluating what they are likely to do for you.
  16. Often because their bid isn't up to snuff. Cuban has the money. A lot of bidding groups put together a bid that relies on a fractured ownership group, highly leveraged offers and otherwise shaky ground. Cuban may be a pain in the ass, but he's a stable owner, financially. And that is issue numero uno when it comes to the owners. This will be said about any person or group that makes it through the elimination process.. I don't see much of an elimination process taking place. There doesn't seem to be an open bidding process. If Cuban is really making an offer, and the Trib thinks it is high enough to sell, then MLB owners will have to really think about whether or not they want to say, "No, go back to the drawing board."
  17. Okay, that's one thing, but Wuertz doesn't have to have a better spring than 2006 to win a job. That's the silly thing. It would be silly to option him just to keep Miller, unless Miller looks really good. Basically, the only reason he should be optioned is if everybody else is healthy and looks really good. That's the only point where he should be squeezed. And that's the least likely scenario.
  18. I don't really know of people who make such claims.
  19. Often because their bid isn't up to snuff. Cuban has the money. A lot of bidding groups put together a bid that relies on a fractured ownership group, highly leveraged offers and otherwise shaky ground. Cuban may be a pain in the ass, but he's a stable owner, financially. And that is issue numero uno when it comes to the owners.
  20. Well that's just silly. Why should his ST results determine whether or not he wins a job, when he's shown repeatedly to be among the better Cubs relievers. He had a nice debut in 2004. A very solid 2005 campaign and regardless of his 2006 spring, he was fantastic with the Cubs. Sure, but who do you get rid of then? I don't care about their talent, I care about the results. He's shown enough in the past, when it matters, to comfortably ignore spring results. I would agree that Novoa should not get it over Wuertz-I disagree a little bit about Wade Miller, although I think you did mention it if everyone is healthy and pitching good. If Wade is pitching well (and better than Wuertz) and everyone is healthy in the rotation in front of him, which means he can't crack the rotation, then I can certainly understand why they would rather option Wuertz than release Miller. That's the only case I see where the bullpen might change over ST though. This is my main argument. It's silly to claim Wuertz has to have a better spring than he did last year to "win" a job. Wuertz has a job. He's the Cubs 3rd best reliever, possibly 2nd. The only way he should lose his job is if you are in the unlikely situation where everybody else is great. Wuertz doesn't need to do anything this spring to "win" a job.
  21. That's exactly what they said! They said that Cuban's realistic chances of being approved are very slim. Baseball owners, first and foremost, care about the value of their franchises. They will question his antics, but they will think long and hard before subverting the potential sale of a ballclub for significant profit. Virtually everyone of these owners will, at one point, sell their team. And they will want others owners to approve the sale of their team.
  22. But the Tribune can sell the Cubs whenever they want. The deadline is for TRB reorganization in general. The Cubs are just a very small part of that plan. Everything that I've read claims that Tribune wouldn't sell the Cubs if they opt to recapitalize. The Cubs and WGN are arguably the most profitable assets of Tribune company. It seems odd that they would use resources to reorganize if they plan to divest themselves of the Cubs; it would be more efficient to just sell the Cubs to the highest bidder and use the profits to appease the shareholders. Or it could be more profitable to give the impression that you aren't selling the Cubs, thus, hopefully driving up the offers from potential buyers.
  23. Well that's just silly. Why should his ST results determine whether or not he wins a job, when he's shown repeatedly to be among the better Cubs relievers. He had a nice debut in 2004. A very solid 2005 campaign and regardless of his 2006 spring, he was fantastic with the Cubs. Sure, but who do you get rid of then? There are too many bullpen guys, somebody who is talented has to either be sent down, released, or traded, and so pretty much all of the jobs down there are up for grabs. I don't care about their talent, I care about the results. Novoa should not be considered a serious candidate to unseat Wuertz in spring training. The bullpen of Dempster, Howry, Eyre, Wood, Wuertz, Ohman and Cotts should be all but set. If Wade Miller isn't good enough to crack the rotation, then cut him lose. There isn't a single "kid" who should be given a bullpen job over Wuertz. The only possible way he should be optioned is if everybody, by some miracle, is 100% healthy and pitching great. That's unlikely. Wuertz is a top 3 arm in the Cubs bullpen, as far as showing he can be an effective reliever. The decision to option Wuertz or not should not lie in his spring training results. He's shown enough in the past, when it matters, to comfortably ignore spring results.
  24. But the Tribune can sell the Cubs whenever they want. The deadline is for TRB reorganization in general. The Cubs are just a very small part of that plan.
  25. ERA is considered a "new stat" ? ERA+
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