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davell

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Everything posted by davell

  1. davell
    Cubs win 89 games and sneak into the second wild card. Travel to Washington for the WC game, which we win 5-3 after Javier Baez hits a 3-run homer in the top of the ninth. Then get swept 3-0 by the Cardinals in the NLDS without ever holding a lead. That's an extremely succesful season considering actual expectations.
  2. davell
    Raisin's strategy is perfect. Mainly because you may or may not have Cease available when your 2nd rounder comes up. Tim is correct in thinking that if we took a bat at 4, it's likely to be able to be under slotted. Whether its the BPA on our board or not, the consensus seems like pitching is going to occupy the entire top 5 or so. So, if you DO go bat at pick 4 and under slot, you'd need to hedge your bets on multiple high upside arms in rounds 11-15 and have different scenarios around to either sign the one high prices guy that's going to cost 2 mill or so. Or spread it out over 2-3 others that may be 4-5 round talents that fell due to wanting 600k+ each. I'd gladly just take any of Rodon, Aiken, Kolek, Beede, Hoffman, or maybe even Holmes at 4 right now personally. Not even necessarily to bank on as a long term answer, in the case of the HS guys, but to trade them for the established guy we need anyway. In that scenario, all you're doing is banking on the guy holding up one year before trading him, instead of thinking he's going to hold up long term.
  3. davell
    Castro goes back to being Castro, Rizzo takes a step forward, Castillo starts becoming what the FO says he has the potential to be. Lake is maddening at times but hits .250 and goes 20/20, Olt hits .250 with 20+ HR. Shark is an All Star, Wood doesn't decline much, Arrieta pitches like a mid rotation starter. 3 of Valbuena, Bonifacio, Kalish, Ruggiano, Sweeney, and Nate are decent. The bullpen IS a strength. Javy comes up at the break and does Javy things. Hendricks does as well and is a capable back end starter. Alcantara and Vogelbach are dealt for a TOR starter at mid season. I love spring.
  4. davell
    Very happy with Olt and Kalish. My hope is Olt winds up with 450+ at bats and even if he's eased in, I think he will. Even if most are in the seasons second half. When some of Barney, Bonifacio, and Valbuena are gone. For that matter, I think Kalish winds up in the same boat, taking most of Nate's at bats once he's dealt.
  5. davell
    Yeah, I saw that. Pretty f'in narcissistic to congratulate yourself on calling something that could be reasonably assumed by pretty much everyone. Not even close to the first time he's done it either. People make fun of it all the time (which is why I brought it up). Yeah, I noticed. I followed him on Twitter but he doesn't add anything other bloggers/beat writers don't already cover. Except a sense of know it all-ism. The self congratulatory stuff is uncalled for, unless he did the same all the time he's wrong. That said, Arguello is the best Cubs centric guy to follow when it comes to prospects by a wide margin. The "fun with math" crap from a few months back though was by far the worst thing he's ever done.
  6. davell
    I'll play devil's advocate here. From a value standpoint, is this a bad return? Hernandez was a 2 WAR reliever in 2012. I would think Delgado still has the basic same value as a low end top 100 type prospect and Gregorius falls in that range as well. I get the fact that we literally have zero need for him, but the Mets, Pirates and others seem to be looking at him currently. If you flipped him to either of those teams, getting back Kingham or Montero in the process, isn't that fair value? Yes, Cameron is lazy in trying to put Gregorius in our lineup, but a return of Delgado, Hernandez, and one of Kingham or Montero would change the equation somewhat for me. To the point where I'd do the deal actually.
  7. davell
    Shefter thinks the cap hits 140 in 2015 and 150 in 2016. Florio thinks 145 in 2015 and 160 in 2016. At any rate, with it moving upwards, I'm not concerned with Cutler or Allen's cap hit in 2015, especially with Stein restructuring things as great as he does.
  8. davell
    Geez, I'm greedy because Emery spoiled me here, but that leaves room for Clemons....
  9. davell
    RBI 2B for Olt.
  10. davell
    With the Allen signing, I think it's fairly likely we draft a QB in the middle rounds. Especially if they still add a S before the draft.(which may be wishful thinking) Biggest Needs currently in my mind. DT CB S Backup QB O-Line depth TE Either WR or OLB
  11. davell
    Curious why you say that? Because one person on MLB or whatever put him in their top 15? He's got a prototypical build, throws very hard, and was considered a 1st round possibility heading in to his Junior season. That's plenty of reason to put him in a top 30.
  12. davell
    I think Emery would disagree with 14 being a prime spot for a defensive player. He's on record talking about how great the offensive talent is in this draft and how he'd consider moving down if a team wanted to move up and take advantage of the offense available.
  13. davell
    Wow. I'm stunned. I figured the Cutler thing meant they were doing something, but I really expected Clemons. Does this move Houston inside? Willie Young is pretty damn good himself. I'm sure there's enough snaps to go around, but damn.... The differences between Emery and Angelo are night and day. After this move, I have to wonder if Ebron could be in play at 14 now. Again, wow. And [expletive] YEAH EMERY!!!!!!
  14. davell
    In Cabrera's case, he's getting every chance to make the squad because he's optionless. Parker is going to be more of a factor than him.
  15. davell
    I bet he did. And throwing out Trout like that is all my very biased eyes need to see. Olt for 3B now, not in a month. Now.
  16. davell
    Clemons and Sims. That's my wish list, even if its very unlikely.
  17. davell
    Ryan Roberts is lingering and Mooney says he's making a push. If Olt is optioned or DL'd, that's the last bench spot.
  18. davell
    Ihedigbo went to the Lions. Chris Clemons possibly a target? I don't think we have enough cap room(currently anyway minus rookies) for it to be Allen, the more I think about it.
  19. davell
    It's the top 51 and our rookie pool will cost right around 5 mill IF they all make the roster. Which I doubt happens and if it did, some would just replace others already included in the 51.
  20. davell
    Biggs is stuck in Jerry Angelo's world. If you need operating room for in-season type moves, you'd do it when it comes up, wouldn't you? Since it can be restructured as often as needed? Plus, taking out that much for future moves seems odd because there's no guarantee it would even be used and you'd have gone into Cutler's deal for nothing.
  21. davell
    Junior DID play today. Remember, Parks is more scouting than anything else. Junior has tools galore. I think he meant it. The raw as [expletive] at the end is a giant disclaimer from him. Honestly, I think North's post was a bit too influential on him. No, I don't think Junior winds up being an everyday player for us. But I do think the pros outweigh the cons when it comes to giving him this year to figure things out in the majors.
  22. davell
    That's interesting. Allen possibly?
  23. davell
    Still early and Beede could have been dinged by his horrible outing. That said, what do you do with Rodon? If his velo comes back in the second half of the year, is it just his thing at that point? How does that account in his draft position?
  24. davell
    Darvish-stiff neck Holland-micro fracture knee surgery Harrison- back surgery Feliz-velo down after TJS Andrus-sore elbow Profar-torn shoulder muscle Soto- torn meniscus Holy [expletive] Texas
  25. davell
    I wonder if there are any other professional sports teams still being run that way. The Phillies, LAA (to an extent), Dodgers, Orioles, probably a few others. The only one of those that might be on that level is Philadelphia. I could see the Orioles being as bad.
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