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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. Daisuke - Japan: 1405 IP 2.95 ERA 3.50 FIP outperformed it every year
  2. your "aren't worth much" comment. but i give up- value isn't what market dictates, it's just what's in your personal preferences. you know more about marketing than advertising executives. a likely top 3 cy young finisher didn't just have a good season. life is just a mirage. A top 3 finisher in the Cy? What does that prove? I explained my point about Matsuzaka clearly enough. He won't get top 3 anyway, he doesn't have anywhere close to the innings. I seriously thought we all knew better on here than to ignore WHIP to ERA correlation, or FIP. You're ignoring FIP. This is like having to explain to people why Russ Ortiz isn't as great as you think back in the day with Atlanta. Aaron Rowand as a prospect doesn't strike me as similar to Pie as a prospect. Ortiz outperformed his FIP every year before he broke down from overuse, Washburn much the same, and our own Zambrano outperforms his FIP every year. all are pitchers consistently able to keep BAAs low, which FIP doesn't even factor. it's useful but obviously not perfect. Matsuzaka's been able to keep his BAA low, and he could very well continue to outperform his FIP if he shows skill at avoiding XBHs.
  3. your "aren't worth much" comment. but i give up- value isn't what market dictates, it's just what's in your personal preferences. you know more about marketing than advertising executives. a likely top 3 cy young finisher didn't just have a good season. life is just a mirage.
  4. would that be $16m/year man Torii Hunter or $12m/year man Aaron Rowand, or someone else?
  5. The branding opportunities, opening the Asian rim further, reaching the baseball-crazy Japanese population, broadcast, print, endorsements is hard to exaggerate. We'll likely be prohibitive favorites in the division again next year, and we can afford to see if he adjusts better in his second season. There are already adequate replacements on the roster if he embarrasses himself again for a long stretch, and what he's done for the ownership financially probably proves his contract won't ever be a liability. He outperformed every hitter you mentioned but Hideki Matsui, by the way. http://umpbump.com/press/wp-content/uploads/2007/11/japanese-player-stats.jpg close, he has 5 pitches he throws with regularity plus the split he'll put out there a couple times a game. and he's not that good? heh. thats really a colossal reach.
  6. because... you don't think the Red Sox thought Matsuzaka's pitching alone was worth $100m do you?
  7. by adding $13m to the roster and replacing most of the expiring contracts with minimum salary players? i'm not sure that checks out.
  8. i can't really get on board with this, not after scoring 6 runs in the series. and I think you're advocating benching the guy who drove in 4 of them and also had a great reg season? Hudson will be a mistake for whatever team gets him and finds him declining on defense. if the budget is tight, i'm more than content with Furcal as the main offseason acquisition and giving the CF job to a minimum salary prospect from within the system who displays terrific defensive prowess and possesses good offensive talent - do we have any of those? let Dempster walk if he wants 4 years. i'm OK with committing to Marshall in the rotation.
  9. you're assuming the players listen to Marinelli's nonsense anymore which they don't really do
  10. Is it worse than being a SF Giants fan. It has to be terrible. Getting to watch Tim Lincecum every 5 days has to better than the Lions. Plus they're starting to build a good farm system. Conor Gillaspie and Buster Posey will be really good hitters. They also have terrific pitching prospects. Bumgarner is such an awesome name. Umm, wow. Ok, scrap the Giants idea. How about Baltimore Orioles. Replace "Conor Gillaspie and Buster Posey" with "Nick Markakis and Matt Wieters" and you pretty much have the same story. The Lions have good players too.................... name em Calvin Johnson, Roy Williams and Ernie Sims basically sums it up. The team leads the NFL in drops, largely due to Roy & Calvin's focus lapses Ernie Sims is good but they still have nothing even remotely resembling a pro bowler
  11. Is it worse than being a SF Giants fan. It has to be terrible. Getting to watch Tim Lincecum every 5 days has to better than the Lions. Plus they're starting to build a good farm system. Conor Gillaspie and Buster Posey will be really good hitters. They also have terrific pitching prospects. Bumgarner is such an awesome name. Umm, wow. Ok, scrap the Giants idea. How about Baltimore Orioles. Replace "Conor Gillaspie and Buster Posey" with "Nick Markakis and Matt Wieters" and you pretty much have the same story. The Lions have good players too.................... name em
  12. hey finally a passing TD for the Lions!
  13. right off the top of my head there's Larry Johnson for sure as a stud player you can build around and for the Lions, there's...
  14. I'm trying to think of the highest point the Lions have achieved since I moved here maybe making it to the playoffs that one time in the early 90s to get utterly obliterated
  15. you guys try to imagine what it's like to watch this team every week
  16. every KyleJRM post just drips with melodrama worse than you'd find in a political commercial
  17. so everybody who had good years will regress, and the players who underperformed won't improve? is this just a gut feeling, cynicism, or is there a methodology to your far-fetched reasoning?
  18. the guy with 66% of the team's RBIs?
  19. i hope we face a team with lots of lhp like it or not, Hendry's probably REALLY going to amp up his efforts this offseason to find an impact LH bat too bad he missed the boat on Kazuo!
  20. I'm curious what the attendance figures looked like when Peavy pitched and when anyone not named Peavy pitched. 29,076 - Not Jake Peavy 34,245 - Jake Peavy This season only. wow that's probably somewhere in the range of $3m a year he makes the team just on tickets alone 70,000 tickets over the course of the season. id say the price is about 20 bucks on average, considering most of the good ones were probably bought in the other games too. So about 1.4m you're right, i neglected to remember road starts
  21. well we'll surely be a favorite to take the division, making the playoffs again where anything's possible, unless we've all changed our minds that playoffs aren't a crapshoot anymore
  22. Furcal & Lowe, let Demp walk i know it looks knee jerk, but i would have said the same before the series. oh, and START PIE
  23. i don't know about you but i'm already excited for 09!
  24. This is undoubtedly true. The fact that Lee has hit like Jeromy Burnitz over the second half of the season doesn't help. LOL at stranding Soto on 3rd. completely hamstrung us to the tun of 97 regular season wins with the same lineup we are not the first favored team to lose in the playoffs, guys Reading is fundamental. The theory is that you face more good right-handed pitching in the playoffs, and good right-handed pitching has advantage over good right-handed batting. "we are not the first favored team to lose in the playoffs, guys" We're the first ones in a while to have a playoff losing streak of 9 (Red Sox before the 90s, I think, hit 11). And again: We aren't just losing, we are getting annihilated. The reason good teams lose a lot is that sometimes your runs just are scored optimally and you win a game by 4 and lose two by one each. That's not happening here. They are getting utterly and completely destroyed every single game. i'd like to see what our record was against good rhp this season before i believe it. it sounds like something someone would make up without checking out the numbers because it sounds right. .793 ops vs rhp .807 vs lhp
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