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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. why does he keep calling Carlson "Golden Gopher", he went to ND?
  2. can we just tell Rich Rod we changed our mind?
  3. where he kicked the ball lent itself to luck the Packers have avoided leaving their games at the hands of chance better than most every other team (i.e. blowout wins), but the games they weren't able to, they fared terribly (2-6 record in games decided by less than a TD). aberrations like these are why smart people don't lean very hard on W-L record this should really be obvious common sense stuff, i'm being trolled so hard right now and for some reason i'm still feeding it being trolled? I just dont agree with your reasoning here. and bad execution is exactly what leads to losses, not bad luck that's really just an easy dismissal of a complex situation it wasn't really bad execution that prevented the Bears from falling on any of the Redskins five fumbles not lost and it wasn't good execution on the Bears part to will Calvin Johnson to "not complete the process of a catch", that's just dumb luck stuff i was mostly joking about the troll comment
  4. my god, you're being so annoyingly contrarian at this point it couldn't have made the kick any worse. Crosby kicks the ball, it goes right towards the upright, odds are like 48% it goes left, 48% it sneaks in, and like 4% or something it just clanks off the post I.E. COIN FLIP A.K.A. LUCK, HOW MUCH CLEARER CAN I MAKE THIS You're acting as though the kicker has no impact. looking back at it, his impact was to make the kick a coin flip, if he had hooked it well wide or if he had drilled it straight through the uprights (and we assumed this to be through skill), you couldn't call it good or bad fortune. just execution.
  5. where he kicked the ball lent itself to luck the Packers have avoided leaving their games at the hands of chance better than most every other team (i.e. blowout wins), but the games they weren't able to, they fared terribly (2-6 record in games decided by less than a TD). aberrations like these are why smart people don't lean very hard on W-L record this should really be obvious common sense stuff, i'm being trolled so hard right now and for some reason i'm still feeding it
  6. my god, you're being so annoyingly contrarian at this point it couldn't have made the kick any worse. Crosby kicks the ball, it goes right towards the upright, odds are like 48% it goes left, 48% it sneaks in, and like 4% or something it just clanks off the post I.E. COIN FLIP A.K.A. LUCK, HOW MUCH CLEARER CAN I MAKE THIS
  7. even a nearly inconsequential shift in the winds would have probably blown the ball off course enough to sneak in the uprights, if that's not a play determined by luck, i don't know what is conversely, before people paint me as an apologist, what was the joke that was made about the Packers only winning the first Vikings game because Harvin was out of bounds by less than the length of Favre's penis on the would-be go-ahead TD?
  8. because you're looking at this irrationally. what the [expletive] else do you call (Crosby) hitting the left upright with 1 second left to force OT?
  9. Or bad coaching. Or poor performance when a game is close and late. Or lack of a running game to run out the clock. Or lack of a run defense to stop the other team from running out the clock... these posts just sound like confirmation bias, to me is it bad coaching that Flynn mismanaged the clock at the end of the NE game, or that the refs decided to eat their whistles on the PI no-call in the 2nd Lions game? (disclaimer: i thought it pretty poetic justice, because the Packers could have easily have lost to us the first go-around had either of two PI no-calls on Woodson been called at the end of the game. this just goes to show how much luck is involved in close wins)
  10. I was confused for a minute...at first I thought you were talking about SD, but apparently you just decided to ignore that question. Nobody was arguing that GB isn't one of the 12 best teams in football. no, i was talking about SD that entire post
  11. 162 games vs 16 games. wouldn't that even further my point? it's intuitively obvious from even the most basic understanding of statistics that you're going to have a better picture of the truth from a sample of 162 than 16, but even then we realize the sample of 162 isn't ideal, because there's so much luck and chance involved in close wins, and that's precisely why we accept pythagorean record as an improvement upon old-fashioned W-L. to look at two teams and say "this one's better 'cause they won one more game" is so patently ludicrous. Similarly, it's patently ludicrous to use solely point differential to determine who's a good team and who's not. If my quick math is correct, GB's point differential between just Dallas, Minnesota (in Minny), SF and Buffalo is +111. The point differential in the other 12 games they played this season...+37. That's cherry picked of course, but it's simply to point out that they had a few huge blowouts against some bad teams...and the rest of their games were mostly close games. So that differential is misleading. San Diego has a +119 point differential and they didn't make the playoffs. How good do you think they are? i absolutely think they're one of the best 12 teams in football. furthermore, i'd probably favor them over NO, CHI, KC, IND and obviously SEA in a hypothetical neutral-field matchup. an abominable special teams performance managed to sabotage the efforts of one of the otherwise most complete teams in the league.
  12. including Archer on top of the rest of that package is completely indefensible sigh, at least it's for a pitcher i like
  13. then he should chew his food better
  14. 162 games vs 16 games. wouldn't that even further my point? it's intuitively obvious from even the most basic understanding of statistics that you're going to have a better picture of the truth from a sample of 162 than 16, but even then we realize the sample of 162 isn't ideal, because there's so much luck and chance involved in close wins, and that's precisely why we accept pythagorean record as an improvement upon old-fashioned W-L. to look at two teams and say "this one's better 'cause they won one more game" is so patently ludicrous.
  15. they have the 2nd best point differential in all of football, despite a tough schedule (like the rest of the NFCN) Oh. Then the losses don't count. you're being purposefully dense. nowhere did i suggest that. why do we all freely accept pythagorean record for baseball as a much better indicator of the quality of a team's performance, but you're seemingly shrugging off point differential like it's [expletive]?
  16. they have the 2nd best point differential in all of football, despite a tough schedule (like the rest of the NFCN)
  17. don't toy with my emotions
  18. umm... umm what? I don't see anything wrong with that, in all honesty. There are guys with more upside ... namely, Lee. But Darwin's more consistent, and as I've always said (mostly elsewhere), his athleticism is a bit underrated. He's not a top shelf athlete ... but some folks made him out to be a lot worse. Lee's what, "Omar Vizquel with a better arm" or whatever, but not even our best infielder?
  19. huh. Harris had just expressed about a week ago he was going back, great to have another good CB option for our pick
  20. starting a nationwide coaching search on January 5th, this was precisely the worst-case scenario
  21. Schefter's just the worst.
  22. ugh, i'd really rather just retain Rich Rod for another year than bother with Hoke (i know, obviously that ship has sailed)
  23. prediction: heeding the Ndaminator's constant lobbying, we move up in the draft to take Amukamara my dream draft last year 1-3 was Suh, Iupati, McCluster the latter two didn't make it to our picks, so i'll try to be a little more realistic this time around 1) Janoris Jenkins, CB 2) Greg Jones, OLB 3) Orlando Franklin, G
  24. not too much, but like all season, i wish we hadn't had to play such a grueling schedule on another note, Belichick & co. have absolutely no conscience. ended up with the 33rd, 95th picks for Armanti Edwards and a couple games of Randy Moss and effectively traded Maroney for Deion Branch
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