We're not going to see eye-to-eye here. You continue to use Giles career numbers and reputation over his current production. If you're allowed to devalue Jones for a 'career year', then I'm allowed to devalue Giles for a predictable major decline and a 'career worst year'. It goes both ways. I'm looking at Giles 2007 and 2008 projections as similar to, if not worse than 2006, while looking at Jones 2007 and 2008 projections as his 3-year split with slight decline. This is based on the traditional age/production bell-curve in a non-steriods influenced world. Just using historical precident, 35 year old OFs don't have 'down years' and rebound to earlier success. It's not a down year. At that age, the down year sets the trend. Jones at age 31 is close enough to the top of the curve that his production should remain relatively flat. When I consider those parameters for evaluation, removing my personal bias for Giles (I really am a big fan of his career), and add in salary as well, swapping Jones for Giles for 2007/2008 is an overall lateral move that costs the organization 10 million dollars. I'm going to agree with your general point about Giles declining, but his value for the next 2 years is going to depend on his role. Aging sluggers of Giles' type tend to keep their batting eye and plate discipline. If he maintained an OPB above .350, we could hit him leadoff and he'd be an upgrade over Jones in that regard. Also, Giles' salary is $10m, and Jones' is like $6m. It's only a net $4m investment.