Tracer Bullet
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Everything posted by Tracer Bullet
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He's 9 wins from most in Texas history, right? He ain't resigning. Resigning = forced out here. Doesn't really matter, Joe Jamail is work in his exit payout as his contract doesn't pay the buyout if he resigns. I wish my job paid me to leave. Right, but what I'm saying is Mack is going to make Texas fire him. And he probably come right out afterwards and say he didn't resign, but was fired, and try to make UT look bad. Maybe that will actually upset some people but I doubt it. If you're Texas, why would you do this unless you already had the next guy lined up? There's a lot of ways this can guy worse if Saban or Briles or whatever isn't already signed (and could go bad, even with one of them).
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He's 9 wins from most in Texas history, right? He ain't resigning.
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welcome.
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vance - where are you seeing Saban to Texas is done?
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We'll have to wait and see. All I'm saying is that you (and everyone else) might not be looking at the right things if you're using BC as a comparable game to what we'll see in Auburn. I'm actually saying that we should wait and see. I haven't seen enough from FSU, due to the "strength" of their opponents, to conclude that their defense is good. Their stats, overall, look good. Their performance against the only good running team they've faced, looks bad. Given how good Auburn's rushing attack has been, I think FSU's defense could be in for a rough ride, but I don't really know. All that said, I expect FSU to win.
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err... http://espn.go.com/college-football/story/_/id/10116548/texas-longhorns-coach-mack-brown-expected-resign
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Offseason Rumors
Tracer Bullet replied to Clem Fandango's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_knkvaxcxu7Q/TGBVtjw5gaI/AAAAAAAAARg/c7CYUdHS3lw/s1600/clue+1+2+1+1.jpg hahaha YES -
http://www.everydayshouldbesaturday.com/2013/12/10/5197040/mack-brown-prepares-his-farewell-speech "Nothing like having your order taken in AP Style!"
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The only person reporting that so far is Chi(m)p Brown and he is about as worthless as the Bears safeties. His record is HORRIBLE when it comes to accurately breaking news. Burton at 247 also reported it. He then retracted.
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Briles? Seems to be the logical choice unless Saban is bored.
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Why do the 4 against BC not count? b/c BC is a pretty mediocre team? But, if there's one thing BC can do, it's turn 2* and 3* OL into a pretty solid group 4-5 years later (their entire OL this year has been in college at least 4 years). FSU faced 1 good rushing team - BC at 20th overall. They faced 1 decent rushing team - Syracuse at 40th. They faced as many teams that finished in the 110s in rushing (Pitt and Wake) as they did top-50 rushing teams. Guess where Auburn ranks in rushing this year? (BTW - Clemson does not run a similar scheme to Auburn; Clemson's scheme is built on speed and passing; Auburn's is built on running your ass over.) The defense gave up 17 TDs this season against a very, very weak schedule. Maybe they're a very good defense, but it's hard to tell given the opponents they've faced. But they are going to face a team that has been the best in the country at running the football. So they'll get a chance to show how good they are.
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Why do you say FSU doesn't have a good defense? Statistically, they've been very good. And watching them, they pass the eye test. I watched a few of their games and didn't come away overly impressed by the defense. Then again, maybe I was just wildly unimpressed by the level of competition and that clouded my judgment. The only reason no one is talking about how piss poor FSU's schedule was is b/c they blew everyone out. Until yesterday, they faced 1 good team all year (Clemson) and Miami (which had 9 wins, but lord help me if I can figure out how). As with Mizzou yesterday, I think FSU's per game average is going to rise a touch after the Auburn game. FSU's schedule sucked, but the amount of scoring that offense did put the defense on the field a lot, and they still only gave up 10 pts a game. Auburn will definitely score more than the average team, but I've been impressed with FSU's d, what little I've seen of it. Are there reliable advanced defensive metrics for football? I'd be curious to see where they place FSU's D. This site, for example, rates them very well, but I have no idea if their methods are trustworthy. They sure stifled Bethune-Cookman's attack. No one in the MEAC could say that, so maybe FSU is pretty solid.
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Would also be nice to win a billion dollars I was thinking about Iowa as a real nice sleeper pick here. I don't think LSU is going to be up for the game, not going to have qb and Iowa is somewhat under-rated. I agree. I'm actually hopeful that it's not a blowout. It just looks like a scary matchup on paper.
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I think X is basically a TVM question too. 25 isn't an age at which a pitcher's value suddenly drops. What's his first contract going to be? 5 years? Maybe 7? I don't think the difference in value of a SP to a MLB team from ages 25-32 drops dramatically when looking at ages 26-33 instead. If the financials supported posting him this year before the rule change, it would seem to support posting him after the rule change. So unless it's a matter of respect (possible) or spite (not a very Japanese reaction), then I think they'll still post him.
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The odds of not getting 20 million for him next season are pretty slim, so why not keep him for another year? This isn't their only chance to post him. But that's always been the case. If they just wanted one more year before cashing in, they wouldn't have decided to post him this year before the rule was changed. Unless they think this is going to result in more money next year, it doesn't make much sense for them. There's presumably some dollar value for them where the value of cashing in immediately and taking no risk outweighs the value to keeping him for another year. It's possible that value is somewhere between the expected posting fee under the old system and $20m. EPF2013 - EPF2014 = X (enough for them to want to post him in 2013) So $20m2013 - $20m2014 = Y (possibly not enough to want to post him in 2013). You're telling me that X is really that much higher than Y? Maybe they just feel disrespected, which could be a significant influence on the decision.
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Would also be nice to win a billion dollars
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Why do you say FSU doesn't have a good defense? Statistically, they've been very good. And watching them, they pass the eye test. I watched a few of their games and didn't come away overly impressed by the defense. Then again, maybe I was just wildly unimpressed by the level of competition and that clouded my judgment. The only reason no one is talking about how piss poor FSU's schedule was is b/c they blew everyone out. Until yesterday, they faced 1 good team all year (Clemson) and Miami (which had 9 wins, but lord help me if I can figure out how). As with Mizzou yesterday, I think FSU's per game average is going to rise a touch after the Auburn game.
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I wouldn't say either FSU or AU has a good defense. Should at least be fun to watch.
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Cool. It seems like lately it has been after the 10th. A month off is still harder on the offense then defense. Is there some evidence of this? A month gives the offense a lot of time to tweak and mess around and install new ripples. That makes it harder on the defense to know what's coming.
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The odds of not getting 20 million for him next season are pretty slim, so why not keep him for another year? This isn't their only chance to post him. But that's always been the case. If they just wanted one more year before cashing in, they wouldn't have decided to post him this year before the rule was changed. Unless they think this is going to result in more money next year, it doesn't make much sense for them.
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The Pac 12's problem is that their top teams all have losses to mediocre teams. Stanford lost to Utah. Oregon lost to AZ. ASU lost to ND. UCLA is the only one in the top 4 without a "bad" loss, but they couldn't beat any of the other top teams in the conference. So they all stumbled against one mediocre opponent and ended up with 2 or 3 losses. I guess that sucks for the Pac 12, but hard to feel too badly for them.
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How many PI calls did msu get v OSU? Wonder if they think they only win the big ten bc of officials.
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That's not really SEC bias. Auburn would have the best (Bama), 3rd-best (Missouri), 4th-best (A&M) and 5th-best (Georgia) wins out of the two of them. MSU's best win before today was Iowa. Are Georgia and A&M really as good as their ranking at the time Auburn beat them? The Mizzou win is probably the tie-breaker, as outside of that, both teams would have a win against an undefeated team, plus two wins against (eventual) 8-4 conference teams Neither of them are as good as their ranking at the time, but both are better than Iowa or Nebraska or Minnesota (at least, pre-Murray-injury Georgia was). better statistically, better "eye test", or better because the assumption is that an 8-4 SEC team is always better than an 8-4 B1G team? Jesus let it go. The big ten sucks this year. ND was the best team msu played before today (hell, maybe including today, OSU sucks). You don't get any leeway when you're in a weak conference and play a [expletive] ooc schedule.
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I'm hoping for FSU to beat Auburn b/c (1) Go ACC! and (2) if they don't beat an SEC team in the BCS title game, the SEC will bark about having the better team anyway.
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Duke and MSU could really muck stuff up.
