I'm not sure who this is addressed to because I never mentioned the Cardinals in my Cubs assement but, I do think they have holes and that you're giving them too much credit. It goes without saying that they have been good but the team they are breaking camp with is far from impressive. Ponson will be serviceable but his outing today reminds everyone that he has a career 4+ ERA. He isn't going to turn into a dominant pitcher overnight. Furthermore, their bullpen looks beatable and who's playing 2B for them and what kind of production can they expect? LF ? Encarnacion in RF isn't any better than Jacque Jones... Picking them to win is safe but that doesn't make it accurate. My pick is the Cubs. No matter which team wins the division, I expect a lot of parity. My post wasn't addressed to anyone in particular, but I was just mentioning that everything that's been stated about the Cardinals for '06 has been pretty much said about them throughout the millenium, and yet they still find a way to play into October. I hope they finish last. But starting the season off with a healthy Carpenter, Mulder and Pujols goes a long way. Yeah, Junior Spivey should be Junior Spivey, but I thought the same thing about Tony Womack, Abraham Nunez and So Tguchi. Yet they still get production out of what should be crappy players. First, a healthy Carpenter, Mulder and Pujols aren't going to carry the Cardinals by themselves. I don't think Mulder should even be included in the same sentence with Pujols and Carpenter in regards to production. Second, I was under the impression that the last few years the Cardinals have improved their team each offseason and spent more $. This being the first year that they cut their budget in some time. Take 05 for example: Williams Lost Renteria, but replaced him with Eckstein who's no slouch. Lost Womack on a career year and replaced him with Grudz. 06, however, there has been a substantial amount of downgrading. Sure, they're gonna have guys step up and they're gonna have average players perform at their career best...as they always do. However, don't underestimate the amount of downgrading they have done. Walker>Encarnacion Sanders>Taguchi Grudz>Miles Morris>Ponson Tavarez>Looper King gone Then take into account an Injured Rolen who's resuming his role at 3b after a crazy career year by Nunez. Rapidly aging Edmonds