bukie
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Everything posted by bukie
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Convince me at this point Illinois isn't at least the #3 overall, or even #2.
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Bottom of the S-Curve: 68. *Mount St. Mary's NEC 67. *Norfolk State MEAC 66. *Appalachian State SB 65. Hartford AE 64. *Drexel CAA 63. Nicholls State SLnd 62. Iona MAAC 61. *Oral Roberts Sum 60. Grand Canyon WAC 59. Prairie View A&M SWAC 58. *UNC Greensboro SC 57. Southern Utah Bsky 56. *Cleveland State Hor 55. *Morehead State OVC 54. *Liberty A-SUN 53. Colgate PAT 52. UC Santa Barbara BW Middle of the S-Curve (After 12): 13 Oklahoma State B12 14 Texas B12 15 USC P12 16 Creighton BE 17 Virginia ACC 18 Oregon P12 19 Villanova BE 20 Florida State ACC 21 Connecticut BE 22 Colorado P12 We're now...halfway through the 6 seeds and backed our way through most of the 13s. Next up...rank the rest of the field (including the additional auto bids that are not accounted for in Winthrop, Western KY, the A-10 winner and San Diego State)
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Cincinnati nips Wichita State 60-59 and could steal a bid with a win tomorrow vs Houston/Memphis.
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That's kind of a mean thing to say about Ayo Dosunmu.
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A feat I thought impossible a month ago, but Illinois has almost caught Baylor in KenPom ratings.
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Illinois-Rutgers is run, but switch over to Baylor-OSU for a bit, tied at 72 with 2 minutes to play.
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I think Illinois remembers the loss to Rutgers earlier in the year.
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Nebraska played 13 games in 24 days. They've done enough.
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Maybe Kansas won't make the NCAA tournament after all:
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Or Penn State. Or Indiana. Or Northwestern.
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From bad to worse, the ACC tournament in danger of getting cancelled: [tweet] [/tweet]
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On the topic of the ACC, this could be the first year ever (since they started seeding in 1978) that no ACC team gets a top 4 seed.
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On a lesser note, North Carolina A&T is out of the MEAC tournament due to COVID issues, and they have suspended basketball operations for two weeks and thus their season is over.
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Virginia has a COVID positive test and is out of the ACC tournament, status yet unknown for NCAAs.
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One bids: Next 16:
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Really? The MSU SPRM? Yikes.
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Now we've got 12 in the S-Curve: Next steps: - Next 16 - Rank the one bid winners (and potential winners) Here are the one-bid auto bid leagues: * Liberty A-SUN * Winthrop BSth * Drexel CAA * Cleveland State Hor * Mount St. Mary's NEC * Morehead State OVC * UNC Greensboro SC * Oral Roberts Sum * Appalachian State SB Hartford AE Southern Utah Bsky UC Santa Barbara BW Western Kentucky CUSA Iona MAAC Norfolk State MEAC San Diego State MWC Colgate PAT Nicholls State SLnd Prairie View A&M SWAC Grand Canyon WAC
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They're still in but they will be sweating out a first four appearance at least a little bit. I was 100% expecting Michigan-Michigan State Part 3 tomorrow I was fully expecting Maryland to blow them out as they did 2 weeks ago. MSU has trouble winning without officiating favoritism this year, as they don't have the offensive talent to create shots, nor the defensive talent to prevent shots when not fouling. Their 3 best wins of the year all came in Breslin, and 2 of them when they were able to remove one of the opponent's best players from the game, literally.
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Top seed Toledo hangs on in overtime in the MAC quarters and will move on to face the Akron-Ohio winner in the semis. At some point today I'll list the at-large bids and favorites from single-bid conferences to rank.
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Maryland beats Michigan State 68-57, leaving MSU's best win away from Breslin as....Indiana? Duke?
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Oklahoma State beats West Virginia 72-69, with WVU actually hitting a tying 3, but just after the buzzer.
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It looks like Duke's season is over:
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All 12 teams left in the B1G tournament are in the top 60 in KenPom, which seems crazy to me. If Wisconsin, Ohio State, Rutgers and Maryland win today, the 8 quarterfinal teams would likely be in the top 30.
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Houston has only played 6 games this year within 10 points, and they're 3-3 in those games. They've been bulldozing the American conference this year (actually finished a full game up on Wichita State in the conference standings by games played, but lost out on winning percentage due to Wichita playing 5 fewer games). They're a good team with a less good profile, which is why on strength of record and wins above bubble metrics they're closer to a 5-6 seed, while in NET and KP they're closer to a 2 seed. I suspect they'll fall somewhere in the middle, but they're good enough for a 3 seed to me.
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Next step: Next 10 of teams not in S-curve:
