Now that it's the end of January, and the regular season is effectively half over (considering it started in mid-December), it's worth an early look at what the tournament field might look like. Records are going to look weird overall, since basically all the major conference teams are missing 5-6 gimme games from the preseason being shortened. So a team that would normally be, like, 20-12 could very well be 14-12 and still easily in to the tournament. That would put them at 7-6 at this point in the year, so it's almost necessary to disregard overall record when considering a team's tournament resume. Also, the Ivy League isn't playing this year, so if the tournament still will have 68 teams as planned, that means only 31 auto bids and 37 at large bids. Starting at the top: 1 and 2 are definitely Gonzaga and Baylor, in some order. If Baylor does finish the season undefeated, they'll undoubtedly take the #1 overall spot, but as of right now, Baylor has 6 T1 and T2 wins and Gonzaga has 7, so Gonzaga gets the nod at this point for #1 overall with Baylor #2. In reality, it doesn't matter a whole lot, they're the top 2 teams. The other 1 seeds right now will be chosen between the next tier, which consists of Michigan, Houston, Virginia, Villanova and Alabama. Villanova is currently short games which makes it difficult, and Michigan will be short games here over the next couple weeks. Alabama is the only one with a bad loss against a non-tourney level team, and Michigan gets the nod by playing in by far the toughest conference this year, so they're #3. Villanova has 5 T1 and T2 wins and just the 1 loss against T1, with Houston having 6 T1 and T2 wins with a T2 loss. I'll give Houston the nod at #4 with the last 1 seed, and Villanova slots in at #5 overall. Virginia with the nod at #6 with 6 quality wins. After that, it's Alabama, Iowa, Illinois, Tennessee, Texas, Ohio State, Wisconsin for consideration. Illinois did just beat Iowa and has 8 quality wins to 9 for Alabama, but Bama has the bad loss, and Iowa/Texas have effectively identical resumes, so for right now let's go Illinois #7, Texas #8, Iowa #9, Alabama #10. Ohio State is 7-4 against tourney teams, Wisconsin is 8-4 against tourney teams, Tennessee is 3-3 against tourney teams. Ohio State won at Wisconsin, so give them the slight nod overall with Ohio State #11, Wisconsin #12. For the rest of the protected seeds, it's a choice between Tennessee, Texas Tech, Florida State, West Virginia, Creighton, Kansas, and Colorado. Tennessee has the 3-3 vs quality teams, Texas Tech 3-5, Florida State 6-1 with 1 bad loss, Colorado 5-3 with a bad loss, West Virginia 6-4, Creighton 7-3 with a bad loss, Kansas 6-5. I'll give WV the nod at #13, Tennessee #14, Creighton #15, Florida State #16, Kansas #17, Colorado #18, Texas Tech #19. Past that I'll skip the detailed analysis, but there are 2 MVC teams with high raw NET values (Drake, Loyola), but only Loyola has a win against a tourney team, and Drake has played absolutely nobody. They'll play each other twice at Drake coming up, with the victor of the conference the only feasible at-large team from outside the usual suspects. So here are my rankings for the top 50 teams at this point based on NET resumes 1. Gonzaga 2. Baylor 3. Michigan 4. Houston 5. Villanova 6. Virginia 7. Illinois 8. Texas 9. Iowa 10. Alabama 11. Ohio State 12. Wisconsin 13. West Virginia 14. Tennessee 15. Creighton 16. Florida State 17. Kansas 18, Colorado 19. Texas Tech 20. Missouri 21. Purdue 22. Oklahoma 23. Florida 24. USC 25. Rutgers 26. Boise State 27. UCLA 28. Arkansas 29. Minnesota 30. Oklahoma State 31. San Diego State 32. Connecticut 33. Oregon 34. North Carolina 35. Indiana 36. Arizona 37. LSU 38. Loyola-IL 39. Virginia Tech 40. Louisville 41. Maryland 42. Saint Louis 43. Utah State 44. Duke 45. Stanford 46. Penn State(?) (I mean, their entire schedule save 2 games has been tournament teams and they have 3 wins, so...) 47. Syracuse 48. Clemson 49. BYU 50. Drake It gets...dire after about 35 this season with such fewer gimme games. If you think of the rankings like seeds, 1-32 are seeds 1 to 8 in the tournament, so 33-36 is 9 seeds, 37-40 are 10 seeds, 41-44 are 11 seeds, and 45-48 are basically last four in at this point. There's not a lot to pick from this season.