There's a difference between forcing fumbles and recovering fumbles. One is predictable, the other is not (on a grand scale). The difference in recovery % between a forced fumble and a muff/drop is lower than the statistical noise associated with fumble recovery. Nobody is saying the Bears got lucky to win, just that the fumbles worked out fortunately for them yesterday. Here were the 5 fumbles: - Hester fumbled after his first completion on the second play of the game (ran into his own lineman), but it came right back to him. Score was 0-0 at the time. - Turner fumble at the end of the first quarter. Good strip by Tillman, Bears ended up with it at the bottom of the pile. Score was 10-3 at the time. - Hester's muffed punt return where fortunately nobody was around. Bad muff in a fortunate situation. Score was 10-3 at the time. - Ryan's "set the ball on the ground" fumble early in the third returned for the TD. Score was 23-6 (and then 30-6) at the time. - Cutler's sack-fumble in the fourth that bounced right back to him. Score was 30-12 at the time. In each situation, it's not necessarily that the fumble's weren't forced by the D, it's just that actually recovering the fumbles took some fortune, whether it was the situation or the bounce. The Bears are regularly quite effective at causing fumbles, but their recovery rate is right in line with the rest of the league. That often means they recover more fumbles than their opponents as a result of the high volume of fumbles caused. However, their rate isn't any better than anyone else's, and a 100% recovery rate was a bit fortunate, considering the circumstances for each fumble. By the Hester muff, the Bears had basically seized control of the game and forced the Falcons to be one-dimensional, and the D shut down Atlanta's passing game completely after that point.