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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. Rob
    It wouldn't make much sense to commit 5 mil in payroll for next year just to get slightly better prospects in this deal. We could have spent that money in Latin America and come out ahead for it. Theo has said it before... it's just about trying to acquire assets. DeJesus is a good player who signed for cheap. Depending on what happens through the rest of this offseason and the next one, DeJesus may be able to contribute to a contending Cubs team in years 2 & 3 of his contract... failing that, he may very well be worth a small package of interesting prospects to a contending team.
  2. Rob
    How about one? I'd love that. I was all about overpaying for Pujols or Darvish. Wouldn't mind overpaying Fielder, either... just not by 40 mil.
  3. Rob
    What are your thoughts on Matt Dominguez? I think if the Marlins came out offering Morrison and Dominguez, I'd certainly at least have to consider it.
  4. Rob
    We only sign aces and 5+ WAR hitters. And none of this "defense" crap counts. Moves that make small, incremental improvements to the team are a good thing. Not every move can or should be a blockbuster.
  5. Rob
    Saw in on Twitter by Levin, LEVIN T BLACK?
  6. Rob
    Meh? He's a decent enough pitcher when healthy. If the medicals came back alright and the money isn't excessive it should be a pretty nice move. But we can't really judge it til we see what we're paying.
  7. Rob
    Okay, that's a hell of a deal for the Cards. Wish we'd been able to move Soriano and get in on that.
  8. Rob
    For anybody who hasn't been to see a Chiefs game, I'd highly recommend it. I didn't make it out there til last season, but I'm planning on going back a bunch next year.
  9. Rob
    Just because I think it's an interesting comparison. Travis Wood has 3.3 WAR over 208.2 IP in his career, with a 3.75 FIP and a 4.30 xFIP (not shocking for a flyball pitcher in GABP). He's under control for 5 more years. Gio Gonzalez over the last two years has averaged 3.35 WAR in 201.1 IP, with an FIP of 3.71 and xFIP of 3.89. He's under control for 4 more years. The Nationals just gave up a huge haul of prospects to get their guy. The Cubs gave up one year of an elite setup guy, but will also be receiving two additional prospects.
  10. Rob
    The prospects may make or break the trade from the Reds perspective. The Cubs already came out ahead.
  11. Rob
    Much more promising than some of the other prospects listed. Works in the low 90's and tops out at 97mph. Seems to have started to figure things out. The other two Coddington and Ward make absolutely no sense. The other name he gave me was Yorman Rodriguez Corcino and Rodriguez. Yes please. You're kidding right? I think you guys need to come way down off your prospects expectations. I wouldn't trade Wood for Marshall straight up as it is, so if it's anything but low level filler guys I'll be surprised. Coddington/Webb makes much more sense. Keith Law says the names he's heard have been non-zeroes. Jim Bowden said the prospects will be the key to the deal. Yadda yadda yadda. We don't know what they had to give up. But given how many teams were supposedly in on Marshall I'm sure the Reds had to outbid others, as well as perhaps pay the standard premium for trading with a division rival. It's not about what's fair or what makes sense. That said, Wood is a pretty significant piece already. I'm not expecting much in addition to him... but at the same time I absolutely would not be shocked to see some more interesting names than you're anticipating.
  12. Rob
    Me too. In somewhat related news, I just won a twitter argument with Keith Law on the minutia of transaction rules and regulations regarding a potential Danks sign and trade.
  13. Rob
    Doesn't seem like there's much basis to that rumor. Doesn't mean it wont turn out to be true, but there's no source for it. It's just an unattributed rumor that everybody seems to be running with.
  14. Rob
    I move for a 48 hour unban.
  15. Rob
    His changeup is currently a 2, but has the potential to be an 8. That seems likely. Good to know.
  16. Rob
    There are other ways, but avoiding free agency is stupid. I absolutely agree? As I said, I was just nitpicking. I wasn't throwing out proclamations of how we should be doing things going forward.
  17. Rob
    If you draft and develop they probably won't be doing much for another 5 years. I was kinda including the guys already in our system (including that high ceiling last draft), but that's irrelevant. The point was just that there were other ways to acquire impact talent than buy it. I was being kinda nitpicky.
  18. Rob
    wow. the cubs are really hoping there are a lot of ticket buyers with this attitude. unreal. Do you disagree? I just don't see the Cubs having much chance of competing before 2016 unless they buy some impact players in free agency prior to that time. That's dumb. We can draft and develop impact players before that point, hopefully... to say nothing of being able to at least trade for them. Also, the entirety of the NL central looks like it's about to fall apart completely. You really don't think we can sneak in there?
  19. Rob
    Jeff Francis is that girl you want to get out of the bar before they turn the lights on. You needed somebody and it's understandable... but you get rid of her at the first available opportunity and feel really bad about yourself afterwards. I really hope the Travis Wood acquisition takes care of the need to acquire a #5 starter and we can set our sights a little higher.
  20. Rob
    Is that WAR likely to remain that decent if his K/9 stays that low and his BB/9 stays that high? I guess what I'm asking is whether there was luck involved in that 1.1 WAR he posted last year and is he a good bet to keep that WAR despite such mediocre numbers? It's fWAR, not bWAR. It's all based on fielding independent pitching... so there's no real luck involved. Maybe HR/FB, but that stayed basically the same from 2010 to 2011.
  21. Rob
    What if 2011 is closer to what Wood will do going forward rather than 2010? He had two very similar sample sizes and his K/9 dropped a full strikeout while his BB/9 rose more than 1 full walk. It's all well and good that the two combined average out to a solid pitcher, but what if 2010 was a fluke? 2011 Wood was worth 1.1 WAR in 106 IP. Give even 2011 Wood a full season in the rotation and he's pretty likely to approach that 2.0 WAR figure.
  22. Rob
    Teams are getting super-stingy with their prospects. We might have been able to get some higher-ceiling low level guys, but personally I love guys who are ready to contribute with 0 or 1 years of service time. Those are highly valuable assets. They may be valuable but there's a good chance they aren't highly valuable. Ready to contribute guys can just be people like Colvin who aren't going to get any better. If you emphasize just getting guys who are ready that's a good way to lock-in very mediocre seasons. A league average 2 WAR player making 400k a year just saved 9 million dollars over what comparable production would cost on the FA market. Young, cost-controlled guys are super valuable for the financial flexibility they offer your team. The trick though is actually finding a place to spend that 9 mil. ETA: Kyle took care of it. Nevermind.
  23. Rob
    It's not that Wood is a horrible return. It's that Marshall is one of the most dominant relievers in the game and we find it hard to believe that the Cubs weren't able to get a better offer for him. Oh, so you know the two minor leaguers? And what other teams were offering? Wood for Marshall straight up is a win for us, which is cause for at least some celebration. Debating whether Theo took the best offer he could get or not is a waste of time right now.
  24. Rob
    5 cost controlled years of a 24 year old left handed starter who has 3.3 WAR in 208.2 IP. The recently acquired Mat Latos had 3.2 WAR in 194.1 IP last season, just as a reference. If you think Wood's true talent level is somewhere right in the middle of his last two years, and that he can throw 200 IP in a season, he's a hell of a piece to get.
  25. Rob
    How is this "breaking news"? Theo has been dumpster diving for the last few weeks and has offered to trade anyone that anyone will take (except Castro). As for Fielder, any of you posters who think we've been serious bidders have been smoking something. Backtobanks criticizing other posters for having what he feels are unrealistic expectations of who will end up on our roster... Hmmm...
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