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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. Rob
    How many seasons does Volstad have left under club control? 2? 3?
  2. Rob
    Dominguez sounds like a guy Theo/Hoyer would target given their apparent extremely strong emphasis on defense and lukewarm stance on offense. Not sure Z's value is high enough to net him, but it wouldn't surprise me if Theo/Hoyer want him. The Red Sox routinely ranked as one of the top offensive teams in baseball under Epstein. We will have offense, even if it isn't next year.
  3. Rob
    Career high strikeout rate last year along with a career low walk rate. The improvement was masked by what looks like some moderately bad luck. There's a hint of potential there, but the best case scenario looks like a typical Ryan Dempster year. Given he's not even under club control for long, I think I'd have rather held on to Zambrano and prayed for a resurgence (culminating in a deadline deal).
  4. Rob
    I wouldn't be shocked to see Vitters a C+
  5. Rob
    Of the guys already in the system, I think those two are the only ones with a good case for the #1 ranking. But if we acquire a Jacob Turner or Jesus Montero in a Garza deal that could change in a hurry. Same for Rizzo, if he still qualifies as a prospect.
  6. Rob
    doesn't he face 100 games? MLB says he should face 100 games. Manny's camp (and likely the MLBPA) says his retirement last season should count towards those 100. Both sides are amenable to a 50 game suspension, though I don't know that anything has been officially declared.
  7. Rob
    That's a much better post than some irrelevant tangent about OPS+. Thank you.
  8. Rob
    So you fully admit that you're looking for different things from different positions, and yet you're judging a CF solely based upon his bat? Where did I say I was judging solely on his bat? I'm sorry, where did you acknowledge the importance of anything besides OPS+?
  9. Rob
    So you fully admit that you're looking for different things from different positions, and yet you're judging a CF solely based upon his bat?
  10. Rob
    because ops+ isn't the sum total of a baseball player's skills? Sure isn't the worst thing to have a high number in either. LETS FRAME THIS A DIFFERENT WAY!!! because UZR isn't the sum total of a baseball player's skills? Sure isn't the worst thing to have a high number in either. YOU JUST HELPED ME PROVE WE SHOULDN'T SIGN PRINCE FIELDER.
  11. Rob
    1/3 seems high. He's a good hitter relative to other starting pitchers but maybe he'd pitch better if he didn't have to run the bases. We have no way of knowing how much he thinks about hitting when he's supposed to be pitching. By which I mean that he may go to the mound pissed because he struck out and try to overthrow and start walking people. It seems like there have also been times when he lost his effectiveness on the mound after getting a hit in the previous half inning. No, I don't have any stats to back that up. 1/3 was low last year. Zambrano posted 1.0 WAR as a hitter and 0.9 as a pitcher.
  12. Rob
    If we spent $25 mil or so there's still enough out there on the market that we could be a .500 team and pray for some luck. But it's looking more and more like 2012 will be a rebuilding year, barring something unexpected. I imagine I'll see more games in Peoria than Chicago this year.
  13. Rob
    They won 81 games last year. Only Bautista and Romero are serious candidates for regression. They've replaced Aaron Hill and Rajai Davis with Kelly Johnson and Colby Rasmus (struggles aside, he's a good bet to outperform the Jays 2011 CF production). They will get a full season from Brett Lawrie. They've also got plenty of candidates to perform much better... Arencibia, Snider, Morrow, Cecil... and I'd love to see what Dustin McGowan could do if he's healthy going into next season. I understand waiting a year or two, but with the money the Blue Jays have available I see no reason they couldn't contend next year if they wanted to.
  14. Rob
    isn't rendon supposed to be a superior defender at 3b? if he can even play a decent 2b, his bat could be monstrous (like chase utley-type impact) relative to other 2b around the league. i can't see either him or zimmerman shifting to 1b; their defensive abilities would be wasted there. i guess the other possibility would be corner OF, but then you run into werth and harper. i think 2b makes the most sense... the greatest downside being that 2b get injured more frequently than any position on the diamond except for catchers. I'm not saying he doesn't have the athleticism to handle 2B. He does. But as you stated, 2B get injured very frequently... and Rendon already has plenty of scouts using the term "injury-prone." I think it's more likely he's traded than anything else.
  15. Rob
    I'm glad prices are reaching the point that teams feel uncomfortable.
  16. Rob
    Reading over at Sons of Sam Horn, I've seen more than one post suggesting that the Red Sox might take on Byrd and his salary in order to lower the cost of prospects they'd have to give up in a Garza trade. Is NSBB usually this delusional? Byrd has been worth 6.4 WAR over the last two years for us, and that's despite missing 25% of last season after his face got exploded. He's a slightly above league average player getting paid roughly 50% of what he's worth. Why in the hell would anybody think he's got negative trade value?
  17. Rob
    I seriously doubt Rendon ever logs more than a handful of games at 2B at the MLB level.
  18. Rob
    There was an article a while back, I can't remember exactly what website it was on... but it detailed the dossiers that Boras creates for his clients. He makes these absurd, aggrandizing claims about players where he forecasts what they're on pace to do... even if it's an absurdly long ways away. If memory serves, there's a point in Prince Fielder's dossier pointed out what elite company he'll be in when he keeps up this pace through his age 37 season. The whole thing is kinda a running joke for most front offices in baseball, as most guys aren't dumb enough to buy into any of it. Yet Boras still distributes these dossiers every year... you know why? It works. It works mostly because owners aren't as smart as the front offices they employ, and the George Steinbrenners of the world love to go over their GMs heads when they see a shiny new toy. Boras will do everything he can to make the sale, because more often than we might like to believe, decisions about who signs where aren't always as simple as "is he good enough to be worth that contract?". Hey, who wants to bet davearm is gonna argue with me that owners can't be that stupid?
  19. Rob
    I'm still not ready to throw in the towel on Szczur not being a high ceiling guy. I may give a bit too much slack on account of the whole "he never played baseball full time until recently" argument though. He needs to learn to utilize both his power and speed more effectively and his plate discipline needs to improve substantially, but the tools are there... even if it's somewhat of a longshot.
  20. Rob
    Yeah, but we have 3 high celing CF prospects in Jackson, Szczur, and Ha, 4 if you count Rubi Silva but nothing in the form of corner outfielders. Part of me would just as soon get Drabek, Snider, and 2 young high celing guys. And personally I do think we have some high ceiling talent in the under 21 crowd, just none that we'll be seeing in the next 3 years with the possible exceptions of Jackson, Szczur, and McNutt. Your definition of high ceiling is very different from mine. At any rate, of that group Gose would have the most power, best speed, and highest walk rate. As to the other point Truffle was making, I'm in agreement. If Drabek is the 3rd piece in a deal, we came out okay. If he's the 2nd piece, I'd hope the 3-4 guys are better than expected... but we're probably still okay. And I didn't even ever really think Drabek belonged that high in the rankings to begin with... so there's that.
  21. Rob
    Who on twitter, exactly?
  22. Rob
    I'm wondering if Detroit wouldn't have some interest in Marlon Byrd coming along with Garza. Right now their OF is Brennan Boesch / Austin Jackson / Delmon Young, all of whom have some serious question marks.
  23. Rob
    I'm not seeing how you came to that conclusion.
  24. Rob
    There's a guy on the PSD forums who seems to have some degree of insider cred and he posted this: Not exactly a shocker, but I thought it was worth posting.
  25. Rob
    I'm somewhat puzzled by this move. Yeah, the Padres need offense. But this isn't a long-term fix or even a 2-3 year fix. It's a one year rental... for a team that just waved the white flag on next season by trading its best starting pitcher. I've seen it theorized that the Padres are just hoping he'll rebound and they can flip him for more prospects at the deadline, but that's a pretty risky move even if they didn't give up all that much. Something tells me the intent is to extend him and they didn't want to have to pay FA prices next offseason (if he was even still on the market at that point).
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