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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. Rob
    Murt - Soriano - Manny Is this Jim's master plan? Or could it be Manny - Lugo - Soriano (Murt off the bench)? Wowow. Murt > Lugo... even taking into account the fact it'd force Soriano into center
  2. Rob
    You guys are quickly jumping to conclusions about Gil Meche. You see his numbers and you quickly don't want him. The thing you're not seeing is the potential he has to succeed. He has a very live arm, still pretty young, sharp breaking curveball, and a potential Jason Schmidt changeup in the mix. I see his potential for more of a reason to sign him rather than his numbers. He's had six years in the majors and will be 28 next year. When's this potential going to translate into results? And that's fine if you like him, but you have to understand why people are skeptical of your opinion. He's been a below-average pitcher for four consecutive seasons and is an injury risk, which makes many people apprehensive of giving him a multi-year contract in the neighborhood of $8-9M per year. Jason Schmidt struggled very much early in his career just like Meche has. Schmdit didn't hit his stride untill 2002. Before that, he was a average power pitcher with no changeup. When he developed his changeup in San Fran, he became a dominate pitcher. The same can be said for Meche. Meche has a developing changeup. Meche actually has an advantage over Schmdit. Meche has a better break on his curveball than Schmidt had when he was 28. Meche has the potential to be the next Jason Schmidt if he can develop his changeup. Schmidt had better years in 98 and 99 than Meche has ever had in his career.
  3. Rob
    Ask any scout in the league, and I bet they'll tell you Cruz has better stuff than Meche. I'm just trying to make the point that you can't always go for the guy with the better potential. Potential just isn't the same thing as production, and Meche's base level of production is exactly what we can expect from our young arms like Guzman or Marshall. Meche has never shown he can produce at a level worth near 9 million more than those guys... nor does he have any more potential than Guzman. Meche isn't a smart signing.
  4. Rob
    You guys are quickly jumping to conclusions about Gil Meche. You see his numbers and you quickly don't want him. The thing you're not seeing is the potential he has to succeed. He has a very live arm, still pretty young, sharp breaking curveball, and a potential Jason Schmidt changeup in the mix. I see his potential for more of a reason to sign him rather than his numbers. Damnit, you're right. We should throw 30 million at Juan Cruz while we're at it. I was expecting you to post something. Actually, I even made a bet with a fellow nsbb member that you would post something like that. Would you really be happy without a smartass rival? I know I'd surely get bored. Mind you, I'm still waiting on the response as to whether you'd spend that kind of money on Juan Cruz.
  5. Rob
    You guys are quickly jumping to conclusions about Gil Meche. You see his numbers and you quickly don't want him. The thing you're not seeing is the potential he has to succeed. He has a very live arm, still pretty young, sharp breaking curveball, and a potential Jason Schmidt changeup in the mix. I see his potential for more of a reason to sign him rather than his numbers. Damnit, you're right. We should throw 30 million at Juan Cruz while we're at it.
  6. Rob
    Nobody else seems to be picking up on the YES report yet.
  7. Rob
    hahaha, why'd they even bother putting this in the contract??? In case he waves his no-trade.
  8. Rob
    Rule them out, period. A $25 million bid for an average LHP is insane. I would hope that Hendry is smarter than that. Hope in one hand, crap in the other. See which gets full first. Hendry was probably too busy trying to fit room into the payroll for worse pitchers like Meche and Marquis. (Not that I disagree with the decision to not spend $25 mil just for the posting fee for Igawa... I'm just wary of what crap Hendry wants to spend that money on)
  9. Rob
    Rosenthal just reported half an hour ago Counsell was about to sign with the Brewers.
  10. Rob
    Don't ask that... We don't want that answer.
  11. Rob
    He already plays a plus major-league CF, and projects to continue to do so for the foreseeable future. Gotcha. I was just under the impression that he wasn't your typical "speed/range/glove" center fielder. So more like Damon than Pierre? A lefty Mike Cameron with some extra speed and not as much patience at the plate. That's what we're all excited about? Perhaps I forgot to mention that speed should let him keep his BA around .300 most seasons, with a few flukes going both ways. Peak years? .320/.370/.540 With 40 SB and Plus-plus defense. And Jason Dubois would hit 30 HR in the majors. I'll believe it when I see it I was doing the "if he establishes himself at the level he's capable of" projection. I have very little doubt in my mind he'll manage to pull together a few 20/20 seasons. The question in my mind is whether that will be his baseline or his peak. It depends on how his plate discipline comes around.
  12. Rob
    He already plays a plus major-league CF, and projects to continue to do so for the foreseeable future. Gotcha. I was just under the impression that he wasn't your typical "speed/range/glove" center fielder. So more like Damon than Pierre? A lefty Mike Cameron with some extra speed and not as much patience at the plate. That's what we're all excited about? Perhaps I forgot to mention that speed should let him keep his BA around .300 most seasons, with a few flukes going both ways. Peak years? .320/.370/.540 With 40 SB and Plus-plus defense.
  13. Rob
    He already plays a plus major-league CF, and projects to continue to do so for the foreseeable future. Gotcha. I was just under the impression that he wasn't your typical "speed/range/glove" center fielder. So more like Damon than Pierre? A lefty Mike Cameron with some extra speed and not as much patience at the plate.
  14. Rob
    If the fee really is 25 mil, there's no way it's us. I could see us potentially throwing 13 or so at him, but there's no way we threw 25.
  15. Rob
    He already plays a plus major-league CF, and projects to continue to do so for the foreseeable future.
  16. Rob
    I'm just not convinced the future has been expensed. The talent is all still intact. And if any of those guys were any good, they will also be cheap for a good while longer, so that value can makeup for overpaying older guys. There is definite risk to the future. But you can't win in this game without taking risks. You have to be in it to win it. I know you have to take risks to win, but this is a bubble market and the Cubs needed a major rebuilding. It's an exceptionally awful time for the Cubs to have a GM who has to win now to save his job. It really is... though I have to admit, I do kinda enjoy the fact we've spent nearly a quarter of a billion so far this offseason (even if it hasn't been on the right players). It's enthralling.
  17. Rob
    Jason Marquis is the really puzzling one. He's always been way too hittable for a sinkerball pitcher, and last year he was a train wreck. Plus, the Cards, who are an intelligent and well-run organization, apparently have no interest in him. That should tell the Cubs (a stupid, poorly-run organization) something. Only if the Cubs realize that they themselves are stupid.
  18. Rob
    The only thing I'm worried about in that deal was that a couple of weeks ago a report came out that said that the Indians had no interest in Cedeno. Twist my arm. Fine, they can have Izturis. :lol:
  19. Rob
    Likewise, you can't develop all 25 players on your own, and you have to plug in guys like Soriano, Lee and ARam when you can. yup, that's the right formula - unfortunately, the Cubs just haven't produced the talent to use this method. Really need to develop some position prospects - Cubs have been so woeful at doing that the past 20 years. Eric Hinske is a super-stud.
  20. Rob
    Westbrook would be a great addition as a #4 starter. If the price is something like Dempster, Marshall, and Cedeno... I could certainly live with that.
  21. Rob
    Care to relate the convo as it comes on?
  22. Rob
    You can do more than that. You have to sell a lot more than just the contract. Epstein convinced Schilling to go to Boston after he had said he'd never go. Hendry has to do more than just layout a contract and say, "it's up to you." He should convince Schmidt that he's building a legit contender that will win big in the next few years. The contract itself is the most important thing, but you can't just stop there. I'm not positive about this now, but I seem to remember hearing a report from an unnamed agent saying something to the effect of the presentation Hendry made to Soriano to convince him to come out here was the best he had ever seen.
  23. Rob
    Living Hall of Fame members vote only for those on the Veterans Committee ballot. They do not vote in this phase of Hall of Fame balloting. This phase is reserved for BBWAA members who have been members for at least 10 years. ah, my mistake. But is it the BBWAA or the Veteran's vote that is notorious for voters not sending ballots? It seems to me it was the "old" (no pun intended) Veterans Committee that had trouble getting its full complement to vote. Before the system was revamped, the Veterans Committee was made up of a panel appointed by the Hall of Fame. Some of the older members at times could not get to the meeting. The new Veterans Committee has higher voter turnout as does the BBWAA. and the system allows you to vote for as many or as few players as you would like, correct? You may vote for as few as zero players and up to as many as 10. Do you ever publish the list of whom you vote, Bruce? Yes. Do you ever publish it in Spanish?
  24. Rob
    It's a fairly blatant ruse. San Fran only has Matt Cain (whom they wont trade) and Tim Lincecum (whom they can't in good conscience trade). I personally think Sanchez doesn't have that muh value. Even at that, the Giants just don't have anything the Red Sox would want. The Red Sox are using the SF rumor to pressure the other teams wanting to trade for Manny. The Giants are using the Manny rumor to try and get Bonds to re-sign quickly.
  25. Rob
    Awww....man, Boston isn't going to pony up $30 or so million dollars for Igawa? Crap. I can't wait to see what happens when Boston gives up its right to negotiate with Matsuzaka. It's going to be a complete free for all. Matsuzaka can't negotiate with any teams besides the Red Sox if he doesn't get something worked out... not until 08, at least. (Disclaimer: it'd be possible for Seibu to post him again following 07, but very unlikely IMHO)
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