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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. Rob
    Thank god. Hopefully this kills rickroll.
  2. Rob
    Yeah, most studies say the difference between the absolute best, and the absolute worst (which no manager even comes close to) is about 2.5 wins a season.
  3. Rob
    Wow... that's a fat load of nothing for Tejada.
  4. Rob
    Also, interestingly enough, the contract has a provision forcing Toronto to pay for eight round-trips per season between Toronto and Burnett's home in Maryland... by limousine. I guess it's for his wife.
  5. Rob
    For what it's worth, Burnett is making 12 million each of the next three seasons, and has one of those nasty opt-out clauses after this one. Scenario A: Burnett stays healthy. He opts out after the season when we're wanting to keep him. Scenario B: Burnett gets injured. He does not opt out and we're on the hook for another two seasons and 24 million. I can certainly see why his trade value would be lowered with that horrible contract.
  6. Rob
    At this point, I'm seriously debating whether or not I should start backing a Jack Wilson acquisition... that's how sad it's gotten.
  7. Rob
    Agreed. But this is fairly close to the package he's supposedly already been willing to give up.
  8. Rob
    Ya know, I could kiss you right now. Instead, let me just offer up a heartfelt thanks, though. I figure I owe you at least that much.
  9. Rob
    I'd love to hear a reputable source confirm... but I'm feeling a lot better right now.
  10. Rob
    Touche.
  11. Rob
    At the same time, the Cubs aren't exactly getting back top stars or top prospects. Coletti has no plans for Ethier right now, and Roberts isn't exactly Chase Utley. He's a marginal upgrade over the guy we got off the FA market for 4 mil a season.
  12. Rob
    Everybody else gets to make three-way trade proposals... I thought I'd try my hand. Cubs get Roberts, Ethier Dodgers get Bedard, Tejada, Murton Orioles get Pie, Kemp, McDonald, Gallagher, LaRoche, Hu That'd leave the teams looking like this... Cubs: C - Soto 1B - Lee 2B - Roberts 3B - Ramirez SS - Theriot LF - Soriano CF - Fukudome (assuming we get him) RF - Ethier SP1 - Z SP2 - Lilly SP3 - Hill SP4 - Marquis SP5 - Dempster/Marshall Dodgers: C - Martin 1B - Nomar 2B - Kent 3B - Tejada SS - Furcal LF - Pierre CF - Jones RF - Murton SP1 - Penny SP2 - Bedard SP3 - Billingsly SP4 - Schmidt SP5 - Lowe Orioles: C - Hernandez 1B - Millar/Moore 2B - ??? 3B - LaRoche SS - Hu LF - Kemp CF - Pie RF - Markakis The Orioles rotation would still be in shambles, but Gallagher and McDonald would be working their way up. Thoughts? I debated a few changes, so any constructive criticism is welcome.
  13. Rob
    Bruce posted in the Fukudome trade that he hasn't heard anything about this.
  14. Rob
    You leave my mother out of this!
  15. Rob
    We get a PTBN or cash don't we if he signs for less than his last contract? I don't even know that he has to sign for less. I think the CBA prohibits that kind of stipulation for a trade... as I understand it, the only real caveat was that he had to still be on the Twins roster at a specified date. Though of course, the Twins would have never signed him if it didn't mean a pay cut.
  16. Rob
    What? Well I had a 1.250 OPS in the MSBL last year too, does that make me a better SS than Cedeno? I am glad that Cedeno had success after getting THREE hits his first month of the season in MLB. Is the MSBL pretty equivalent to AA? If it were, you might have a shot. You have NO way of proving that, especially if you consider the statistics Cedeno put up in 2006 - a year that he did play every day. Those numbers do not even come close to what Theriot did in 2007. CEDENO 2006 - 151 534 51 131 18 7 6 41 8 8 17 109 .245 .271 .339 THERIOT 2007 - 148 537 80 143 30 2 3 45 28 4 49 50 .266 .326 .346 No way of proving that? How about thousands of seasons worth of hard statistics? Based on a players age and performance, one can fairly reliably predict what they will do from one season to the next, simply by comparing them to what every other player in their situation has done. You seem to have absolutely no grasp of what the importance of age relative to league means to a player's development. That's Player Evaluation 101. I don't have to use any facts but the statistics. Thanks. I'd never laughed so hard in my life. It's like you actually believe you know what the statistics are showing.
  17. Rob
    Theriot's OPS last season - .672 Cedeno's AAA OPS last season - .959 Despite what you might want to infer from the very limited sample size for Cedeno at the major league level last season, there's absolutely zero chance that Cedeno would not have outperformed Theriot given a full season. You don't post an OPS nearly 300 points higher than a guy, then go to being a worse option... simply by moving up one level. Cedeno's MLB line last season was an anomaly based on his small sample size, nothing more. On no planet was Theriot likely to be better last season, or this coming season. This is fact. You can use utterly ridiculous statements to try to argue it, but it doesn't change the reality of the situation. Cedeno > Theriot. Now and forever.
  18. Rob
    Theriot saw 3.53 P/PA last year. He ranked 67th out of the 75 batters with enough PA to qualify. I wouldn't exactly say he's much less likely to swing at junk and I certainly wouldn't qualify his approach as "discipline"
  19. Rob
    Your guess is as good as mine. If the Cubs land Fukudome, I think they will be more willing to trade Pie especially if Colvin is progressing. Hendry keeps saying Pie is untouchable, but I got to believe if Hendry becomes desperate for Brian Roberts, he'll put Pie in that deal. With Pie, Theriot and the pitcher's spot, the lineup has 3 automatic outs (save for Z). Theriot is now an "automatic out?" He's pretty close to it. And his walk rate will probably drop next season considering how abysmal his P/PA was last year.
  20. Rob
    They don't have new ones, but FWIW their 2008 projections in the 5-year forecast are as follows... Of course this is all projected from after the 2006 season, not this season Considering the numbers Cedeno posted last year, his projection will increase by a nice chunk... Theriot's will stay about the same. Yeah, even the projections posted after Cedeno's disastrous 2006 favor him... that's hilarious and sad at the same time.
  21. Rob
    Unless I am mistaken, all international merchandise revenue goes directly into revenue sharing, as well as online sales except for zip codes in a 200 mile radius. The only way the Cubs can profit directly off of this deal is by selling ads to Japanese, or a cable deal. One way is to have the green screen behind home plate display Japanese ads whenever Fukudome is batting, because obviously they'll get more play in Japan than say, Ryan Theriot's. I think you've got it right, unless the newest CBA changed things.
  22. Rob
    I do. But only because I'm being realistic. As long as Theriot is on this team, Cedeno is never going to get the shot he deserves. Lou and Hendry have way too much of a man-crush on him. If Theriot were to retire tomorrow, I think our team would be better for it... simply because we'd have to go out and find somebody to fill the position, or give Cedeno the nod. In a perfect world, I wouldn't mind Theriot as a backup. But I don't see Lou using him in that role. And I just want to point this out one more time. Yes, at age 23 Cedeno was horrible in 2006 at the major league level... posting an OPS of .610. At the same age, Theriot split time pretty evenly between A ball and AA, posting OPSs of .671 and .621, respectively. We don't even have to look outside the organization to replace Theriot. Cedeno is the better in-house option, and by a very significant margin.
  23. Rob
    Nobody has that info. Speculation is that the Padres have offered somewhere slightly north of 3/30. Cubs' estimates are all over the map... anywhere from 3/45, to 4/60, to 5/75.
  24. Rob
    This sort of outrageous sentiment towards him is exactly the reason I said we'd be better off cutting him this offseason. Theriot seems like a fine young man, but he is not good enough to be our starting shortstop... and as long as he's on this team, Lou is holding to the same antiquated notion of what a SS should be that he'll continue to start, and continue bringing this team down with him.
  25. Rob
    Wait, I'm a bit confused. I was under the impression that Kevin Towers said something about expecting to hear back from Fukudome soon... but reading some of these posts, I get the impression that the offer comes off the table today. Am I just reading too much into this?
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