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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. Ok, first off, let's throw out that ridiculous mental toughness shtick. Nobody in here is out on the mound with him, so let's not pretend we know what's going on. Secondly, how do you figure those comparisons besides a lefty with a good curve? At any rate, Hill's value is likely going to go up as his strikeout rate catches up to his minor league rate. Third, of our main 4 starters (Z, Lilly, Hill, and Marquis), Hill threw the next-to-least number of pitches per plate appearance. Only Marquis threw fewer per at bat. And Finally, Hill had a significantly lower than league average BB/9. I just can't figure out your logic behind these thoughts.
  2. Theriot looked good defensively when he got his hands on the ball. But because his arm is so weak, he was playing in a few steps, which comprimised his range considerably. All in all, he was below average with the glove, simply because he could never get to the ball. Everett shouldn't have to compete, he'd be hands-down a much better option than Theriot.
  3. To be fair, Everett might be the single player in the game with a glove good enough to cover up for his offense... at least among people with truly putrid bats.
  4. From what I have read he will not be healthy until mid-season. Then I would expect him to be very rusty and most likely not of much use to the major league team this season. If he wouldn't agree to a contract with a club option for next year then he can walk after this season anyway. So from the Cubs perspective they pay him a pretty good salary for another year just to get him rehabbed so he can cash in as a free agent in '09. If he would not take the two year contract then I can see why the organization decided it was better to cut him loose now. I would be very surprised if whatever team he signs with does not either get a two year deal (or one year with a team option for '09) or pays a lower amount in a one year deal than what the Cubs could have forced him to take. A rusty Mark Prior is still better than the back end of our rotation right now. Even if he only pitched half of August and Sept, he'd be well worth the money (which wouldn't be all that much).
  5. There was no logic good enough to justify this decision. This is Jim Hendry being childish and making his decisions based on emotion rather than logic.
  6. The Cubs have been shopping him hard the last couple of weeks. If they can get anything at all for him, they'll deal him before the deadline. Teams are much less likely to offer anything for him when they think he might come without a prospect cost a couple weeks later. If anything, tendering him a contract should bring his value up.
  7. Just for fun... Murton's career line vs. LHP: .326/.399/.510 Scott's career line vs. RHP: .276/.364/.534 Yeah, that'd be a ridiculously good platoon.
  8. In other words, he's not saying he's going to non-tender him, simply so that there's that bit of doubt that causes a GM to actually hand over a crappy prospect for him.
  9. Rowand's OPS+ the last five years. 102 130 93 86 123 Rowand isn't even a great bet to be an above average hitter. And while he certainly hustles on defense, he's only above average with the glove... nothing special. Rowand is league average... him getting five years, and getting 12 mil per year, are both absolutely ridiculous.
  10. Trading or non-tendering Prior would be quite stupid. He's still expected to pitch next season, and we could certainly use a #5 starter of his caliber late in the season. His value in that role is worth the salary for this season, and trading him for next-to-nothing or non-tendering him for the salary relief isn't likely at all to be of any use to us. If getting rid of him gives you some sort of perverse emotional gratification, congratulations. But there is no good reason to be rid of him from a logical standpoint... unless you honestly believe he'll fake being injured the entire season in order to avoid pitching.
  11. No kidding. Easily above average at all 3 OF spots, the best defender in the game at SS, an elite defensive 1B, and above average D at 3B and C. Did you really just call Alfonso Soriano "easily above average" at playing defense? Easily?!? The accuracy and quick release of his throws more than covers up the fact that he's scared of the wall.
  12. Hint: look at more than 2007. I know I'm new, but why is everyone so condescending and belittling around here? Get used to it. Bah. Not even Meph does that anymore. He's moved on to simple ego-gratification (and the response of everybody here to his posts now is fun to watch). The only real sniping is between OMC and IMB.
  13. Hint: look at more than 2007. I know I'm new, but why is everyone so condescending and belittling around here? I wasn't trying to be. I'm really sorry if I was. You will come to find out, that's not my style at all. Wasn't necessarily aimed at you. Sorry. It just seems like there's a lot of sniping at certain times. I guess that's the nature of a message board. Yeah, it's pretty tough to pull off my style on a message board. And pulling out statistics on a message board almost always makes one come off sounding condescending. Rest assured, I'm just trying to share my opinions. I'm not trying to hurt anybody's feelings.
  14. How do you figure? Bedard struck out almost 40 more batters in 13 fewer innings last year, against much tougher hitters. Minor league numbers, my friend. This was on the low end of what we should have expected from Hill's K/9, wheras this seems to be a fluke high for Bedard. I disagree, but that's fine. Feel free to disagree all you like, but Hill struck out 12.49 per 9 in his minor league career.... Bedard was quite high, but didn't crack 11 per 9, IIRC. There's a reason Bill James pegged Rich Hill to lead the NL in strikeouts before last season.
  15. How do you figure? Bedard struck out almost 40 more batters in 13 fewer innings last year, against much tougher hitters. Minor league numbers, my friend. This was on the low end of what we should have expected from Hill's K/9, wheras this seems to be a fluke high for Bedard.
  16. Bedard and Hill are pretty much the same pitcher, with Hill perhaps having the potential to strike out a few more, and Bedard being able to induce more grounders. All things being equal, Bedard is probably a little bit better... but not significantly enough to justify giving up all the extra years we'll have Hill under contract.
  17. According to Dewan's +/- system, Adam Everett was +98 from 2004-2006. The next best shortstop was +46 over the same period. Edit: Izturis was a mere +21 over the same span.
  18. That's hilarious. Rowand may be a gamer, but he's not much of a player most years.
  19. Lineups don't really matter, it's about getting the right players into the lineup. But I wonder, I know it says "best" and "worst" lineups, but does this actually account for Dusty Baker level bad lineup construction? We'd be talking Dusty, but batting the pitcher first.
  20. I was under the impression there was about 9.5 runs scored per game last year. Wouldn't that work out pretty closely? At any rate, IIRC, Tom Tango came up with an estimate of about 2.5 wins. I'll go check The Book later though.
  21. I'm sorry to hear that. Are there treatments available? Not much, short of sucking on the business end of a Colt .45
  22. Really? Cause the Padres are in desperate need of OFers, and the Cubs have Pie to offer up.
  23. I'd think if we don't get the trade done in the next couple hours, it'd probably wait til Christmas... but I doubt it gets squashed either way.
  24. USS said Petrick in another tread. Didn't they move Veal to the pen? I think we've still got O'Malley who wouldn't kill us for a few starts if we needed him.
  25. Theriot. Khalil Greene will start No offense to you in particular, but why is everyone so nuts about the average SS Khalil Green? 1. He's above average. 2. Even if he were merely average, that would represent a very significant improvement over Theriot.
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