Rob
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Everything posted by Rob
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What kind of numbers did you honestly expect from Bradley?
Rob replied to Old Style's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
He didn't accuse you of racism. He accused the racist fans of it. -
What kind of numbers did you honestly expect from Bradley?
Rob replied to Old Style's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
nobody said average means nothing. it means something because it brings other numbers up. also nobody said anything close to what you said about ops btw, that hitter would still have an .800 ops delete your post, he needs to figure this out for himself. Feed a man a fish and all that. To be fair, the hits are worth marginally more than the walks when you look at it in extremes like this. This hypothetical player would be a marginal upgrade over Bradley this year. That said, if he's hitting .400 with no patience or power, Bradley would be the better bet of the two for next season. -
What kind of numbers did you honestly expect from Bradley?
Rob replied to Old Style's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I recently learned that the mods can read the words anyways. Tread carefully. -
What kind of numbers did you honestly expect from Bradley?
Rob replied to Old Style's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
It's actually the 34 HR and 90 RBI that exite me, both of which would lead the Cubs btw. A Please, for the love of god, stop using RBI. -
Rockies DFA Matt Murton
Rob replied to Old Style's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
poorly? Well that's just ignorant. -
What kind of numbers did you honestly expect from Bradley?
Rob replied to Old Style's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Dunn is also having one of the single most atrocious defensive seasons I've ever borne witness to. The difference between him and Bradley is approaching 30 runs on defense alone... and that's with Milton just playing average defense in RF. -
What kind of numbers did you honestly expect from Bradley?
Rob replied to Old Style's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
.280/.380/.500 -
Fixed for truth and accuracy. These are not numbers you can live with from a [expletive] corner outfielder. Stop pretending RBI means a [expletive] thing for individuals. It doesn't, and no amount of bitching will change that. It's not just RBI but you are obviously Milton's mom, so I'll let you praise this great RF we have. Have fun and when you see why we brought him here for and what we're getting, I'll respond. And you're obviously a troll or a [expletive] moron. I hope for your sake it's the former.
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Fixed for truth and accuracy. These are not numbers you can live with from a [expletive] corner outfielder. Stop pretending RBI means a [expletive] thing for individuals. It doesn't, and no amount of bitching will change that.
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Hey fucktards. Stop trying to justify your hatred of Bradley using pointless stats like BA and RBI. At least with your ridiculous semantic arguments like "middle of the order" you almost have a leg to stand on.
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Cubs fans are idiots. Ibanez is a worse defender than Bradley and has been terrible lately. Bradley's closing fast. And that's to mention nothing of years two and three of the contract.
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I'm not. At all. I just said it in the post above yours.
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Ladies and gentlemen, your list of 2010 FA Outfielders per Cots. Bobby Abreu LAA Garret Anderson ATL Rick Ankiel STL Rocco Baldelli BOS Jason Bay BOS Marlon Byrd TEX Mike Cameron MIL Frank Catalanotto TEX Endy Chavez SEA Coco Crisp * KC Carl Crawford * TB Johnny Damon NYY David Dellucci TOR Jermaine Dye * CWS Darin Erstad HOU Cliff Floyd SD Ryan Freel BAL Brian Giles SD Ken Griffey Jr. SEA Vladimir Guerrero LAA Matt Holliday OAK Geoff Jenkins * PHI Reed Johnson CHC Andruw Jones TEX Austin Kearns * WAS Hideki Matusi NYY Jason Michaels CLE Xavier Nady NYY Magglio Ordonez * DET Manny Ramirez * LAD Dave Roberts SF Gary Sheffield DET Randy Winn SF
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My post that set this whole thing off was that I said I was getting a Starlin Castro - Ronny Cedeno vibe. And because Cedeno didn't pan out I think some people took that the wrong way. At one point Cedeno was an excellent prospect, and if it were somehow possible to magically press a reset button and have another shot with him, I'd take it in a heartbeat. It wasn't meant to take anything away from Castro at all.
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8/26 Nationals (Hernandez) vs. Cubs (Harden) 7:05CT, CSN
Rob replied to E.J.'s topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
Why the hell is anybody mentioning RBI? RBI are completely meaningless as an individual stat, but it's not even like Bradley is hitting worse with runners on... he's actually been much better. And while one could make the "garbage time" argument, I'd be just as justified saying he's been trying to help pull our team out of this all month. It's not his fault nobody else is really helping him. -
And I think that completely glossing over Cedeno's .355/.403/.518 line at AAA at age 22 is a bit dishonest too. Cedeno's maturation took a FAR different route than you can expect Castro's to. I see no issue with trying to take a step back before looking at it. Hey, I'm not saying Castro isn't a better prospect than Cedeno was at this age. He absolutely is, and not by a small margin. I was just commenting on the fact that there are quite a few similarities.
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With a much better minor league pedigree and a proven ability to hit for average, mitigating his chances for a Cedeno-esque flop. yeah, i don't see how anyone can look at the two guys and say they're very similar. cedeno struck out in nearly 19% of his PAs from ages 19-21. castro was at 15.3% last year and this year he's under 10% while playing as one of the youngest players in each league. he clearly has contact skills that ronny cedeno did not possess. i'd be more concerned that he turns into rey ordonez - a guy who makes a lot of contact but doesn't make solid enough contact to hit for good average - than ronny cedeno. You dont see it? Really? Two young shortstops with standout defensive tools and trouble making the routine plays... both of whom have line drive strokes and attack the ball early in the count. Granted, Castro is beginning to show some signs of patience at the plate as of late... but until that the only real difference was that Cedeno had more trouble putting the bat on the ball... though he hit it a bit harder when he made contact. Yes... at the same age Castro has a huge leg up on Cedeno... but we really cant be expecting the sort of AAA breakout Cedeno had either. In this case I'd suggest trying to take a big step back and look at the big picture instead of trying to compare them year by year.
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Anybody complaining about Bradley is racist. There, I said it.
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Am I the only one getting a Starlin Castro - Ronny Cedeno vibe?
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I'd say he's near the top. Soriano clearly tops it. But your biggest offseason acquisition disappointing in a big way is a significant problem. The fact that others make more than him is pretty meaningless. Most of those guys have been pretty damn good. Okay.. if the money is meaningless, the fact that he was the biggest offseason acquisition should be as well. So let's just look at production. Bradley is producing like a league average RF despite the power outage. 14th in MLB and 6th in NL in EqA amongst RFs. I bet you can name quite a few players on our team that aren't playing at a league average clip.
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Bradley is making the 7th most on the team this year and has an OBP floating around .400. His power outage sucks, and he doesn't exactly look pretty out in the field... but if you're making a list of problems on this team, he's nowhere near the top.
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Bah. Flawed is a misrepresentation. Could it be done better? Absolutely. But it still works. See... what you're doing is where I suffer. I can't figure out how to import data directly into the spreadsheets I already have set up... forcing me to type in each and every line by hand each time I want to calculate anything. Best of luck to you though... there's no such thing as too many people crunching numbers. I can't wait to see what you come up with.
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You're misinterpreting the purpose of my work slightly. I wasn't attempting to predict values for next season... of course actual BABIP would have a higher correlation for subsequent seasons when taken across such a broad sample size. I'm merely attempting to pinpoint anomalies within this season... a task which this is well suited for. In addition, I am quite lazy. Do you realize it would take me longer simply to calculate xbabip for one batter than it did for me to put all of this together with a simple LD%+.120?
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To be fair, I doubt most of the posters in this thread know where BABIP = LD + .120 comes from. To be honest, there's really no reason to. It's used simply because it's a good approximation. If you need more than an approximation, there are better formulas to use that incorporate other factors into the mix.
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Ok, that would be pretty sweet.
