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TB_11

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Everything posted by TB_11

  1. TB_11
    Fred rules. My belief is that Hendry had opportunities to upgrade the offense this offseason, and failed. That doesn't mean that the Cubs can't compete for the Central or the Wild Card next year. It just means with virtually no change in offensive performance to be expected, the pitching needs to come through in the same way it did in 2003. As it stands right now, we need to have Prior, Zambrano, and Wood all making 30+ solid starts next year to compete, along with Maddux and Williams/Rusch filling in to the best of their abilities. Not that all that can't happen in a season, but it would have been nice to not have to rely entirely on each of those things occuring.
  2. TB_11
    I wouldn't call it a good chance. Given the offseason, Hendry has basically placed all his chips on the starting pitching holding up. If Prior, Zambrano, and Wood can contribute 30 solid starts each, if Maddux can hold his late-career regression, and if Wililams/Rusch can be solid fifth starters for us, than yes we have a chance at 90 wins. But given the futility of this offseason, there's no way the current offense can carry us to 90 wins if those things don't happen.
  3. TB_11
    Lovely.
  4. TB_11
    Hopefully by the end of his contract he'll be as unproductive as Bernie Williams is.
  5. TB_11
    Neifi, Macias, and Dusty would disagree with you.
  6. TB_11
    There's a chance of anything I suppose, but I have a strong suspicion that a guy who swings for the fence in every AB who strikes out as much as Jones does will only swing that much harder and wilder when he "thinks" Wrigley will produce 50 HR's for him. Doesn't matter what ballpark he's in - when he swings and misses, the only place the ball ends up is the catcher's glove. He's perfect for Hendry and Dusty.
  7. TB_11
    It's a decent read, and is based on BFWs (Batter Fielder Base Stealer Wins), not Bill James's Win Shares. The chapter on earned value vs salary is pretty interesting. One caution - Felber tends to get bogged down in describing his statistics, instead of just providing a chart. It helps to just imagine a chart or graph when he's in one of these writings.
  8. TB_11
    wha? With Nomar, Bill Mueller, Derek Lowe, Grady Little, etc, many were saying that the Dodgers are importing all the former Red Sox they can.
  9. TB_11
    I don't know if Prior is another Wood, but I don't trust Rothschild to be the one to correct Prior's mechanics if there is a significant flaw.
  10. TB_11
    Teams with a $100M payroll don't have firesales. I'm not saying that a change wouldn't be helpful, but what you're talking about is a complete overhaul.
  11. TB_11
    In all fairness, the article that Rotoworld uses as it's reference actually contains wording by Hendry that says ideally he would like to keep Pierre long term. Rotoworld gives the impression that the Cubs got him with the intention of being a stop gap. Here's the article Here's another quote from Cubs.com: Exactly. I have been in general disappointed by Hendry this offseason, but giving up Nolasco + Pinto + Mitre for a one-year stopgap would make absolutely no sense.
  12. TB_11
    I think Hendry looks at the value that a player would bring to the entire organization, not unlike an investment banker managing a portfolio of loans and investments. The contracts with Rusch, Howry, Eyre, and Dempster allow Hendry to trade the organization's strength (pitching prospects) for established position players. Neifi! is a hedge in a market (SS) with few alternatives and high prices. The contracts with Neifi!, Howry, Rusch, and Eyre look overvalued individually but have more value when looking at the entire "portfolio" of players and prospects. By maximizing and storing value, Hendry can pounce on undervalued assets that become available during distress sales (e.g., Ramirez, DLee, now Tejada). If that really is how Hendry looks at players, my opinion of his GMing ability will drop significantly.
  13. TB_11
    Juan's middle name is D'Vaughn. I suggest Juan-Vaughn, or JDV.
  14. TB_11
    Here's the situation: You give the Bears offense 10 offensive drives starting at their own 40 yard line against the Bears defense. The offense can only end drives in the following ways: touchdown, field goal attempt/make, turnover on downs, turnover through fumble/interception. If the Bears defense gets the ball, they can't lineup as an offense, meaning the only way they can score is to return a fumble/interception or field goal block/miss into the end zone. Who wins? P.S. How cool is it that for this question you have to include the possibility that a field goal miss can still result in a touchdown for the Bears defense? Vasher rules.
  15. TB_11
    Sadly I think you're right about it requiring Zambrano or Prior to get Tejada. We're not the only team that would love to land Tejada this offseason, and the Orioles will be getting trade offers that would net them very good, PROVEN players (like Manny). If the Cubs were the only team interested in Tejada, something along the lines of Pie+Cedeno+Williams and/or Hill might work. But unfortunately we're not the only team. That beind said I'd rather not lose Prior or Z. JCs right - upper tier pitchers are availble every season, but they recently have been getting absurd salaries. I'd rather keep Prior and Z at reasonable price for as long as we can. To use your examples, I think Baltimore would be better off with Pie, Cedeno Williams/Hill + $10 million saved, than with Manny. How so? Pie, Cedeno, and Hill haven't proven anything in the majors, and Williams has pitched less than 400 innings total. How they will perform is very uncertain, while Ramirez's production for the remainder of his contract is more predictable. I think that Baltimore would rather take the "surer" bet in a trade situation. Just my .02.
  16. TB_11
    Ryne. Love em both, but Pippen gets a few knocks for 1.8 seconds, the migraine, giving the Chicago Stadium crowd the finger, and throwing a chair on the floor.
  17. TB_11
    Sadly I think you're right about it requiring Zambrano or Prior to get Tejada. We're not the only team that would love to land Tejada this offseason, and the Orioles will be getting trade offers that would net them very good, PROVEN players (like Manny). If the Cubs were the only team interested in Tejada, something along the lines of Pie+Cedeno+Williams and/or Hill might work. But unfortunately we're not the only team. That beind said I'd rather not lose Prior or Z. JCs right - upper tier pitchers are availble every season, but they recently have been getting absurd salaries. I'd rather keep Prior and Z at reasonable price for as long as we can.
  18. TB_11
    D'OH! Meant to put Alex Brown instead of Mike Brown. Added him to the poll and then voted for Urlacher. Belated thanks for the change.
  19. TB_11
    D'OH! Meant to put Alex Brown instead of Mike Brown.
  20. TB_11
    And we're excluding the "The entire defense is the MVP" or "It's all Ron Rivera" arguments, because those are lame.
  21. TB_11
    I love it - New York doesn't get the snow that Chicago does - one of the many things I miss about home.
  22. TB_11
    One of my trusted sources told me yesterday he has great confidence that Hendry has contingency plans in place if Furcal and Pierre fall through. Sounds like Mench and Soriano........
  23. TB_11
    Hendry should be looking for players that have he believes will perform best for the team, contributing to the most wins. Whether they're flashy or not flashy, a role player or an ego-maniac, it shouldn't matter. If they've shown the ability to produce runs on offense, prevent runs on defense, or pitch consistently well, then he should bring them in if the price is right.
  24. TB_11
    Pretty sure he just said it to get that moran Murph to shut his pie hole. No. actually he really meant it. He has been quoted in the past and I personally heard him say on a WGN interview he wants players who can catch the ball. There is no joke here unfortunately. ](*,)
  25. TB_11
    Offensively I don't see him as an upgrade over Walker. Defensively he would be better than Walker (and so would I....), but the ~$10M he's owed over the next two years offsets that.
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