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cubfan

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  1. cubfan
    Castro should be nowhere near the table. However, Darwin Barney and/or Junior Lake could be enticing pieces to a deal. However, we'd need a few much more exciting pieces as the centerpieces. Brett Jackson or Matt Szczur could be one of them. Seriously? You could put the four of them together and Arizona would hang up laughing. Probably not going to be enough either way but that is one hell of miss quote when you cut off the "Obviously, neither would be the main piece, which could come from the Dempster return." from the original post
  2. cubfan
    Not that it makes a difference, but didn't the Indians get Joe Carter and Mel Hall?
  3. cubfan
    No reason to believe that he won't. http://images1.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb20100828054703/uncyclopedia/images/b/b5/Exploding-head.gif Are we still on this or had you just been spending a few hours looking for the ideal gif? Johnson has been a very solid bench player all year, and yes, I have no reason to think that he'll just suddenly fall off a cliff, assuming he remains in the same role he has been in. Saying there's no reason to believe that he won't is far from guaranteeing that he will. His BABIP is .409. Neither he, nor any other player in baseball can sustain that. Therefore, you do have reason to think he can't keep it up. I have a question about BABIP. If someone is hitting .350-.360 wouldn't their BABIP need to be close to .400? Unless the player hits a ton of HRs, his BAPIP is going to be higher than his avg. Wouldn't the difference between avg and the BABIP or at least the players historical difference between the two be important? Mayby line drive % would be a better used in some cases? I'm not saying that Johnson is going to keep this up, I'm just trying to better understand BAPIP and how it is applies in some cases. It makes more sense for me when applied to pitchers or if there is a large gap between a players avg and BABIP. Thanks
  4. cubfan
    Yeah, but looking back at that 1st round in 2000, aside from Baldelli(6), Utley(15) and Wainwright(29), its not like we missed out on much. Maybe if A Gon(1) had fallen a few spots, wed be looking at a different story. http://www.mymlbdraft.com/2000 I was trying to find the 2000 draft day scouting report on Montanez, but couldnt. Anyone know where I could? They missed out on Matt Harrington, he would have never signed and the Cubs could have saved some money :)
  5. cubfan
    I'll agree that the NTC wasn't a good idea, but does Shark really have much (if any) more value right now than a guy like Mitch Adkins or JR Mathes? He's much younger than Mathes, but the same age (or close) as Adkins and much, much more expensive. I doubt either of them would get anything as a throw-in for a trade. I do agree that he'd likely have much more value if they hadn't yoyo'd him, though. I was under the impression that the NTC was needed or he would not sign and would go the football route instead.
  6. cubfan
    I feel like there's an enormous gulf just between the lower minors and the majors. I'll admit I haven't watched a ton of minor league ball, but the games I've been to -- it has seemed quite noticeable the dropoff in basic defensive ability. And the guys who can defend at a higher level tend to stick out much more, too. At least that's been my observation. I agree, but you have to also take the low minors with a grain of salt when talking about defense. From the examples I've seen, the fields in the low minors suck. I got the chance to play on 3 different MiL field when I was in HS, and two of the three, Cedar Rapids and Clinton, were as bad as any I played on in HS. From the reports and discussions I've seen, there hasn't been a big change since then. That's part of the reason I'll somewhat ignore a guys errors if they're mostly fielding problems and not throwing. There's as big of a gulf in the quality of the infields as there is in fielding. Maybe I just played on really bad HS fields, but I played a few games in Cedar Rapids (the new field) and several in Burlington and they were much better than the HS fields I played on.
  7. cubfan
    :lol: The Cubs have finally decided to join the dark side in an attempt to win the World Series?
  8. cubfan
    Could the Rangers even take on Lilly's salary? They have major budget issues right?
  9. cubfan
    Yes, but Fukudome is also better than Colvin in RF. Pretty much anyone with a decent arm is better in RF than CF. I always thought you wanted the outfielder with the best range in CF and arm strength was secondary. If arm strength in RF was the top priority, they should have left Fukudome in RF and played Bradley in CF.
  10. cubfan
    Not saying it would work out this way, but if they traded Byrd wouldn't be better to put Kosuke in CF and Colvin in RF? Even when hes not hitting, in RF, Kosuke proves his worth as a defensive specialist, however, in CF hes average at best. The same can be said about Colvin, except he doesn't provide a defensive boost anywhere. I was under the impression that Colvin would probably be less than avg in CF and the Kosuke would be a step up from Colvin at least even if he may just be avg himself.
  11. cubfan
    Not saying it would work out this way, but if they traded Byrd wouldn't be better to put Kosuke in CF and Colvin in RF?
  12. cubfan
    It can be said that he runs either hot or cold, or he is inconsistant but saying he swoons or drops off after the first few months is miss leading. It implies that he hits great for two months then slowly drops off and/or levels off at a preformance less than his first few months and this is not true. His stat line is not a downward slope, its a rollercoster.
  13. cubfan
    So you're completely unaware of how many times the "summer swoon" myth has been debunked? Yes, I can see why they hate him, because he has a low batting average (the most cited stat when talking about what a disappointment he is) and he spins when he strikes out (the thing most often referenced when mocking him). Wasn't he also billed as having power and speed? Maybe I'm just making that up, but I don't think so. I didn't think the expectaions where much higher than 15 HRs a year when he signed maybe 20. Not that he has ever reached this, but I don't remember him being expected to be much of a power bat.
  14. cubfan
    I think that losing Nolasco was always the biggest reason to hate the Pierre trade. Losing Mitre and Pinto was just throwing salt in the wound.
  15. cubfan
    Think it through for a minute. Does a guy throw a no-hitter because he's terrific with nobody onbase, or because he's pitching great? Does a guy get rocked because he's awful with runners on, or because he's pitching lousy? The good slash stats with nobody on are probably more effect than cause. This is the part I like to think about. He does relatively well then somebody manages to get on base. Then he does worse. And I'm saying, that is not necessarily the way to think about it. Which conclusion makes more intuitive sense: Guys are on base because Wells is pitching poorly. Wells is pitching poorly because guys are on base. What you are saying is reasonable and was worth looking into, but what TT posted seems to say different. If this was the case, I would expect most pitchers would have splits similar to Wells but they don't
  16. cubfan
    Tim Lincecum and Josh Johnson will likely go before Silva, too. Other possibles based on performance or reputation/fan base: Matt Cain, Jonathan Sanchez, Mike Leake, Stephen Strasburg (he will get votes, regardless of performance), Clayton Kershaw, Tim Hudson, etc. I think with Silva being a notoriously terrible pitcher he might get overlooked for some bigger names. If he keeps this level of performance up he definitely deserves the nod, but if he's not picked it wouldn't surprise me one bit. I think pitchers are selected by the managers and not by a vote. I doubt that Strasburg will get in and name recognition will be less important. I think managers seem to favor veterans that have paid their dues and that could help out Silva. I think that Silva will get in as a replacement for someone that pitched the Sunday before.
  17. cubfan
    Two games would fall under this rule though. Milt Pappas game was not as bad as the blown call at 1st but what could have been his final pitch sure looked like a strike on replay. Strike zone is subjective, and the pitches were borderline. And Milt Pappas needs to stfu. Yes, but this would be the kind of door that could be opened by reversing the call and I understand why they will not do it. Also just wanted to point out that this is not the first time someone has lost a perfect game with 2 outs in the 9th on a questionable call.
  18. cubfan
    Two games would fall under this rule though. Milt Pappas game was not as bad as the blown call at 1st but what could have been his final pitch sure looked like a strike on replay.
  19. cubfan
    If they over turn this, they need to take a closer look at the perfect game that Milt Pappas lost in 72. To be honest, I think they should change the call and give him a perfect game but I can understand why they will not.
  20. cubfan
    Does the 100 IP total include fall league innings? If so, I understand. If not, I don't see why you can't add the 2009 regular season pitching with the 2009 fall league pitching. It does not. So in actuality Cashner threw about 115-120 IP last year. The point is that since he threw in the AFL last year, then throwing in the AFL isn't going to push Cashner into uncharted territory so he can build endurance. I'm not a big fan of the move either, but wanted to try to make sure I'm understanding everthing. Cashner had about 120 IP last year. He will probably end up with about the same this year after AFL and could then reasonably go up to 150-160 IP next year? I'm still not a fan of the move but it dosen't seem like its that bad either.
  21. cubfan
    Who are all these top prospect SP that the Rays and Red Sox moved to the pen without having innings as a starter? Price and..... Dude quit while you're behind already. You sound like Dusty with this "that's how they've always done it" logic. i didn't know it was possible to be so willfully ignorant and smug at the same time. I remember thinking that the Redsox broke a few of their starting pitchers into the bigs in the bullpen. I at least remember some announcers talking about it several years ago. I thought either Lester or Buchholz started off in the pen but they didn't. I must be thinking of Papelbons but he never went back to the rotation.
  22. cubfan
    Do you think somebody would pay him 3/39? Probably not. My guess is between 3/27 and 3/35 if someone really got desperate. Do you not think Soriano would be worth 1/5 at 38 years old? That would be the difference if he signed for 3/35 instead of 4/40.
  23. cubfan
    yeah, I agree...what St. Louis does most years (win more games with a smaller budget) is fairly admirable. I'm sure I'd harbor more hate for them if I lived in Chicago or St. Louis. There has only been a big difference in budget for the last 3 years. Before that it was relatively close and Cardinals was even higher in 2005 than the Cubs. I'm not saying that the Cubs spend their money well, just that the Cardinals have not always done more with less. Just more with about the same :) I'm guessing you are looking at opening day payrolls, those don't accurately reflect what a team actually spends in a season. Hendry repeatedly left open the possibility of adding to payroll midseason during the first half of his tenure as GM. They also spent a lot of money on guys who weren't actually playing for them. After the first couple years of this decade, the Cubs were spending more than STL consistently and the gap kept growing. USAToday has a list. It probably is opening day payrols but doesn't really say. They were 5 million behind the Cards in 2005 but I thought they would have included money they are paying players no longer on the team but that might not be the case.
  24. cubfan
    yeah, I agree...what St. Louis does most years (win more games with a smaller budget) is fairly admirable. I'm sure I'd harbor more hate for them if I lived in Chicago or St. Louis. There has only been a big difference in budget for the last 3 years. Before that it was relatively close and Cardinals was even higher in 2005 than the Cubs. I'm not saying that the Cubs spend their money well, just that the Cardinals have not always done more with less. Just more with about the same :)
  25. cubfan
    I'm not real sure how it works, but if Hill gets hurt/pinch hit for and Soto moves to C, does the pitcher then have to hit for themselves?
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