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1908

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Everything posted by 1908

  1. 1908
    He's expressed interest in MLB a couple times, but he's never asked to be posted like Akinori Iwamura and Daisuke Matsuzaka have. I think it's unlikely the Dragons post him. Japanese teams have been very reluctant to post their superstars. Outside of Nobuhiko Matsunaka, there isn't a better Japanese-born hitter in NPB at the moment than Fukudome. The best bat likely to be available to MLB teams from Japan this off-season is Michihiro Ogasawara, who's hitting .304/.385/.557 for the Fighters this year. He'll be a free agent, but I have my doubts he'd be interested in making the transition to MLB at 33.
  2. 1908
    If he's posted, he'll sign with the team that placed the highest bid or he won't play MLB ball next year.
  3. 1908
    Right, neglected to add his August numbers. So Z has averaged a couple more pitches per start and Matsunaka has throw over 120 pitches three more times in eight fewer starts. I'm not feeling any better about either pitcher's workload. The 6-days rest is mostly a product of playing fewer games over a similar time span to MLB. And Japanese starters typically throw on every one of their off days.
  4. 1908
    Zambrano has topped 120 pitches in 6 of his 26 starts. Hernandez has topped 120 pitches in 2 of his 24 starts Jason Schmidt, who has also averaged about 110 pitches per start this season, has topped 120 pitches in 4 of his 24 starts. It's ludicrous for Rotoworld to try to diminish Matsuzaka's work load this year, and he was working like this five years ago when he was 20 years old.
  5. 1908
    That is interesting but they play fewer games in Japan and it doesn't appear that Rotoworld is taking that into account. For instance, Matsuzaka has throw 1,967 pitches in 18 starts this year, which is a about 110 pitches per start. Zambrano has thrown 2,265 pitches in 26 starts, which is about 87 pitches per start. Livan Hernandez has thrown 2526 pitches in 24 starts, which is about 105 pitches per start.
  6. 1908
    Yep, if he's posted, it's either sign with the winning bidder or return to the Lions for Matsuzaka. And I can't see Matsuzaka dishonoring Seibu by refusing to sign an MLB contract after Seibu agreed to post him and accepted the top bid. If he wants to maximize his money, he won't agree to be posted and will play the free agent market after the 2007 season. This is all assuming the Lions post him, and I don't think they will.
  7. 1908
    Rosenthal is blowing smoke on those salary figures. No Japanese player has gotten close to $15M per season initially as a free agent, and a player involved in the posting process has significantly less leverage.
  8. 1908
    Not a free agent.
  9. 1908
    I think a lot of that can be attributed to the workload they're subjected to in Japan. When Nomo came over as a 26-year-old, he'd already thrown 1,050 innings in 139 games (5 seasons). After his first two season in the majors, his arm was fried. If Matsuzaka's posted this offseason, he'll make his MLB debut at 26. To date, he's thrown 1,347 innings in 197 games (8 seasons).
  10. 1908
    I could see the posting fee approach $20M, but I don't think it'll take anything close to $15M per season to sign him if he's posted. He's making less than $3M this season.
  11. 1908
    Nope. He won't be a free agent until after the 2007 season. He'd need to be posted to play in MLB next year. I don't think Seibu will post him, but if they do, the team that bids the most wins the right to try to sign him. If that system doesn't favor the Yankees, nothing does.
  12. 1908
    Did you read that article? The gyroball's an urban legend. Certainly not the key to Matsunaka's success.
  13. 1908
    Sasaki was pretty good for a three-year stretch before age and innings caught up to him.
  14. 1908
    There are smaller raises and then there's $25K. I think he'll get a 4/$32M offer from at least one team out there. I hope it's not the Cubs.
  15. 1908
    I think all three of these salaries are on the low side. Juan will get significantly more than a $25K raise. He doesn't deserve it, but he'll get it. Lee and Soriano could easily be $2M to $3M a year higher. All it takes is one team on the open market willing to overpay, and that happens year after year after year.
  16. 1908

    1908 replied to Chocolate Milk's topic in Other Sports

    Agreed. Please post snippets or summaries of the articles only.
  17. 1908
    Hope so. The Bulls have 4 second round picks for next year.
  18. 1908
    Eisley's contract wasn't guaranteed. The Bulls traded Smith and waived Eisley to make room for Griffin's salary and open up a roster spot for Adrian. Right, they wanted the draft picks but had to take the player, so they dumped the player right after acquiring him. They actually wanted that player because they could dump him after clearing Smith's salary. The two second-round picks will be lucky to make the Bulls roster next year.
  19. 1908
    Eisley's contract wasn't guaranteed. The Bulls traded Smith and waived Eisley to make room for Griffin's salary and open up a roster spot for Adrian.
  20. 1908
    Yes, I said he is atrocious offensively at the moment. I never said the rest of that stuff. You're doing a fine job discrediting the argument I'm not making, though.
  21. 1908
    We want you to stop writing writing loaded sentences like the one quoted above. Tell me what to say so I can jump on board with this "Cubs suck, Hendry sucks, everyone sucks" bandwagon. What I said above may have been loaded, but in response to 1908 it was absolutely right. How was it absolutely right? You've been misrepresenting my statements all night and then discrediting them.
  22. 1908
    Better yet, let's all use hyperbole and straw men to make our points. That would make for really fun discussions. This is going nowhere constructive. Believe what you will. okay....he's played one game in a Cubs uniform, is only 26 with room to improve yet he's atrocious. Okay...you're right. Yet another straw man. Awesome. G'night.
  23. 1908
    Better yet, let's all use hyperbole and strawmen to make our points. That would make for really fun discussions. This is going nowhere constructive. Believe what you will.
  24. 1908
    Some hitters make drastic leaps in production in their mid-to-late twenties, but it isn't very common. So it becomes an argument of possibility versus probability. Here's hoping your unlikely optimism holds true. Yes, it's atrocious.
  25. 1908
    I could make an educated guess based on his career production to date. What would you use to make your guess? So what you're saying is once you turn 26 years old, that's your peak offensively? No player has ever improved? Damn... Nice straw man. I didn't say that at all. Why do you think Izturis will improve? How much do you think he will improve?
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