1908
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Everything posted by 1908
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The A-Ram contingency plan
1908 replied to Banedon's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Interesting, all positions that we could be looking to upgrade. Sign me up on his bandwagon. Either CF or SS would be a stretch for Iwamura. His bat would likely be an asset at 2B. -
It does. I don't see why the Lions will wait if they've already made up their minds.
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The A-Ram contingency plan
1908 replied to Banedon's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
That seems very high for Iwamura. Hideki signed as a free agent, and Iwamura's salary this year was roughly $1.8M. So an initial contract in the 3 years, $12M - $15M range seems like it outta do it. Much cheaper than Aramis, but you'd be getting a lot less power. Best case around .290/.350/.460. -
No. The fee is only due if the player signs.
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Agreed. At the very least.
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Not aware of any specific rule, but I'd be surprised if the Commissioner didn't get involved in an instance as blatant as that.
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Yep, including earlier in this thread. It's four days, with 30 days to sign the player after the bid has been accepted.
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The Bulls haven't had a young player with this kind of ceiling since Pippen, and Thomas looks more polished than Pippen did his rookie season.
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Past behavior is a pretty good indicator of future behavior in my eyes. I hope they bid, and I hope they land him. But I get Alan Schwarz's skepticism. Not bidding on a japanese free agent can hardly be called "behavior" like it is some idiosyncratic way of being that goes unnoticed by the person doing it. This isn't a habit the Cubs are breaking. Its simply a choice to get in the game. I believe Hendry when he says he intends to go after Matsuzaka. If you think he is lying about going after a japanese FA because he hasn't done so previously, then you must ask yourself has he ever said he would before. "Past behavior" has nothing to do with whether or not Hendry will bid on Matsuzaka. It may, however, influence his willingness to bid what it will take to get him. That I will grant you. Then again, it may not. Until the Cubs land a star Japanese player, it's all talk and speculation. I'll be pleasantly surprised if the Cubs end up with one. If Matsuzaka ends up in NY, Seattle, LA or SD, I won't be surprised, because those teams have been involved in Japan consistently. Dismiss that all you'd like; I don't really care enough about it to continue this circular argument.
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If Beanes teams are chokers,whats yours? He was being sarcastic.
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I didn't imply anything. History clearly suggests they won't get him. In addition to never bidding on a posted player, the Cubs have never pursued a FA coming over from Japan. Past behavior is a pretty good indicator of future behavior in my eyes. I hope they bid, and I hope they land him. But I get Alan Schwarz's skepticism.
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Yeah, that's what I said. Why did you ask your question again?
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Mets' breakdown in '06 reminds me of Cubs' breakdown in '84
1908 replied to Sweet Swinging Billy's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
i was under the impression that you were much younger than thatYou mistook immaturity for youth. :D -
He doesn't. History suggests they won't be, though. Who else did we actually bid on and lose? No one. That's the point. Name one previous Japanese player playing in Japan the Cubs have pursued.
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He doesn't. History suggests they won't be, though.
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Nothing. He's in London getting his UK citizenship.
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Has Pujols replaced Bonds as the Game's biggest jerk?
1908 replied to The Voice of Reason's topic in General Baseball Talk
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I've had my fill watching Wood and Prior decline after 2003.
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When they were active in Asia previously, the Cubs focused on South Korea. Do you know if they were active in Japan this time around?
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Do you see the Cubs hitting Ichiro anywhere but first? That's beside the point. Just because he's the one that gets the extra at bats doesn't make him more valuable than Carl Crawford, who hits later in the order. I was just growing tired of the minutiae. How do you figure? 2003-2005 there wasn't any difference' date=' and he was significantly better at Safeco last year. He doesn't hit a lot of long shots, so theoretically speaking he would stand to lose some hits moving to a smaller park.[/quote'] Look at his EAVG over the past four seasons. I don't follow. Did you mean Equivalent Average(EqA), or something else? No, his equivalent batting average. BP calculates that as well.
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VORP doesn't do a very good job of distinguishing between durability and hitting at the top of the order. Yeah, it just measures value. The point is that Ichiro gets more value in VORP for reasons that are simply due to the spot in the order he's in. Do you see the Cubs hitting Ichiro anywhere but first? Which do you think is more likely? He's 33 on Sunday and his game is largely tied into footspeed. Get him out of that park and I think .320-.330 is a very safe bet. How do you figure? 2003-2005 there wasn't any difference, and he was significantly better at Safeco last year. He doesn't hit a lot of long shots, so theoretically speaking he would stand to lose some hits moving to a smaller park. Look at his EAVG over the past four seasons.
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VORP doesn't do a very good job of distinguishing between durability and hitting at the top of the order. Yeah, it just measures value. Which do you think is more likely? He's 33 on Sunday and his game is largely tied into footspeed. Get him out of that park and I think .320-.330 is a very safe bet. I'd turn cartwheels if he was playing CF for the Cubs next year. Can't see Seattle trading him, though. No matter how much sense it would make for them.
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45.5 VORP this season for Ichiro. That ties him for 40th among position players, and he had significantly more PA's than most players. Out of the top 100 position players in VORP, he was around 67th in VORPr. What happens if he only hits .300 next year? It also ties him with Aramis. His durability is part of his value. His VORP will drop if he hits .300 next year. What happens if he hits .350?
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45.5 VORP this season for Ichiro.