That's not the point he's getting at at all, really. It's just the fact that Soriano has been terribly unlucky when it comes to balls in play actually dropping in for hits - thus causing the pathetic numbers early. Exactly. Put quite simply, Soriano has had about 7 or 8 hits get robbed from him. With less than 100 AB on the season, that's going to have a huge effect on his line... a line that doesn't accurately portray how well he' hit the ball. Yeah, sample size is actually the bigger issue than being unlucky. LD% regression to the mean will mitigate some of the adjustment Rob made, but whatever you want to do to a batting line, if 7 hits results in 170 points of OPS difference, your conclusion is that the sample size is way too small to judge anything and people should stop PMSing about Sori.