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nilodnayr

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Everything posted by nilodnayr

  1. Is it sucking for anyone else?
  2. aww shoot, i had good odds
  3. i predict a double play
  4. Im in a 5x5 10 person league and the leader has 80.5 points and has had been over 80 since a few weeks after the ASB (which I am bitter about since I had been leader since the second week of the season). How do you spell domination? In my league we spell it C-A-N-S-E-C-O-S F-U-R-Y. Great name by the way.
  5. Jackson is probably 10-15 times the player/prospect Murton is. Now tahts an exageration, but Murton was a year older and playing at a level lower for the majority of the year posting 342/403/498 with 17 doubles and 8 HR in 313 ABs with 29 BB and 42 Ks. Jackson hit 354/457/553 with 38 doubles and 8 HR in 333 ABs with 69 BB and 32 Ks. Thats significantly better than Murton. Consider the age, level, and the fact taht this year has been an anomoly for Murton and just the norm for Jackson. I assume you are referring to their power potential but havent really realized it as "same player", but I assure you, they are not. Umm...Connor has WAY more power potential than Matt. Matt figures to be in the 20-25 homer area if he hits his ceiling while Connor can be a 40+ homer kind of guy in the future. I wasnt saying that they had the same power potential, but just guessing theat XZero was referring to the fact that they are the same player because neither has realized their power potential. As evidenced by my citing the 38 doubles opposed to 17, I acknowledge that Conors potential is huge, despite the similar HR numbers. But they both should be hitting a lot more over the fence.
  6. Jackson is probably 10-15 times the player/prospect Murton is. Now tahts an exageration, but Murton was a year older and playing at a level lower for the majority of the year posting 342/403/498 with 17 doubles and 8 HR in 313 ABs with 29 BB and 42 Ks. Jackson hit 354/457/553 with 38 doubles and 8 HR in 333 ABs with 69 BB and 32 Ks. Thats significantly better than Murton. Consider the age, level, and the fact taht this year has been an anomoly for Murton and just the norm for Jackson. I assume you are referring to their power potential but havent really realized it as "same player", but I assure you, they are not. Forgot to mention taht to Murtons credit he has performed at higher levels this year, and looked good doing it, albeit over a small sample size.
  7. Jackson is probably 10-15 times the player/prospect Murton is. Now tahts an exageration, but Murton was a year older and playing at a level lower for the majority of the year posting 342/403/498 with 17 doubles and 8 HR in 313 ABs with 29 BB and 42 Ks. Jackson hit 354/457/553 with 38 doubles and 8 HR in 333 ABs with 69 BB and 32 Ks. Thats significantly better than Murton. Consider the age, level, and the fact taht this year has been an anomoly for Murton and just the norm for Jackson. I assume you are referring to their power potential but havent really realized it as "same player", but I assure you, they are not.
  8. He put himself in that situation
  9. The problem with trading Glaus and Green were they were just signed to deals (which means they are wanted) and if traded could demand a trade next offseason. Nothing has changed in the Dbacks situation since they signed the both of them so Id have to say they have them in the long term plans. Especially considering they ridiculously overpaid for them, making them even more difficult to trade. Tony Clark was just resigned for very cheap, so they obviously want to stick with him. That leaves Gonzo, Tracy, Connor, and Quentin. Who really knows what Tony Clark is going to do next year as well as his durability. They are definitely going to want to keep Tracy should Tony go down or regress. With Glaus being signed through 08, Tracy's days at the hot corner are done. He should take 2/3rds of the 1st base starts at first with the rest going to Clark. The rest of the time he can sub at either corner OF. Tracys a very good hitter, but more valuble taking the majority of his starts at 1B than a corner OF. So we've got RF, 3B, and 1B filled with Green, Glaus, Tracy/Clark. That leaves LF and CF (not a position in question, but a position the Dbacks sorely need to fill). In LF, they currently have Gonzo who is will be making 11.5M next year, and put up an 800 OPS (while leading the team in ABs). He is obviously target #1 for them to dish in this situation and given their financial issues would most likely like to eat as little of his contract as possible. Gonzo is traded. Carlos Quentin starts in left. He gets the nod over Conor Jackson because 1) he has more proven power (not just projecting doubles now into future HRs) and 2) hes an OF by trade, not a 1B. As mentioned earlier Tracy is more valuable at 1b than a corner OF. So, Gonzo and Conor are the odd men out. If the Dbacks want to save money, they package them together. A guy like Patterson could thrive in the BOB and would look good gliding in their OF. Plus IMO the Dbacks are the type of org to still like Pattersons potential. Talk of moving Green to CF is an empty threat to try to leverage their position in the trading market. Im not sure what exactly the Dbacks need but Id have to think their 2006 rotation is set with Javy, Ortiz, Webb, Vargas and Hasley. They could use some bullpen help and some A ball pitching prospects (as their overpriced bad pitchers are signed though 07 and 08). Maybe something like Mitre, Welley, Gallagher, Ryu, and Patterson (I wouldnt mind giving up more). For Gonzo (and the majority of his contract) and Conor Jackson. I then resign Nomar to play short, keep Walker to play second. Use Gonzo in left, Hairston in CF, Conor and Murton in RF. The OF defense is below average, but I dont care. Id think about signing Giles too, using Murton and Conor to back up each corner, but I think I'd rather spend taht money on BJ Ryan (and save some of it) and go after a RF in next years offseason which will be more of a buyers market. Plus I think Conor is ready to be a big league hitter. Some one will have to fill me in on his athleticism as to whether or not he could play RF. But my philosophy is if Alou can do it, anyone can. Use Greive as the 5th OF, Cedeno and Fontenot as back up infielders. I dont mind giving Dusty 12 pitchers because a lot of those players can play multiple positions and the backups (besides Greive) are young and Id like to get them as much playing time as possible. Plus Id like to resign Dempster and Williamson to set up Ryan leaving us with a pen of those three Ohman, Wuertz, Novoa, and Rusch (insurance). Hairston Walker Lee ARAM Nomar Gonzo Conor/Murton Barrett Murton/Conor Greive Cedeno Fontenot Blanco Z Prior Wood Maddux Williams Ryan Dempster Williamson Wuertz Novoa Ohman Rusch
  10. If Hendry could pull off a trade for Carlos without giving up anyone else of real significance besides Felix he would make me so happy.
  11. Maybe in the short term, but in the long-term, both Felix Pie and Ryan Harvey---IMO---will be better then Quentin. Conor Jackson on the other hand..... Quentin hit .300/.420/.550 in AAA, Neither Pie or Harvey have approached those numbers at any level. Quentin and Jackson are basically the same player. Same age, but Quentin plays OF while Jackson is a first baseman. Quentin also has more HR power, at least for now. As much as I love Quentin, Connor Jackson has the advantage in plate discipline/strike zone judgement (and Carlos Quentin's strike zone judgement is pretty good). I think the Diamondbacks prefer Connor to Carlos, so they definitely think his HR power will come. Just what I was goign to say. Whats better than 72 BB with 71 Ks in 452 ABs? Well 69 BB with 32 Ks in 333 ABs :shock: Plus Connor plays 1B Carlos is an OF. I'd give up anyone in our minors for either one though.
  12. 13 days too late (probably a lot more)
  13. Just got home a bit ago, I hope it isnt tonight, although an amazing gesture, a WCIU game does not have the best ratings.
  14. Yeah but you wanted to overpay him by 350K, you suck. :D
  15. What peripheral stats would those be? Outside of 2004 and 2000 he has not had good peripherals
  16. Kolb has been absolutely horrible this year. Ohh Im well aware, but he has had success in the past and obviously they liked him enough to trade some decent talent for him. I bet they will bring back farns anyway, but Id have to say Kolb has a much better chance of being their closer than Ryan. The team that couldnt spend anything last offseason already has more money tied up next year than they do now (or nearly as much), something tells me they wont be making a big FA acquisition.
  17. Exactly, good players have control over where they ball goes, Kirby Puckett and Tony Gwynn are perfect examples. However, guys like Neifi Perez just stick the bat out there and whatever happens happens. Now, Im not saying that Inge is like Neifi, but Id say hes more Neifi than Kirby. How has Inge done in the second half? Maybe he forgot how to be a good hitter.
  18. I was there yesterday, typical no one in the upperdeck game. Even the 26K count is quite suspect. I stayed until the end, but Id say there were no more than 8K after the 6th inning. Tickets sold. Not people there.Yeah, but I think considering how beautiful it was out and that it was a weekend, I bet the vast majority of seats sold were filled. I guess 26K makes sense, I'd guess 15K for the first level, 15K for the upper deck, 10K for the outfield and 1K in the hanging boxes.
  19. I was there yesterday, typical no one in the upperdeck game. Even the 26K count is quite suspect. I stayed until the end, but Id say there were no more than 8K after the 6th inning.
  20. That doesn't have to be done at this point, though. He can be put on/stay on later. If I'm in Ryan's position, I'd much rather stay with the Jaxx for the Southern League championship series than get one or two ABs with the Cubs. The only way it's good for him is if the Cubs wouldn't call him up after the championship series unless another middle infielder went down. Assuming he gets dropped from the 40 man this offseason to make room for some one else, wouldnt he have to go through waivers?
  21. If you sweep Oakland I think you'll wind up catching the Sox. Chicago has beaten us 10/13 this year. It would be a much closer race if we hadn't gotten dominated by them this year. However, we still have 6 with them, so maybe our luck with the Chisox can change. I think I read soemthing in the paper last week that said if you threw out one run games the Indians would be 2 and a half games up on the sox, so thatd be even more now.
  22. with the rule 5 eligibles we will have this offseason why are we putting theriot on the 40 man?
  23. BJ Ryan to the Braves? Not too likely that the Braves, who will still have Kolb and may bring back Farns, will spend boku bucks on a closer let alone a bit time FA with the amount of money they will be paying Hampton next year.
  24. I'm happy, too, but it's by no virtue of the pitcher that the offense scored runs. Oh, I wasn't crediting the pitcher for that. I was just saying that because for whatever reason the team wins more when he pitches, he becomes more valuable to the team. I'm not trying to equate "most valuable to the team" with "best pitcher on the team", or "best pitching performance". A pitcher is only more valuable to his team if he actually does something to be more valuable. Such as stay in the game longer or contribute offensively, attributes that are not reflected in ERA. I dont know how you can place value on an irrelevent stat that he does not have significant control over.
  25. It would take a mathematical anomaly for the ages to have the teams ahead of us lose in exactly the right order and fashion PLUS us maybe lose 1 or 2 more games the rest of the way for us to win the WC. Before that last 8 game bender I thought that if we could be within 4 going into the last series with Houston we would have a shot. Now, even if we're 4 in back of Houston we might be 4 in back of another team. Is it even mathmatically possible for us to climb over all these teams? What are their schedules? Possible? Yes. Probable? Absolutely not (as referenced by the BP percentage). Our problem isnt the Astros, we hold our on destiny there, the problem is in the East where the two lower teams would need to do just well enough but not too well against the two top teams.
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