That was before today, at least I am assuming it will go down after today. Cubs = 97.4 Brewers = 2.6 Wow, it's really that much in our favor now? I could see the crew ripping off, say 5-2 in their last 7 at home. Cubs would need to win 2 games, on the road. That's losing 2/3 in each series. Ok, it's definitely in our favor big time but I would have thought more like 80%. Going strictly by a conservative even odds assumption for all remaining Cubs & Brewers games, the Cubs have a 91.0% chance of winning: Set aside the baseballprospectus method of calculating odds for a moment: There are 13 games left, and for the Brewers to win outright at least 10 must go their way, or 9 to draw even with the Cubs for a tie-breaker. Assume even odds in all contests, prob = 1/2. Out of 2^13 scenarios (8192), the Brewers win outright in just C(13,10) + C(13,11) + C(13, 12) + C(13,13) = 286 + 78 + 13 + 1 = 378 scenarios, or 4.6%. Out of the C(13,9) = 715 tie scenarios assume the Brewers win half of these, giving an extra 715/2 = 357.5 winning scenarios. 378 Brewers win outright 357.5 Tie, Brewers win tie-breaker --------------------- 735.5, or 8.98% chance of Brewers winning. I don't think p=1/2 is a bad default assumption for each remaining game. I like the Cubs' chances but this thing ain't over yet.