TruffleShuffle
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Everything posted by TruffleShuffle
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Should we be concerned about Manny Parra?
TruffleShuffle replied to badnews's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
that's unfortunate, because vargas sucks. -
look i don't know what point you're trying to make here. greene has been a far, far better hitter on the road, not just in a pure numbers sense, but also relative to the performance of his other teammates. he is a below-average petco hitter and an above-average road hitter. feel free to chalk this up as a fluke; however, i think that after more than 1000 plate appearances both home and away, we're pretty safe in drawing the conclusion that khailil greene's offensive performance suffers in petco to a significantly greater degree than most other hitters in the league.
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2008 HR Derby -- Rules & Entries Thread
TruffleShuffle replied to Laura's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
he's in Group C -
last year in his best season, he was something like 16th among shortstops in WARP. and he was -3 defender whereas Theriot was +1. and i'm considerably skeptical he'll keep hitting 27 HRs rather than his usual 15. im not saying i completely agree with the methodology used to determine these numbers, but those are the only arguments people accept on this board, so i included them for reference. he's reaching his late 20s, which are his prime years. there's no reason to think his numbers would get worse. and in their 2008 handbook, they acknowledge that their defensive system does not properly give him credit, and that he's a very good defender. i think you'd be hard-pressed to find anyone who thinks theriot is on par with greene defensively. 2005: .244/.308/.465/.773 2006: .280/.356/.507/.863 2007: .288/.322/.519/.840 i'm not sure how much more evidence you need. go back through his entire career, and it's very obvious that petco has a very negative impact on his offense. he's a pull power hitter who hits more fly balls than ground balls. there probably isn't a worse place for that type of hitter than petco.
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http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/7949132/Sources:-Roberts-to-Cubs-looking-unlikely Way to waste 3 months on Roberts and leave us stuck with a top of the order of Theriot/Soriano, Jimbo. the only reason we're stuck with theriot/soriano is because lou piniella is dumb enough to hit theriot at leadoff.
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gus johnson should just be in new york broadcasting every game as he watches them on tv.
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the other issue is that the major league average output for each guy's position is: CF: .272/.337/.420/.757 C: .254/.317/.393/.711 so the bar is a few notches lower for soto to reach the offensive output of a league-average catcher.
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Dumpster Diving
TruffleShuffle replied to Backtobanks's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
i'd prefer fred lewis to rajai davis, except fred lewis doesn't make any sense in a platoon with pie. davis does, except that he's not good. -
That's because in their opinion, there are not any better options within the system than theriot. i happen to agree with them in that i think he is better than ronny cedeno; however, i think this team would easily be better with roberts at 2b and derosa at ss, or even eric patterson at 2b and derosa at ss. i think the assumption is that even if soto performs below his projections this year, he will still put up something like a .250/.315/.380 line, which isn't terrible for a catcher. plus soto plays plus defense, so he will be an asset even if he hits like yadier molina.
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that's a pretty low projection for a guy with a career OBP over .370 against LHP that's because he (a) is past his prime, (b) sucked ass last year, and © has a career BABIP of .339 against LHP.
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khalil greene? to call him a mediocre SS is to completely misunderstand the average offensive output at the position, and also to ignore the impact that his home ballpark has on his style of hitting. not to mention the fact that he's significantly better defensively than the guy who currently plays ss for the cubs.
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I never understood why people trust projectons, I really don't. because they're better than what any random person will do off the top of his or her head. Unless it's a positive projection for a Cubs prospect, right? yes, then it's probably wrong.
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fixed i think just about everyone on this board is willing to give him an extended chance in CF. but, i think it would be wise to understand that he is not a sure thing, and that there may be a point this season where the cubs have to throw in the towel on him and find a guy who will perform at a higher level. this is not a 70-win team; the cubs can't throw guys out there and allow them to fail for an entire year.
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Has Patterson's defense at 2B been good enough this spring to make that even feasible? I thought he was more of a bench player or 5th OF now since his glove was so bad? Someone was saying around here the other day that his defensive deficiencies were greatly exaggerated. BP said that; i was just passing it along. plus i'm pretty sure that ray durham cobbled together a solid major league career by getting on base at a good rate, showing solid pop for a middle infielder, and playing below-average defense.
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Wood is physically incapable of starting at this point, so he is completely irrelevant in this conversation. LOL I'm dumb. forget I ever said this. I don't think Wood is incapable of starting. The same thing was said of Smoltz when he moved to the pen and he's returned to being a damn good starter. yeah but smoltz was healthy for most of his early starter years. wood always had injury problems. i really wish murton could add some loft to his swing.
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lol, "aaron rowand and the giants" when that guy is your headline star, your team sucks. bad.
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hey this guy looks pretty good, throws a lot of strikes and works fast. a smart manager would think about putting him in the starting rotation.
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poor ronny... he says that wrigley is his hall of fame, but you can hear in his voice how much it means to him to make it. boy i hope they do the right thing next year.
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hill is better than a #3, based on last year's numbers. the cubs were dumb enough to try to make him pitch with a different delivery, though, so now he's probably screwed up. dempster is going to be in trouble ALL the time. this is going to be a lot of fun, watching him.
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dempster is a pinata
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haha he keeps calling him "pi"
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i hope he wins 30 games and has an ERA under 1 for the padres
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man soto is struggling right now
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salty is going to beaten out by gerald laird? the rangers are idiots.
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a lot of things make me question ronny's baseball iq