TruffleShuffle
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Everything posted by TruffleShuffle
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0-8 from the heart of the lineup against shawn estes. bang up work guys. and kudos to jason marquis for letting the worst-hitting team in the majors knock him around for five innings.
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the next time rothschild tells you he can "fix" a pitcher, don't listen
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seriously, how badly does shawn estes have to suck before everyone in mlb says "yeah you know what, this guy is terrible, let's not give him a job"
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do all your teammates make fun of you if you strike out against shawn estes?
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bad ball! bad! you stop that right now!
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mccreary and pollack should not do any games in the nhl finals. kerry fraser and kerry fraser, that is all.
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hopefully we can get down a few more so i can take a nice long nap before work tonight. and, hopefully our fans will give the players a nice ovation at the end of game 4... it's been a fun ride this season, just ran into a better team while undermanned this series.
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who has more goals on biron in this series, pittsburgh players or flyer defensemen?
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yeah but if that is the case, how is edmonds going to make things any better?
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took an insult right out of the bill plaschke playbook there.
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i'll tell you what will happen with pie in iowa, he'll go back and rake, then come up to the cubs, not get a hit in his first 10 ABs, and everyone will decide that he's a AAAA player and give up on him.
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Lou Pinella, What the hell are you doing?
TruffleShuffle replied to Keener98's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I'll be thrilled if Theriot keeps this up, but nothing in his history suggests that he will. So let's not go too far. that he will keep hitting .330? no, i don't think you'll get an argument there. can he get on base at a .350 or (outside chance) .360 clip? i can buy that. -
i would take .240/.320/.310 from edmonds. that's better than i'm expecting out of him.
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Their pitching is awful. So is their hitting. And their fielding. They have the best lineup in baseball FTH?!?!?
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Lou Pinella, What the hell are you doing?
TruffleShuffle replied to Keener98's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
keep in mind that jim edmonds' imminent presence on this team will be 90% the fault of lou. -
i do agree with this; however, nobody is going to OPS .900 while taking at least a quarter of the year to adjust (and OPS'ing at .600) unless they all of a sudden click and start hitting like roid-era bonds. Pie would have to OPS something like 1.000 from here on out to wipe out his lousy start. obviously i am in the camp that believes he can be a solid major league player, but his PECOTA projection indicated a minimal adjustment time to big league pitching, and that clearly isn't the case.
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well, my guess is that there's more at play than just declining luck the past four years. the liners probably aren't as hard, and his bat control isn't as good to guide the ball into gaps and holes. he's probably also becoming easier to defend: http://mlb.mlb.com/stats/individual_player_hitting_chart.jsp?c_id=mlb&playerID=113744&statType=1 unfortunately this stupid thing won't pull up data from edmonds at busch in previous years, but you can see that very few of his batted balls are going to right field. i would guess that if you looked at his data from 3 years ago, you'd see that he'd be using right field a lot more. now that his bat is slower, he can't get around on fastballs as effectively, so opposing teams can shade him to hit most of his balls to the left side.
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Probably. Could you be more specific? well, anyone who has seen the first month of the year could tell you that pie doesn't have the ability to put up a .900 OPS against major league RHP at this stage of his career; he needs better discipline and pitch recognition skills for that to happen. and, as i said a page back, PECOTA doesn't have the ability to determine when a guy is going to age well, or fall off a cliff in terms of production. edmonds EqA trend the past 4 years: 2004: .341 2005: .307 2006: .285 2007: .260 now the PECOTA projections are .263 and .271 in 2008 and 2009, respectively. how am i supposed to take those seriously when he's been shaving anywhere from 22 to 35 points off his EqA in the past few years? in my opinion, PECOTA really can't tell us anything about jim edmonds. he's well past his prime, he can't run well, his bat is much slower, he doesn't have much power any more.
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pecota is wrong.
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Our new lineup with Edmonds (should he sign).
TruffleShuffle replied to ChiCubsfan0502's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
offense ain't broke? fix it anyway. -
yeah, also the same idiots who were saying that rich hill and geovany soto could be productive major league players if the cubs would give them a chance.
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Andruw Jones sucks, knows it, and doesn't care
TruffleShuffle replied to Jehrico's topic in General Baseball Talk
that'd be a pretty lousy reporting job, considering that andruw jones is from curacao, which is not particularly close to the dominican republic. -
what does "smoothed out " mean here? Adjusted his line to reflect his expected BABIP based on his LD%, as opposed to his actual BABIP. Basically, I'm just trying to remove luck from the equation. right but you can't assume that everyone with the same LD% is going to end up with the same BABIP. Ichiro is very fast, gets out of the batter's box very quickly and has excellent bat control. jim edmonds is old and slow, and has an upper-cuttish type swing (which would tend to slow one's speed out of the batter's box). his babip has declined for five years in a row, while his LD% has gone: 2004: 21.2 % 2005: 18.7 % 2006: 20.5 % 2007: 19.5 % 2008: 22.4 % chances are the guy is just a low BABIP guy at this stage of his career.
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i know, felix not being able to get on base has crippled the offense to only have the highest OBP and most runs scored in baseball.
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what does "smoothed out " mean here?