Time to bring 'em back! Kudos to iceblink for his idea last year... this year I'll update the standings weekly, then more frequently toward the end of the season as the chase really heats up!
Team L-W L% GB L10 Exp L-W
--------------------------------------------------
Cincinnati 31-18 .633 --- 7-3 27-22
Texas 30-18 .625 0.5 7-3 27-21
Kansas City 30-19 .612 1.0 4-6 30-19
Tampa Bay 28-19 .596 2.0 6-4 30-17
Washington 29-20 .592 2.0 3-7 31-18
St. Louis 26-19 .578 3.0 6-4 29-16
Pittsburgh 27-20 .574 3.0 7-3 27-20
Colorado 27-21 .562 3.5 5-5 30-18
Houston 27-21 .562 3.5 8-2 28-20
Baltimore 27-21 .562 3.5 7-3 26-21
NY Yankees 26-21 .553 4.0 6-4 21-26
Toronto 26-21 .553 4.0 4-6 24-23
Chi. Cubs 25-22 .532 5.0 6-4 20-27
So far, the chase for the #1 pick (a.k.a. Pedro Alvarez) is hotly contested. Cincinnati does not have a huge RS-RA deficit, but they've shown that they know how to lose the close ones. With some pretty good starters, a deep (though average) bullpen and a solid offense, I'd expect them to start to fall in the standings as we head on through the summer. Texas is another team that has managed to lose the close ones, outperforming their expected L-W by a solid three games. Their pitching -- not exactly an organizational strength -- has been horrid again this year, with a league-low 17 quality starts in 48 games, and the second-worst ERA in baseball. Still, the offense is potent enough that this team may struggle to stay near the top of the rankings. Next up are three teams that really know how to compete in the Fecal League - Kansas City, Tampa Bay and Washington. On paper, Washington may have the "best" team in baseball, but their recent play (only three losses in their last ten games) is a bit concerning. Still, they're my pick to capture the FL crown. Meanwhile, KC and TB have a good deal of young talent, but overall their teams are probably too green behind the ears. They should be big factors in the race this summer. Pittsburgh and Colorado are certainly no strangers to the Fecal League. The Pirates started out fairly poorly, but are on a solid 7-3 run in their last ten. The talent on their roster might be a little much to expect a higher finish than last year's 4th place. Colorado has also proven to be inept from the mound, though with hitters like Holliday, Hawpe, Helton and others with last names not beginning with "H", their great pitching may not be able to overcome their mediocre hitting. It's a delight to see the Cardinals in the FL chase throught the first 50 games of the season. In typical Cardinal fashion, they've lost fewer games than their expected loss total. It's not hard to see why this aging roster is struggling, but chances are that the Cardinals will simply be too lucky to lose enough to stay in the thick of the race. Houston is showing potential, as their 8-2 record in the last ten games has sent them shooting up the FL standings. The roster certainly does not have the talent that it had in past years, with Clemens, Pettitte and Beltran having moved on. If the young talent like Hunter Pence, Luke Scott, Wandy Rodriguez, Chris Sampson and Matt Albers prove that they aren't ready for the bigs, this team could certainly be a contender. Baltimore and Toronto - who really cares. They'll probably be middling teams that finish around 10th. In fact, I'd expect clubs like the Chicago White Sox and Seattle Mariners to make a better run at the top 5. Then we get to our two most overachieving teams, the Cubs and Yankees. Each squad has an impressive five losses over the expected amount, suggesting bullpen incompetence and a know-how to lose. Given the amount of talent on the Yanks and their obscene $190M payroll, as well as the knee-jerk ownership of Big Stein, it would be a shock if the Yankees even a top 15 finisher in the FL standings. The Cubs, on the other hand, are no stranger to losing, but this year's roster has a deeper starting rotation and upgrades at some of the offensive positions. Unless the Cubs are ravaged by injuries, I wouldn't expect them to finish too highly in the FL standings. Stay tuned throughout the summer as the contenders are separated from the pretenders! It should be another race down to the wire.